Candid-Lilac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$460

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$252

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-31 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$17

Other

46% 95% +$440

Politics

5% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	12	$2.9K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$188	05-25 09:31
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,462	0	+1,462	No	+$190	05-14 04:11
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	1	$1.2K	1,279	0	+1,279	No	+$90	05-12 17:52
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 6?	1	$1.2K	1,184	0	+1,184	No	+$1	05-06 06:57
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,109	0	+1,109	No	+$1	05-09 12:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 5?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	05-04 16:27
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on May 23?	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	No	+$2	05-23 15:07
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 20?	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	No	+$2	05-20 15:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$965	968	0	+968	No	+$3	05-11 11:15
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$816	817	0	+817	No	+$1	05-08 15:29
Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?	1	$701	702	0	+702	No	+$1	05-10 15:21
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 2?	1	$666	668	0	+668	No	+$2	05-02 17:04
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$558	564	0	+564	No	+$6	05-21 17:04
Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 1?	1	$501	502	0	+502	No	+$1	05-02 00:16
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$392	400	0	+400	No	+$8	05-01 15:47
Will Solana reach $90 on May 2?	1	$387	387	0	+387	No	+$1	05-02 17:04
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.75 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$368	369	0	+369	No	+$1	05-08 15:29
msft close above 460 on august 26 2026	1	$360	360	0	+360	Yes	+$0	08-26 18:00
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	1	$352	352	0	+352	No	+$0	05-05 21:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5?	1	$331	331	0	+331	No	+$0	05-05 21:13
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	1	$320	356	0	+356	No	+$36	05-25 19:39
Will Solana reach $140 in September?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	09-30 23:49
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	09-30 23:47
meta close above 540 on august 26 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	08-26 18:00
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September?	1	$295	295	0	+295	No	+$0	09-30 23:48
Will Solana dip to $80 on May 5?	2	$283	283	0	+283	No	+$0	05-05 21:11
Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 10?	1	$270	271	0	+271	No	+$1	05-10 15:19
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 20?	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	05-20 15:25
will xrp reach 1pt5 on may 23	1	$249	249	0	+249	No	+$0	05-23 15:07
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	09-30 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:02:09	Will Solana dip to $70 in October?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x40d3aa…
10-31 15:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on November 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x80aa8c…
10-04 05:15:11	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd36a75…
09-30 23:49:35	will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x21a816…
09-30 23:49:18	will ethereum dip to 2400 in september 2026 from september 17	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x079863…
09-30 23:49:05	Will Solana reach $140 in September?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xecf44b…
09-30 23:48:05	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0xd5e443…
09-30 23:47:54	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in september 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd8b7b1…
09-30 23:47:47	Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x14efb6…
09-30 23:47:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa7116f…
09-30 23:46:12	spy closes above 745 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x72563f…
08-26 18:02:06	amzn close above 270 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbae6ac…
08-26 18:00:55	spy closes above 745 on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x3e2920…
08-26 18:00:37	spy closes above 785 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4c431e…
08-26 18:00:18	msft close above 460 on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	360	100¢	$360	0x1a66e4…
08-26 18:00:04	meta close above 540 on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x857d22…
08-26 17:59:31	aapl close above 300 on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x299bab…
08-26 17:59:03	tsla close above 370 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x58f2d0…
08-26 17:58:33	amzn close above 275 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe34b7e…
08-26 17:58:12	googl close above 360 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xbf412c…
05-25 19:47:52	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	210	62¢	$130	0xb219d1…
05-25 19:39:47	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0x6ba958…
05-25 19:39:28	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	356	90¢	$320	0xb715cb…
05-25 19:38:58	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	43¢	$29	0x9a2638…
05-25 19:38:30	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.25 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	260	84¢	$218	0x929adc…
05-25 09:31:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	631	88¢	$555	0x75c8ec…
05-25 09:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xfa91da…
05-25 09:16:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf52999…
05-25 09:12:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	88¢	$90	0x4a33fe…
05-25 09:12:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	88¢	$99	0x426b9a…
05-25 09:05:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x5570f7…
05-25 07:34:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	85¢	$90	0xe4fd40…
05-25 07:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	353	85¢	$300	0x13d5ac…
