Surprised-Dip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,535

lifetime

Volume

$5.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-11 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 81% +$10

Other

19% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
tsla close above 440 on february 3 2026	3	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	02-03 14:18
gc up or down on february 3 2026	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	02-03 10:33
dax up or down on february 3 2026	2	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	02-03 10:34
msft close above 440 on february 3 2026	2	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	02-03 14:18
highest temperature in seattle on february 8 2026 52 53f	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-08 12:05
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 13c	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-08 12:05
highest temperature in nyc on february 8 2026 15forbelow	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-08 12:06
highest temperature in seoul on february 9 2026 0c	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-09 02:16
highest temperature in nyc on february 8 2026 22 23f	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-08 12:06
highest temperature in seattle on february 8 2026 54forhigher	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-08 12:06
highest temperature in chicago on february 8 2026 34forhigher	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-08 12:05
aapl close above 265 on february 3 2026	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	02-03 10:33
si up or down on february 3 2026	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	02-03 10:33
highest temperature in seattle on february 9 2026 52forhigher	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	02-09 02:16
amzn close above 250 on february 3 2026	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	02-03 10:34
highest temperature in chicago on february 8 2026 28 29f	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	02-08 12:05
will martine vassal win the marseille mayor election	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:00
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 19 be between 2000000 and 2200000	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:00
will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:00
will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 538	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:00
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-27 23:49
will starmer say mr speaker 15 times during the next prime ministers questions	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:00
will prizefighter mumford and sons debut week album sales be less than 200k	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:00
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 19 be between 2200000 and 2400000	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:00
will mrbeast say tesla or lamborghini during his next youtube video 192	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:01
will freecash get paid real money be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:05
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:05
will starmer say rules based during the next prime ministers questions	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:05
will starmer say conservative during the next prime ministers questions	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:05
will mrbeast say eliminated during his next youtube video 576	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-20 10:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 16:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x594c13…
05-11 16:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xb35d7b…
05-11 16:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x4e15d7…
05-11 15:59:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x7752a1…
05-11 15:43:57	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd48167…
05-11 15:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8605b8…
05-11 15:38:33	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x05b6b6…
05-11 15:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x4c32da…
05-11 15:23:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xbb75ff…
05-11 15:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xe74c24…
05-11 15:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x1ee0af…
05-11 15:03:28	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xdc38b6…
05-11 15:03:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x8d126e…
05-11 15:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x04853b…
05-11 14:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x1623c8…
05-11 14:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc2a688…
05-11 14:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8d7ada…
05-11 14:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x777089…
05-11 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc0d7ef…
05-11 14:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xb5ff99…
05-11 14:13:49	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xb47d20…
05-11 14:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb607bc…
05-11 14:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xb2f1dc…
05-11 14:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa9da71…
05-11 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x685029…
05-11 13:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x9dca12…
05-11 13:53:33	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xb51797…
05-11 13:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x1f1893…
05-11 13:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf458c8…
05-11 13:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe80f9b…
05-11 13:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xba93b0…
05-11 13:38:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x2d5932…
05-11 13:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xee3e09…
05-11 13:33:27	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xa43716…
05-11 13:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc8c234…
05-11 13:14:02	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x38d324…
05-11 12:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd41571…
05-11 12:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xafe84c…
05-11 12:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xdccfad…
05-11 12:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x17040a…
05-11 11:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x10b1ae…
05-11 11:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x7b752e…
05-11 10:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x491a75…
05-11 10:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x039725…
05-11 10:18:44	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xbfd80b…
05-11 09:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2cb031…
05-11 08:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xc3e190…
05-11 08:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xcb83c7…
05-11 08:33:37	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x57a759…
05-11 08:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x727ef0…
05-11 08:23:49	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb9d7e8…
05-11 08:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xebd394…
05-11 08:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x141fba…
05-11 08:03:24	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x60be20…
05-11 07:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xcd74b0…
05-11 07:23:34	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x654c17…
05-11 07:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x54c68b…
05-11 06:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x2686bd…
05-11 06:38:34	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x29cc4c…
05-11 06:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x301004…
05-11 06:13:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe32be2…
05-11 05:33:31	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x5ede98…
05-11 05:08:47	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x09f6b0…
05-08 08:55:43	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb193b8…
05-08 08:35:55	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x157714…
05-08 08:21:04	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x926e4d…
05-08 08:15:35	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x88ab9f…
05-07 12:16:19	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd6cf30…
05-07 12:05:33	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2e1816…
05-07 11:52:43	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbb8c25…
05-07 11:43:20	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x38f093…
05-07 11:38:34	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7c6902…
05-06 12:40:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x9f7f57…
05-05 09:40:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc1ba35…
05-05 09:36:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5888a9…
05-05 09:23:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x30293a…
05-05 08:55:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8bdf21…
05-05 08:53:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x51f0a5…
05-03 15:36:12	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6e208b…
05-03 15:36:00	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x8fb959…
05-03 15:26:40	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdd3fdd…
05-03 15:26:32	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x31958f…
05-03 15:10:36	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd5b9f0…
05-03 15:08:10	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcad853…
05-03 15:00:42	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x38d87d…
05-03 14:35:26	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc63bf0…
05-02 06:20:36	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x563564…
05-02 06:16:34	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x49a531…
05-02 06:11:44	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeef638…
05-02 06:05:46	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xad5322…
05-02 05:46:10	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xefa62d…
04-25 12:20:42	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2dc83d…
04-25 12:16:30	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x265677…
04-25 12:06:54	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa967e5…
04-25 11:50:54	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7d7552…
04-25 11:42:46	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x104402…
04-25 11:38:50	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x50d7a8…
04-25 11:31:40	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9daa53…
04-25 11:26:58	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x640a70…
04-25 11:16:52	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x51a0f6…