Murky-Mushroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

435

Trades

799

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-18 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

71% 80% +$3

Crypto

20% 86% +$1

Politics

5% 84% +$0

Sports

2% 60% +$0

Tech

1% 75% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	4	$94	47	47	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	4	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	07-21 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	5	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	07-31 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 29?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-28 21:47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	09-11 17:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or below on July 24?	5	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 00:05
bitcoin above 70k on july 28 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-28 01:08
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-22 21:02
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 29	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-30 02:58
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	3	$66	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 17:51
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:24
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 20:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on July 28?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-27 02:15
Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	10-18 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-19 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 24?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-24 05:23
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-31 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 23?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-23 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on May 27?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-26 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on July 28?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-28 10:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-20 16:40
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 19	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-20 03:01
will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 10	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-10 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 27?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-26 03:03
will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	5	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-21 02:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$51	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 30?	5	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-29 20:17
Will Puma be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-18 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 11:04:50	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1ae7bb…
10-13 16:04:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb07045…
10-13 08:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x75d6cb…
10-12 18:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8b78d6…
10-12 09:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa11418…
10-12 02:34:41	Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc8a601…
10-11 19:32:25	Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbd20f4…
10-11 18:47:03	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x82fb8c…
10-10 09:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf68f0c…
10-10 02:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb7568f…
10-05 09:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 5?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcea57f…
10-02 01:54:29	bitcoin above 78k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05c541…
10-01 22:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ec83a…
10-01 04:14:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x37bbe7…
09-28 04:54:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeae605…
09-27 20:03:26	Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2e76a3…
09-23 19:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x2fcdbd…
09-23 04:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc4d5c…
09-23 03:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd82ef3…
09-22 23:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x85e825…
09-22 18:50:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf66ccd…
09-21 20:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdc34ff…
09-19 01:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x367065…
09-18 01:01:15	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbb2a62…
09-13 02:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2679bb…
09-11 17:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$34	0xfd8d05…
09-11 02:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xfd79aa…
09-10 20:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xac832f…
09-07 15:08:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd3ce38…
09-06 15:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x100159…
09-06 06:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0eb949…
09-05 22:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on September 6?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6b768d…
09-05 07:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x546548…
09-05 03:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2b2eb9…
09-04 21:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x56f618…
09-04 18:55:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x442789…
09-04 18:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b5659…
09-04 01:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x787fcb…
09-03 15:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb47378…
09-03 07:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa9db94…
09-03 02:12:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc39ee3…
09-02 22:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5c62fe…
09-02 11:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8925ae…
09-02 07:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc56eb4…
09-02 05:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x99b07b…
09-01 07:25:30	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x43d211…
08-31 04:18:51	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6051a4…
08-31 00:35:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5e3f38…
08-30 16:58:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0ad3ed…
08-30 13:29:51	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xae4038…
08-30 01:33:51	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7ffc39…
08-29 18:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe4b50a…
08-29 07:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x979acc…
08-28 14:39:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1af6b7…
08-27 11:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x07d5be…
08-27 06:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9d217d…
08-27 01:57:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb63b19…
08-26 19:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4e44c4…
08-26 12:24:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd63e40…
08-25 12:51:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd3e4ab…
08-25 11:36:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4621e8…
08-25 02:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7af9e7…
08-24 22:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4162ce…
08-24 17:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xf720c3…
08-24 06:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3804da…
08-24 01:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa637a4…
08-23 19:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x398d52…
08-23 16:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x847b69…
08-14 08:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x98cf0d…
08-13 17:29:04	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd84f95…
08-13 14:29:34	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8b3e84…
08-13 08:39:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8f37a8…
08-12 23:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8891dd…
08-12 22:20:10	Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf66fb6…
08-12 07:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 12?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x31a08b…
08-12 04:23:22	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6d959f…
08-12 01:18:09	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x84586e…
08-11 14:38:19	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x29b8cd…
08-11 13:43:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xa731df…
08-10 21:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C on August 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x74a59c…
08-10 20:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x899657…
08-10 13:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd82dbe…
08-10 12:29:01	will super troopers 3 score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011231498	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb3e699…
08-09 13:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xada584…
08-09 07:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1786c0…
08-09 06:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x59c302…
08-09 02:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x364158…
08-08 17:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xca38e4…
08-08 05:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x72d404…
08-08 05:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe9f4b9…
08-07 19:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaa8ada…
08-07 16:24:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x403bd4…
08-07 13:29:06	bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd48206…
08-07 08:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x16757f…
08-06 08:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x98b026…
08-06 02:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x841c78…
08-05 22:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x85cddd…
08-05 20:28:33	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x14b618…
08-05 10:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x110d29…
07-31 21:21:41	will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3c9420…