Likable-Bow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

220

Trades

619

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-21 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% +$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	5	$225	114	114	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	5	$199	114	114	+0	open	—	04-30 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$190	96	96	+0	open	—	05-16 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$175	90	90	+0	open	—	05-14 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$152	102	52	+50	Up	+$0	05-14 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$137	69	69	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	3	$129	65	65	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 04:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	5	$126	64	64	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 13:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$122	62	62	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11AM ET	3	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-30 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET	2	$117	59	59	+0	open	—	04-30 10:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$117	59	59	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5AM ET	2	$116	59	59	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	3	$116	59	59	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 08:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$116	59	59	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$116	59	59	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10PM ET	4	$115	107	107	+0	open	—	05-01 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	2	$114	58	58	+0	open	—	05-19 06:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$110	56	56	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$108	55	55	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$107	59	59	+0	open	—	04-30 10:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET	3	$106	55	55	+0	open	—	05-18 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$105	53	53	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$104	53	53	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 17:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$104	53	53	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	05-18 17:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$102	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2AM ET	2	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	05-16 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5AM ET	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	05-17 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 05:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xd0a69c…
05-21 05:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x7351ae…
05-21 04:07:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0xac6916…
05-21 04:07:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0xc67a9f…
05-21 03:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xdc228e…
05-21 03:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x0cc554…
05-21 03:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x39aad0…
05-21 03:24:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xa113da…
05-21 03:21:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xf2765c…
05-21 03:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x66be6a…
05-21 03:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xf5e033…
05-21 02:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x34a7e2…
05-21 02:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xd83d11…
05-21 02:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x8e7475…
05-20 17:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xcf716f…
05-20 17:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x2635a9…
05-20 17:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xb20b8a…
05-20 16:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xaf7f19…
05-20 14:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x390bdd…
05-20 14:58:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x37c2be…
05-20 11:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x128482…
05-20 10:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x506977…
05-20 02:27:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x8168d8…
05-19 17:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x3dce94…
05-19 16:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x08a2b6…
05-19 16:53:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xdd37e6…
05-19 16:48:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xda1ec3…
05-19 11:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x1137ab…
05-19 10:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x6c199b…
05-19 10:24:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x6173ce…
05-19 09:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x81f4c1…
05-19 09:17:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x45bf06…
05-19 09:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x9757aa…
05-19 09:08:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x255478…
05-19 07:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x3fed31…
05-19 07:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x51f732…
05-19 07:03:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x07dc7a…
05-19 06:57:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xe03f69…
05-19 06:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xf025f5…
05-19 06:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x577113…
05-19 06:43:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x7b1147…
05-19 06:34:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x533d3c…
05-19 06:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xa2e553…
05-19 06:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xf61417…
05-19 06:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x82e494…
05-19 06:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xa8664a…
05-19 05:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x9a7eaa…
05-19 05:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x83f3fd…
05-19 04:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x63e098…
05-19 04:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xf7cfa8…
05-19 04:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0xfb21e5…
05-19 04:23:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x9caa80…
05-19 03:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xdd6c47…
05-19 02:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xb87d26…
05-19 02:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x6867ef…
05-19 02:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xab068b…
05-19 02:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xbb6848…
05-19 02:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x906784…
05-19 01:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x597b2f…
05-19 01:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x96df5a…
05-19 01:42:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x7c902a…
05-19 01:28:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x85e867…
05-19 00:44:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xe18222…
05-19 00:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xe40527…
05-19 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xee8fdd…
05-19 00:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x009bcc…
05-19 00:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xe82f2b…
05-19 00:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x9f1400…
05-18 17:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xb6483d…
05-18 17:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xb3b3e6…
05-18 17:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x0c6963…
05-18 16:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x9149fd…
05-18 16:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x6f6cd8…
05-18 15:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x4ba30a…
05-18 15:43:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x4d449d…
05-18 12:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	82¢	$34	0xdccdf5…
05-18 11:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x1ab9fe…
05-18 11:58:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x31ebec…
05-18 11:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x3737b4…
05-18 11:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xe96530…
05-18 11:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x7f44cd…
05-18 10:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0xf800b2…
05-18 10:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x0d30aa…
05-18 10:47:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x56e40d…
05-18 10:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xe3519f…
05-18 10:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x20e5a8…
05-18 10:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xf38e22…
05-18 10:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x6895aa…
05-18 10:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x98f09a…
05-18 10:24:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xf9b7c4…
05-18 10:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xe0678f…
05-18 10:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x7dd3b9…
05-18 09:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xae0746…
05-18 09:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x1f04cc…
05-18 08:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x423ce4…
05-18 08:38:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xa5dae5…
05-18 08:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x336a16…
05-18 07:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xdb1f22…
05-18 07:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x48b6c5…
05-18 07:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xbde62d…