Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$99

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 10-30 01:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

79% 58% +$10

Politics

18% 58% -$2

Tech

3% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-22 12:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	10-27 19:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	+4	$1	16¢	$1	$0	10-30 01:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	2	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$1	10-15 19:49
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 19:59
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-21 06:53
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	09-18 01:09
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-08 18:23
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$2	09-14 06:15
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 08:20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-20 21:52
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-15 17:54
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-14 14:17
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 16:45
will coin reach 180 by september 7 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-10 05:05
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-10 14:12
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-24 02:06
will nvda reach 220 by september 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-13 22:12
Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-10 22:35
Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-16 02:17
wti up or down on september 9 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$0	09-09 11:53
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-21 14:54
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 00:00
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Up	-$1	09-11 06:39
spy closes above 770 on september 23 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-23 00:19
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-07 17:44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-14 22:21
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 08:00
will meta dip to 670 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-17 11:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-15 09:05
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-20 22:35
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	1	$1	4	+4	Down	-$1	10-07 11:25
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-18 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:44:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x636bb0…
10-29 13:57:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x20e8f2…
10-29 04:01:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x40c7e5…
10-28 20:01:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb5af74…
10-28 11:49:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcd5fe6…
10-28 03:40:07	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf9b035…
10-27 19:05:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb551ef…
10-27 09:58:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9deeae…
10-26 00:11:24	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x311672…
10-25 16:10:26	US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52f3d5…
10-25 06:35:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x37019e…
10-24 00:06:30	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf6b544…
10-23 16:00:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xac98a2…
10-23 07:20:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x39ed54…
10-22 23:20:18	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2cc76e…
10-22 12:40:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe02fc5…
10-22 04:40:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2587f5…
10-21 19:37:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa970bc…
10-21 11:15:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6816be…
10-21 03:07:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1d151b…
10-20 18:52:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa5f2b3…
10-20 10:52:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf1c132…
10-19 02:51:50	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9c8e8c…
10-18 18:51:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xce007f…
10-18 10:51:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x72b600…
10-18 01:22:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe2fd58…
10-17 16:07:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf5a165…
10-16 12:30:37	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1ac4a8…
10-16 04:04:25	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x34b6b7…
10-15 19:49:59	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x927aad…
10-15 19:11:31	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x00475d…
10-15 10:47:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2e07aa…
10-15 01:09:07	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xceee8e…
10-14 04:55:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x249bfc…
10-13 20:04:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2f8193…
10-13 11:50:44	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xda0535…
10-11 03:17:32	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x214abd…
10-08 13:40:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf8ee3b…
10-08 04:16:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7dd8a8…
10-07 19:28:34	will msft reach 532 50 by october 5 2026 from october 7	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcb87d3…
10-07 11:25:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xde0a4e…
10-07 02:48:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x67b69b…
10-06 18:47:30	will coin reach 190 by october 5 2026 from october 6	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb7998d…
10-06 10:47:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x67f03b…
10-06 02:27:55	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa78a9d…
10-05 17:54:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdb3605…
10-05 00:34:58	will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x630af1…
10-02 12:53:48	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x803c7b…
10-02 03:52:39	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x49c965…
10-01 16:54:17	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfe5c9c…
10-01 08:52:54	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc9403a…
09-30 23:21:21	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd15eb9…
09-30 11:46:21	will ng dip to 2 90 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4c929a…
09-30 03:38:21	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0e63c2…
09-29 19:34:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 29?	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x65f0fd…
09-29 10:49:50	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x07f689…
09-27 10:02:30	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x565e32…
09-27 01:43:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3014b5…
09-26 07:29:05	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x700c9c…
09-24 10:06:39	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8451df…
09-24 02:06:20	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb67750…
09-23 16:45:27	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x005a31…
09-23 08:20:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xf9bf46…
09-23 00:19:25	spy closes above 770 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x865b04…
09-21 14:54:23	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xf471b9…
09-21 06:53:38	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x08f178…
09-20 22:35:10	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x15c597…
09-20 21:52:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0xd85f1d…
09-19 08:00:43	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x873ebf…
09-19 00:00:18	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x882e17…
09-18 01:09:54	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xcb8deb…
09-17 11:53:40	will meta dip to 670 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe471e2…
09-16 02:17:04	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xa244f8…
09-15 17:54:54	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb491b3…
09-15 09:05:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x109369…
09-14 22:21:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb401fd…
09-14 14:17:06	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xb5566f…
09-14 06:15:57	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x9aac3b…
09-13 22:12:42	will nvda reach 220 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x62cbf9…
09-11 06:39:25	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x067a21…
09-10 22:35:13	Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xfe4ac5…
09-10 14:12:42	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xfec97b…
09-10 05:05:09	will coin reach 180 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xad4098…
09-09 19:59:00	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x9ea091…
09-09 11:53:15	wti up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x2f4834…
09-08 18:23:30	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x86119f…
09-07 17:44:48	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x916dcc…