Understated-Overload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.9%

Resolved

Trades

344

lifetime

Volume

$635

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-06 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 33% $-6

Politics

29% — —

Other

21% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will jose massi be the next mayor of toulon	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-23 03:40
will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	03-22 20:43
btc updown 5m 1776078900	4	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-13 11:21
btc updown 5m 1776545400	5	$17	13	13	+1	open	—	04-18 20:55
btc updown 5m 1776484800	3	$15	10	8	+2	open	—	04-18 04:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-01 17:34
btc updown 5m 1776120300	4	$12	10	9	+1	open	—	04-13 22:50
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-12 19:33
btc updown 5m 1776079200	3	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-13 11:25
btc updown 5m 1776461100	3	$10	9	9	+1	open	—	04-17 21:30
btc updown 5m 1776550200	2	$10	10	9	+1	open	—	04-18 22:15
btc updown 5m 1776486000	4	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-18 04:26
btc updown 5m 1776543300	3	$10	9	8	+0	open	—	04-18 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	Up	$-10	05-06 21:00
will trump or melania say chicago at chicago opening night	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-31 12:11
btc updown 5m 1776552000	10	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	04-18 22:44
btc updown 5m 1776551700	9	$9	24	0	+24	open	—	04-18 22:37
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	03-12 18:49
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	03-31 06:16
will trump say mission accomplished during address to the nation	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-01 20:16
will starmer say shadow secretary during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$7	29	29	+0	open	—	04-08 19:34
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	3	$7	16	16	+0	open	—	03-31 06:16
will trump say hormuz during cabinet meeting on march 26	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-26 16:15
btc updown 5m 1776544500	2	$6	66	0	+66	open	—	04-18 20:40
btc updown 5m 1776549000	6	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$6	23	0	+23	Up	$-6	05-06 20:57
btc updown 5m 1776551100	6	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	04-18 22:28
will leavitt say lebanon during the next white house press briefing	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-25 19:25
will trump say f 15 or f 15e during events with rutte	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-09 05:08
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	2	$6	13	13	+0	open	—	04-12 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 21:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x08473c…
05-06 20:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf9ca35…
05-06 20:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1e8e85…
05-06 20:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xae056b…
05-06 20:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8f8f79…
05-06 20:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf2cefb…
05-06 20:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9e0d5e…
05-06 10:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa3e408…
05-06 08:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x06a151…
05-06 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4a06fa…
05-06 08:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2d3f14…
05-06 08:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x72b71f…
05-06 08:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x164473…
05-06 08:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x60cca5…
05-06 08:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x442a7b…
05-06 08:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x446208…
04-18 22:46:42	btc updown 5m 1776552300	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x71b0f8…
04-18 22:44:10	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x282279…
04-18 22:43:54	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2da5ee…
04-18 22:43:42	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8aee24…
04-18 22:43:34	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdf1f84…
04-18 22:43:24	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe849cb…
04-18 22:43:16	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0299cb…
04-18 22:41:56	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe8ad1b…
04-18 22:41:22	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdd5118…
04-18 22:41:06	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3b1054…
04-18 22:40:58	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfe8093…
04-18 22:37:44	btc updown 5m 1776551700	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6b5630…
04-18 22:37:32	btc updown 5m 1776551700	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xea6910…
04-18 22:37:22	btc updown 5m 1776551700	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf97b84…
04-18 22:36:50	btc updown 5m 1776551700	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdaad93…
04-18 22:36:36	btc updown 5m 1776551700	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5f5053…
04-18 22:36:28	btc updown 5m 1776551700	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcb83ba…
04-18 22:36:18	btc updown 5m 1776551700	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x682e18…
04-18 22:36:10	btc updown 5m 1776551700	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x73ef62…
04-18 22:35:36	btc updown 5m 1776551700	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb2c3b3…
04-18 22:31:54	btc updown 5m 1776551400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xde4e1c…
04-18 22:31:36	btc updown 5m 1776551400	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3f08d2…
04-18 22:31:26	btc updown 5m 1776551400	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9538ae…
04-18 22:31:18	btc updown 5m 1776551400	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x136ea4…
