Scornful-Daybed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$663

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-09 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 61% $-13

Politics

34% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$87	49	49	+0	open	—	06-05 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	6	$57	38	38	+0	open	—	06-01 21:05
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$45	41	41	+0	open	—	05-17 00:43
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	4	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 10:06
btc updown 5m 1781036700	1	$26	75	0	+75	open	—	06-09 20:25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	05-31 16:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-12 14:36
btc updown 5m 1780673700	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	06-05 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$15	61	11	+50	Up	+$3	05-06 08:44
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	06-01 00:40
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-30 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$12	13	13	+0	open	—	05-28 17:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-29 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 00:52
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-30 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$9	12	12	+0	Up	$-3	05-06 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$9	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$9	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$9	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 08:59
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-25 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-29 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	Down	$-3	05-09 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-29 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:25:46	btc updown 5m 1781036700	Down	BUY	75	35¢	$26	0xdc2963…
06-05 23:51:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0x9ad712…
06-05 17:10:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0xe4c177…
06-05 15:37:15	btc updown 5m 1780673700	Down	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x6d1161…
06-05 15:08:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0x842444…
06-05 00:56:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x660054…
06-01 21:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd3a565…
06-01 21:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x652635…
06-01 21:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x5a8ab7…
06-01 21:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xa7e5fd…
06-01 21:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x3eea38…
06-01 21:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x1154b9…
06-01 20:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x041d5a…
06-01 20:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe2b0ce…
06-01 10:06:25	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe25641…
06-01 01:01:49	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x073b33…
06-01 00:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x694a77…
06-01 00:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1be5ba…
06-01 00:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x4189d8…
06-01 00:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8d5e37…
06-01 00:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xc6cf04…
06-01 00:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3decbd…
06-01 00:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x06414b…
06-01 00:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd1ba3e…
06-01 00:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x36c75d…
06-01 00:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3f5807…
06-01 00:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xe7100f…
06-01 00:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbef036…
06-01 00:35:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x597db1…
05-31 23:12:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xe4e910…
05-31 23:11:01	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x72e5ba…
05-31 16:16:54	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xb5fc44…
05-31 16:16:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x0f6d05…
05-30 20:26:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x9a3690…
05-30 20:25:20	World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	Finland	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x51514a…
05-30 19:54:07	World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc1523e…
05-30 19:53:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xce3dbd…
05-30 18:57:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x81d22c…
05-30 18:57:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x5d6aae…
05-29 22:34:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3ec3ad…
05-29 22:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0xe5066d…
05-29 22:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x6168c0…
05-29 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeb8a54…
05-29 22:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xb6416f…
05-29 22:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbabf97…
05-29 21:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x77ba05…
05-29 21:51:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x1e6c7a…
05-28 19:53:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x68d6cc…
05-28 17:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x8da91f…
05-28 17:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbcf9fb…
05-28 17:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf53bef…
05-28 17:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9599be…
05-28 17:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x6e8c50…
05-28 17:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe460c8…
05-28 17:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x39564c…
05-28 14:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x388ae1…
05-28 14:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x47287f…
05-28 14:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xaebce3…
05-28 14:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaf2f5d…
05-25 22:56:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x19a695…
05-25 22:56:24	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x1bb88b…
05-24 12:51:14	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xeaa030…
05-24 12:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x05d774…
05-24 12:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x6bdba1…
05-24 12:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x241604…
05-24 12:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb15c18…
05-24 12:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc3f70b…
05-24 12:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xbef353…
05-24 12:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6a83cb…
05-24 12:12:02	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfc898c…
05-21 02:06:38	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x862f1d…
05-21 01:58:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7ee4d3…
05-20 12:37:26	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2696bb…
05-19 01:14:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x95d15b…
05-17 00:56:27	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8202a7…
05-17 00:43:07	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd9b2d6…
05-16 11:52:53	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x24d3ca…
05-16 11:41:36	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x1c8c7c…
05-16 11:23:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1c60df…
05-16 11:22:12	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x08ad49…
05-16 11:14:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xd13cd2…
05-16 11:13:39	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x2adf6e…
05-16 11:13:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x02b3ae…
05-16 11:06:04	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9d10bc…
05-16 11:05:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x2e13ee…
05-16 11:03:58	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xab793f…
05-16 10:49:46	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3286ed…
05-13 10:46:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc529d4…
05-12 14:36:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x7fdab8…
05-09 02:43:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x363063…
05-09 02:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x43152a…
05-09 02:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0f9e99…
05-09 02:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x2be770…
05-09 02:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa7bc54…
05-09 02:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd891f6…
05-08 23:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc24d27…
05-08 07:36:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0d62fd…
05-07 18:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xf23b3d…
05-07 18:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x68d619…
05-07 17:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xcb3dc0…