Candid-Lilac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$284

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-25 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$5

Other

39% 100% +$92

Politics

6% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,462	+1,462	open	—	05-14 04:11
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	1	$1.2K	1,279	+1,279	No	+$90	05-12 17:52
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 6?	1	$1.2K	1,184	+1,184	No	+$1	05-06 06:57
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,109	+1,109	No	+$1	05-09 12:59
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 20?	1	$1000	1,002	+1,002	open	—	05-20 15:21
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on May 23?	1	$1000	1,002	+1,002	open	—	05-23 15:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$965	968	+968	No	+$3	05-11 11:15
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$816	817	+817	No	+$1	05-08 15:29
Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?	1	$701	702	+702	No	+$1	05-10 15:21
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 2?	1	$666	668	+668	open	—	05-02 17:04
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$558	564	+564	open	—	05-21 17:04
Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 1?	1	$501	502	+502	open	—	05-02 00:16
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$392	400	+400	open	—	05-01 15:47
Will Solana reach $90 on May 2?	1	$387	387	+387	open	—	05-02 17:04
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.75 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$368	369	+369	No	+$1	05-08 15:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5?	1	$331	331	+331	No	+$0	05-05 21:13
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	1	$320	356	+356	open	—	05-25 19:39
Will Solana dip to $80 on May 5?	2	$283	283	+283	open	—	05-05 21:11
Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 10?	1	$270	271	+271	No	+$1	05-10 15:19
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 20?	1	$250	250	+250	open	—	05-20 15:25
will xrp reach 1pt5 on may 23	1	$249	249	+249	open	—	05-23 15:07
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 23?	1	$220	220	+220	open	—	05-23 15:06
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.25 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	1	$218	260	+260	open	—	05-25 19:38
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$203	205	+205	open	—	05-21 16:52
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$203	205	+205	open	—	05-21 16:53
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of April 27 2026?	2	$200	202	+202	open	—	05-01 15:55
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-21 16:52
Will Solana reach $95 on May 1?	1	$195	195	+195	open	—	05-02 00:24
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 27 above $660?	1	$180	181	+181	open	—	05-01 15:48
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$180	180	+180	open	—	05-01 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 19:39:47	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0x6ba958…
05-25 19:39:28	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	356	90¢	$320	0xb715cb…
05-25 19:38:58	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	43¢	$29	0x9a2638…
05-25 19:38:30	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.25 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	260	84¢	$218	0x929adc…
05-23 15:08:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x92dfd2…
05-23 15:07:15	Will XRP dip to $1.10 on May 23?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x2f6c59…
05-23 15:07:03	will xrp reach 1pt5 on may 23	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x83feb2…
05-23 15:06:52	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7cfb9…
05-23 15:06:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0ece83…
05-23 15:06:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x493924…
05-21 17:12:43	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0x643dce…
05-21 17:04:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	564	99¢	$558	0xcb25eb…
05-21 16:55:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x747508…
05-21 16:53:20	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0xa8c8bd…
05-21 16:52:59	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x029d63…
05-21 16:52:45	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x8976f3…
05-20 15:26:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x96824a…
05-20 15:25:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 20?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x6bb2f8…
05-20 15:25:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 20?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xdc5561…
05-20 15:21:52	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xd180b6…
05-20 15:19:48	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x28aceb…
05-20 15:19:38	Will XRP dip to $1.15 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbb190…
05-14 04:11:14	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,462	87¢	$1,272	0x49045f…
05-12 17:52:37	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,279	93¢	$1,190	0x5dd0a4…
05-11 11:17:15	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 11?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x8f426d…
05-11 11:17:06	Will Solana reach $105 on May 11?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xb5490f…
05-11 11:15:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	697	100¢	$695	0xedcff0…
05-11 11:14:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xa6db28…
05-10 15:21:28	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?	No	BUY	702	100¢	$701	0xb4d79d…
05-10 15:20:08	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc0ba01…
05-10 15:20:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x41d254…
05-10 15:19:50	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 10?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x17ba9a…
05-10 15:19:42	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd43770…
05-10 15:19:12	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 10?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xcc742e…
05-09 13:00:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 9?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x8d08cc…
05-09 12:59:28	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,108	0x7f982e…
05-08 15:29:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	369	100¢	$368	0xaebfd1…
05-08 15:29:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	817	100¢	$816	0xcf5596…
05-06 07:00:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x303af5…
05-06 06:57:50	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 6?	No	BUY	1,184	100¢	$1,183	0xff00d6…
05-05 21:13:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$331	0x3ab1ad…
05-05 21:12:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 5?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb5bf3a…
05-05 21:11:52	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xf83db8…
05-05 21:11:30	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 5?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x08c240…
05-05 21:11:22	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x3de59d…
05-05 21:11:14	Will Solana reach $95 on May 5?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xf911d9…
05-02 17:04:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 2?	No	BUY	668	100¢	$666	0x3a4e5c…
05-02 17:04:16	Will Solana reach $90 on May 2?	No	BUY	387	100¢	$387	0x61119b…
05-02 17:03:50	Will Solana reach $95 on May 2?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x8d0421…
05-02 00:24:26	Will Solana reach $95 on May 1?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x18b0ca…
05-02 00:16:10	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 1?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0xe50ea2…
05-01 15:57:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xd800c8…
05-01 15:56:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above $370?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5b2409…
05-01 15:55:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x93fae0…
05-01 15:55:30	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x60e686…
05-01 15:55:12	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe1c431…
05-01 15:48:28	Will Meta (META) finish week of April 27 above $660?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0xc4bc0e…
05-01 15:47:38	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0xfebfa7…
05-01 15:41:14	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf8ea9…
05-01 15:40:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x7693a3…