04-18 22:31:06	btc updown 5m 1776551400	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2590a4…
04-18 22:28:36	btc updown 5m 1776551100	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbfecd7…
04-18 22:28:24	btc updown 5m 1776551100	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4b57e2…
04-18 22:28:18	btc updown 5m 1776551100	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcaf374…
04-18 22:28:08	btc updown 5m 1776551100	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6f51ba…
04-18 22:27:58	btc updown 5m 1776551100	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2ea418…
04-18 22:26:28	btc updown 5m 1776551100	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbe72a9…
04-18 22:22:24	btc updown 5m 1776550800	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7ce550…
04-18 22:22:02	btc updown 5m 1776550800	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x43e0c6…
04-18 22:21:36	btc updown 5m 1776550800	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x40d268…
04-18 22:15:30	btc updown 5m 1776550200	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x12c7ec…
04-18 22:13:02	btc updown 5m 1776550200	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb51287…
04-18 22:01:10	btc updown 5m 1776549600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5f5608…
04-18 21:54:06	btc updown 5m 1776549000	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5e43e6…
04-18 21:53:58	btc updown 5m 1776549000	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x103a4a…
04-18 21:52:20	btc updown 5m 1776549000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf9b3fb…
04-18 21:52:02	btc updown 5m 1776549000	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbe7579…
04-18 21:51:14	btc updown 5m 1776549000	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9c7439…
04-18 21:51:02	btc updown 5m 1776549000	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x11f2af…
04-18 21:48:00	btc updown 5m 1776548700	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7f51a6…
04-18 21:41:48	btc updown 5m 1776548400	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xeb1616…
04-18 21:37:44	btc updown 5m 1776548100	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf7cfbf…
04-18 21:37:20	btc updown 5m 1776548100	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd82dfd…
04-18 21:36:00	btc updown 5m 1776548100	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x878346…
04-18 21:33:56	btc updown 5m 1776547800	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6ea494…
04-18 21:33:44	btc updown 5m 1776547800	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcb8988…
04-18 21:27:36	btc updown 5m 1776547500	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9e72aa…
04-18 21:25:54	btc updown 5m 1776547500	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa30318…
04-18 21:25:32	btc updown 5m 1776547500	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdd72ce…
04-18 21:25:24	btc updown 5m 1776547500	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0c875f…
04-18 21:22:36	btc updown 5m 1776547200	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5f8ff8…
04-18 21:22:22	btc updown 5m 1776547200	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4c5e36…
04-18 21:21:30	btc updown 5m 1776547200	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf6d42f…
04-18 21:15:48	btc updown 5m 1776546900	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3c57eb…
04-18 21:12:14	btc updown 5m 1776546600	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x73f25d…
04-18 20:55:24	btc updown 5m 1776545400	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xeab788…
04-18 20:53:16	btc updown 5m 1776545400	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf89ac7…
04-18 20:51:50	btc updown 5m 1776545400	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeccbab…
04-18 20:51:32	btc updown 5m 1776545400	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x18ad6f…
04-18 20:51:22	btc updown 5m 1776545400	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc8ffed…
04-18 20:49:00	btc updown 5m 1776545100	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5cbe04…
04-18 20:48:38	btc updown 5m 1776545100	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6ffbb8…
04-18 20:48:30	btc updown 5m 1776545100	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x45aac8…
04-18 20:45:30	btc updown 5m 1776545100	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7d0d56…
04-18 20:42:26	btc updown 5m 1776544800	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc4ba92…
04-18 20:40:00	btc updown 5m 1776544500	Down	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xfd9f1c…
04-18 20:35:44	btc updown 5m 1776544500	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x64dc4f…
04-18 20:30:50	btc updown 5m 1776544200	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8586f3…
04-18 20:30:26	btc updown 5m 1776544200	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdd9ff4…
04-18 20:27:24	btc updown 5m 1776543900	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9c05ef…
04-18 20:27:14	btc updown 5m 1776543900	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x594f6b…
04-18 20:24:30	btc updown 5m 1776543600	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1a3967…
04-18 20:24:16	btc updown 5m 1776543600	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xce2773…
04-18 20:24:06	btc updown 5m 1776543600	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x56cf58…
04-18 20:23:34	btc updown 5m 1776543600	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfee6bc…
04-18 20:20:30	btc updown 5m 1776543300	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7644d4…
04-18 20:16:40	btc updown 5m 1776543300	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x11717c…
04-18 20:16:22	btc updown 5m 1776543300	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeb3b80…
04-18 20:13:32	btc updown 5m 1776543000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x37ce2d…
04-18 20:11:44	btc updown 5m 1776543000	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb8b89e…