Annual-Deck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$522

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

2,239

Trades

5,324

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 40% -$560

Other

1% 33% +$20

Politics

0% 50% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	—	+2	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-30 18:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 14:30 UTC	5	$58	85	0	+85	Down	+$6	03-11 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:20 UTC	7	$54	179	0	+179	Up	-$54	03-14 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:55 UTC	6	$50	81	0	+81	Up	+$7	03-14 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:30 UTC	5	$47	37	26	+11	Up	+$5	03-14 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$46	53	40	+13	Down	+$34	04-27 11:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$44	56	56	+0	Yes	+$20	10-25 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:15 UTC	6	$41	101	0	+101	Down	+$44	03-14 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 18:10 UTC	2	$36	52	0	+52	Down	-$18	03-10 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:40 UTC	5	$35	79	0	+79	Down	-$24	03-13 14:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 12:10 UTC	7	$35	119	20	+98	Down	-$19	03-20 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:50 UTC	6	$34	43	18	+25	Down	+$7	03-24 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:50 UTC	6	$32	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	03-14 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:55 UTC	4	$31	45	0	+45	Down	-$31	03-12 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:20 UTC	3	$31	142	0	+142	Down	-$31	03-14 20:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 17:45 UTC	6	$31	65	0	+65	Down	-$14	03-13 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$30	23	23	+0	Down	+$14	10-28 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:10 UTC	7	$30	59	28	+31	Down	+$6	03-18 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:30 UTC	3	$30	1,153	0	+1,153	Up	-$10	03-11 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:55 UTC	4	$30	1,165	0	+1,165	Down	-$22	03-11 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:45 UTC	4	$30	92	0	+92	Down	-$30	03-14 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 17:55 UTC	2	$30	38	0	+38	Down	+$8	03-10 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 09:10 UTC	3	$30	42	0	+42	Down	+$12	03-12 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 11:50 UTC	3	$30	32	7	+24	Up	-$20	03-22 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 11:50 UTC	4	$30	52	0	+52	Up	+$22	03-13 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$30	28	21	+7	Up	+$11	04-26 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:50 UTC	3	$30	21	20	+0	Up	+$10	03-20 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 06:25 UTC	8	$29	39	11	+28	Down	+$11	03-15 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:00 UTC	8	$28	91	0	+91	Up	+$7	03-14 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:40 UTC	6	$28	38	16	+22	Down	-$14	03-16 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$28	30	25	+5	Down	+$22	10-25 17:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x760acc…
10-30 18:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9fea0b…
10-30 18:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfd37ae…
10-30 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x982497…
10-30 18:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcaf473…
10-30 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf13e5a…
10-30 18:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x42852f…
10-30 18:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	227	0¢	$1	0x826ff1…
10-30 18:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x93d4c9…
10-30 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5368dd…
10-30 18:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xab0397…
10-30 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x020b66…
10-30 18:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xd67cd8…
10-30 18:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbac613…
10-30 18:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb2cbbc…
10-30 17:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3f0dc5…
10-30 17:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x821922…
10-30 17:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x3c294a…
10-30 17:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xae489e…
10-30 14:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5828d5…
10-30 14:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7ccaa7…
10-30 14:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf008bc…
10-30 14:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x559b16…
10-30 14:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x182ab2…
10-30 14:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x08fd34…
10-30 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc0f07e…
10-30 14:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6926a4…
10-30 14:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x656803…
10-30 14:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7f9515…
10-30 14:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x732387…
10-30 14:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9c3ec4…
10-30 14:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfee6cd…
10-30 14:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x82f26e…
10-30 14:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdafad5…
10-30 14:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x67578b…
10-30 14:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8f2ad4…
10-30 14:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbe8a70…
10-30 12:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd92971…
10-30 12:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xae8780…
10-30 12:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb01641…
10-30 12:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9348a8…
10-30 12:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3d1edd…
10-30 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0853f6…
10-30 12:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2a2355…
10-30 11:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x36d6df…
10-30 11:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7369d8…
10-30 11:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf00b1c…
10-30 11:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x87e931…
10-30 11:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x033b47…
10-30 11:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x262e9d…
10-30 11:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa66b20…
10-30 11:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x06a72d…
10-30 11:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x58b353…
10-30 11:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x5602d5…
10-30 11:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x490176…
10-30 11:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1447c2…
10-30 11:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3f96e2…
10-30 11:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbf8589…
10-30 11:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbbf8b8…
10-30 11:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x44bc12…
10-30 11:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xcf54c4…
10-30 11:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xac7b0a…
10-30 11:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2841ca…
10-30 11:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xff9ba4…
10-30 10:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x351ece…
10-30 10:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfc897c…
10-30 10:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x24ff65…
10-30 10:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x93c6a2…
10-29 14:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x098ca1…
10-29 12:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x6c1315…
10-29 12:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x93e039…
10-29 12:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa5bb6e…
10-29 12:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xc215c0…
10-29 12:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x7761ee…
10-29 12:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x1c86a4…
10-29 12:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc07f78…
10-29 12:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3cec91…
10-29 12:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x415313…
10-29 12:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x899318…
10-29 12:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa698bf…
10-29 12:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x095eef…
10-29 12:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd8b82f…
10-29 12:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xae3858…
10-29 12:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xa87c06…
10-29 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa67438…
10-29 12:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9337ea…
10-29 12:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcc85ff…
10-29 12:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6a695a…
10-29 12:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7512ea…
10-29 12:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7e3782…
10-29 12:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x399e30…
10-29 12:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdade6e…
10-29 11:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x39a81c…
10-29 11:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5b9a19…
10-29 11:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3e62b8…
10-29 11:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8b0d3e…
10-29 11:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbf4bbb…
10-29 08:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3ebaf5…
10-29 08:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xca1a28…
10-29 08:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x268ffd…