05-25 07:31:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x46a16d…
05-25 07:31:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	439	85¢	$373	0x14c7a9…
05-25 05:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	76¢	$52	0x9ae61b…
05-25 05:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,731	76¢	$1,316	0x62cd79…
05-25 01:36:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,468	2¢	$47	0x10bfc1…
05-23 15:08:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x92dfd2…
05-23 15:07:15	Will XRP dip to $1.10 on May 23?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x2f6c59…
05-23 15:07:03	will xrp reach 1pt5 on may 23	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x83feb2…
05-23 15:06:52	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7cfb9…
05-23 15:06:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0ece83…
05-23 15:06:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x493924…
05-21 17:12:43	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0x643dce…
05-21 17:05:35	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $460-$465 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xe62454…
05-21 17:04:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	564	99¢	$558	0xcb25eb…
05-21 16:55:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x747508…
05-21 16:53:20	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0xa8c8bd…
05-21 16:52:59	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x029d63…
05-21 16:52:45	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x8976f3…
05-20 15:26:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x96824a…
05-20 15:25:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 20?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x6bb2f8…
05-20 15:25:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 20?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xdc5561…
05-20 15:21:52	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xd180b6…
05-20 15:19:48	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x28aceb…
05-20 15:19:38	Will XRP dip to $1.15 on May 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbb190…
05-14 04:11:14	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,462	87¢	$1,272	0x49045f…
05-12 17:52:37	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,279	93¢	$1,190	0x5dd0a4…
05-11 11:17:15	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 11?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x8f426d…
05-11 11:17:06	Will Solana reach $105 on May 11?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xb5490f…
05-11 11:15:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	697	100¢	$695	0xedcff0…
05-11 11:14:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xa6db28…
05-10 15:21:28	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?	No	BUY	702	100¢	$701	0xb4d79d…
05-10 15:20:08	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc0ba01…
05-10 15:20:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x41d254…
05-10 15:19:50	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on May 10?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x17ba9a…
05-10 15:19:42	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd43770…
05-10 15:19:12	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 10?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xcc742e…
05-09 13:00:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 9?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x8d08cc…
05-09 12:59:28	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,108	0x7f982e…
05-08 15:29:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	369	100¢	$368	0xaebfd1…
05-08 15:29:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	817	100¢	$816	0xcf5596…
05-06 07:00:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x303af5…
05-06 06:57:50	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 6?	No	BUY	1,184	100¢	$1,183	0xff00d6…
05-05 21:13:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$352	0x4d9e9d…
05-05 21:13:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$331	0x3ab1ad…
05-05 21:12:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 5?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb5bf3a…
05-05 21:11:52	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xf83db8…
05-05 21:11:30	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 5?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x08c240…
05-05 21:11:22	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 5?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x3de59d…
05-05 21:11:14	Will Solana reach $95 on May 5?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xf911d9…
05-04 16:28:48	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 5?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x6c868f…
05-04 16:27:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x1d908d…
05-02 17:04:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 2?	No	BUY	668	100¢	$666	0x3a4e5c…
05-02 17:04:16	Will Solana reach $90 on May 2?	No	BUY	387	100¢	$387	0x61119b…
05-02 17:03:50	Will Solana reach $95 on May 2?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x8d0421…
05-02 00:24:26	Will Solana reach $95 on May 1?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x18b0ca…
05-02 00:16:10	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 1?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0xe50ea2…
05-01 15:57:24	Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd4bfcc…
05-01 15:57:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xd800c8…
05-01 15:56:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above $370?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5b2409…
05-01 15:55:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x93fae0…
05-01 15:55:30	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x60e686…
05-01 15:55:12	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe1c431…
05-01 15:48:56	Will Meta (META) close at $680-$690 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x2e681e…
05-01 15:48:28	Will Meta (META) finish week of April 27 above $660?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0xc4bc0e…
05-01 15:47:38	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0xfebfa7…
05-01 15:41:14	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf8ea9…
05-01 15:40:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x7693a3…