Unlucky-Currency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

109

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-04 04:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

60% 97% +$5

Politics

33% 75% +$0

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$112	56	56	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:47
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$110	58	58	+0	No	+$1	10-28 10:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	2	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$0	08-13 01:12
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$59	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	10-05 01:03
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$58	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	11-04 04:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	09-15 19:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	09-14 15:36
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	08-05 11:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$53	41	41	+0	No	+$1	10-23 04:48
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-14 10:36
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	1	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	08-19 02:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-13 14:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-11 18:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$0	08-22 01:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	09-30 20:34
will xi jinping visit us by september 23	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	09-23 10:08
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$32	54	54	+0	No	+$0	10-17 12:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	09-01 05:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-30 23:37
will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-31 21:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-26 14:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-31 07:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	10-01 03:51
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-31 09:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-28 09:13
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-01 00:10
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	09-22 22:33
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-29 06:38
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-30 03:38
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	01-17 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:13:39	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x36687d…
10-28 10:58:28	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$55	0xa44aa7…
10-28 10:23:25	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0xf5fb45…
10-27 15:56:39	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xc4405c…
10-24 00:15:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	290	0¢	$0	0xe59975…
10-23 04:48:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	41	66¢	$27	0x2c4e0c…
10-17 12:14:15	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	30¢	$16	0x34ac37…
10-14 04:05:29	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0x095e98…
10-12 06:11:47	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	30¢	$16	0x814b8d…
10-05 01:03:53	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x0f2d8b…
10-01 03:51:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9cbe78…
09-30 20:34:35	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x599ac9…
09-24 12:46:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x8978db…
09-23 10:08:58	will xi jinping visit us by september 23	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0627a6…
09-22 23:16:41	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x96070e…
09-22 22:33:35	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xd33d31…
09-22 16:47:42	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xf1e223…
09-22 16:41:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xa62e91…
09-15 19:47:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xd56247…
09-14 15:36:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xf1a5ea…
09-07 12:47:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x63aca7…
09-06 02:43:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0xb27cfa…
09-01 05:30:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5ea7e6…
08-28 09:13:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x50eff7…
08-27 14:39:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x8cabdb…
08-26 14:41:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x60cd7c…
08-24 03:59:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8cc937…
08-22 01:22:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0x347b92…
08-19 21:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x850d46…
08-19 21:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 21?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x2a2bc3…
08-19 19:20:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x861215…
08-19 02:50:52	Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xeac12d…
08-14 14:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x1f6471…
08-14 10:36:22	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x907da6…
08-13 14:26:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x0d4852…
08-13 01:12:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x57cb4d…
08-12 18:45:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$51	0xc8c388…
08-11 18:19:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xb58cd9…
08-09 11:03:21	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1e9224…
08-07 14:18:34	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xefc9b1…
08-05 11:04:47	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xccad92…
07-31 21:39:59	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1f8f1a…
07-31 07:47:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa5f361…
07-31 03:50:30	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x88a3a1…
07-30 23:37:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x63a1a7…
07-29 16:29:06	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00bff8…
07-29 14:21:02	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa7999…
07-29 04:49:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4da1c2…
07-24 04:03:00	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66ac6c…
07-22 10:03:36	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x517062…
07-22 09:37:00	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c77a5…
07-21 07:44:09	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27604d…
07-21 02:10:18	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe70d24…
07-14 11:42:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb03d2c…
07-01 00:10:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x92ef4e…
06-30 12:50:05	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6831ac…
06-29 07:48:04	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdff4b8…
06-29 06:38:10	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e7bac…
06-28 01:40:37	will spy reach 780 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0bed54…
06-28 00:31:49	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x906ffa…
06-27 09:28:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0f5c32…
05-30 03:38:17	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbcf4d5…
05-12 11:37:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe991d…
05-11 15:12:02	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf62f98…
05-09 10:33:19	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x88bd48…
05-08 16:31:49	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x665131…
05-08 07:54:06	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3bc2b5…
05-07 09:38:05	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe1a0c4…
05-07 09:29:39	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb2e070…
05-06 16:41:57	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xae7dc8…
05-06 10:23:16	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2e51cd…
05-06 01:34:52	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x29f078…
05-05 17:22:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc4c6d0…
05-05 16:52:12	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d9a1e…
04-22 20:11:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4c6ef1…
04-21 02:41:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe87715…
04-20 16:30:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x700450…
04-20 05:41:52	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x304a0c…
04-19 06:09:08	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x6485be…
04-17 10:22:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1eadde…
04-17 04:20:24	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe00238…
04-16 13:13:18	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x588baa…
04-15 13:42:38	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x970fda…
04-14 15:28:15	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe96ebe…
04-06 16:16:19	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $220 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x64f2de…
03-31 09:04:55	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x45d19b…
03-29 06:58:26	will ethena reach 0pt16 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4c7ef…
03-26 11:09:01	will xrp reach 2pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78a0c9…
03-26 04:28:07	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce485c…
03-24 11:43:45	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c16d1…
03-23 08:24:37	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbfdd78…
03-22 05:16:35	will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef858d…
03-19 12:21:11	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4890bc…
03-19 01:17:05	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3bfe1…
03-17 14:27:41	amzn above 160 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd79a0e…
03-16 02:24:35	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x50c874…
03-12 19:25:51	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x251e12…
03-11 00:31:37	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b24bb…
03-08 09:54:53	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc107c1…
03-06 18:00:51	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda4b59…