Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$302

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-09

last 10-26 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

61% 18% -$9

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

5% 88% +$1

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes		+0	$0	26¢	$0	$0	10-23 05:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+0	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	10-25 18:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	42	$46	281	281	+0	open	—	10-26 18:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	36	$38	252	252	+0	open	—	10-26 18:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	14	$14	120	120	+0	open	—	10-25 18:52
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	12	$13	82	82	+0	open	—	10-26 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	6	$7	7	7	+0	No	$0	10-23 06:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	6	$6	24	24	+0	open	—	10-23 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 24?	5	$6	5	3	+2	No	+$0	10-23 06:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$5	37	37	+0	open	—	10-26 18:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	4	$4	6	2	+4	Yes	-$2	10-23 14:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	4	$4	9	9	+0	open	—	10-23 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 23?	4	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	10-23 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 24?	4	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-23 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 24?	4	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-23 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 24?	4	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	10-23 12:14
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 23?	4	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-23 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?	4	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	10-23 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 24?	4	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-23 06:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	4	$4	6	5	+0	open	—	10-25 18:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?	4	$4	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	10-21 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 20?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	10-21 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 24?	3	$3	4	2	+2	No	+$1	10-23 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	10-25 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	10-22 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21?	3	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	10-21 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	10-26 18:19
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 10?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	-$1	10-10 04:00
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-23 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 26?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	10-25 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 23?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-23 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	10-25 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6ba33f…
10-26 20:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4ed57d…
10-26 20:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd65379…
10-26 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4cb222…
10-26 20:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1c6f84…
10-26 18:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6301de…
10-26 18:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x7eaa84…
10-26 18:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb6c452…
10-26 18:26:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x8b764e…
10-26 18:25:26	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x190f41…
10-26 18:25:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xcdacc2…
10-26 18:21:26	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x2e344f…
10-26 18:21:26	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x1f1a18…
10-26 18:21:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x562c79…
10-26 18:19:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xdf9350…
10-26 18:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x320ce5…
10-25 18:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x25a228…
10-25 18:53:59	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xa368a3…
10-25 18:52:47	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xdafde6…
10-25 18:52:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x6c9fcb…
10-25 18:20:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x4fd885…
10-25 18:18:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x9ded38…
10-25 18:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd48a2f…
10-25 18:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x557d55…
10-25 18:12:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x1faa77…
10-25 18:09:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xf8b7ea…
10-25 18:05:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2874a6…
10-25 18:05:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x08ff1e…
10-25 18:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xae9a97…
10-25 18:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1a4f19…
10-25 18:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xcd96c3…
10-25 18:03:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xfc7325…
10-25 18:03:09	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xc35a23…
10-25 18:01:32	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x9de873…
10-25 18:01:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x087177…
10-25 17:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x07dc5a…
10-25 17:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe9185f…
10-25 17:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0581b2…
10-25 17:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1fc64a…
10-25 17:53:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x1210fb…
10-25 17:51:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x0b5e1d…
10-25 17:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x87fd18…
10-25 17:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x749d44…
10-25 17:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x5a47a9…
10-25 17:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfaa7fe…
10-25 17:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8468cb…
10-25 17:36:54	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xbe0d05…
10-25 17:35:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xcd5a50…
10-25 17:30:29	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x74a396…
10-25 17:29:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xe115e0…
10-25 17:28:03	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x179ccb…
10-25 17:18:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xf5f976…
10-25 15:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x9654a3…
10-25 15:04:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xc263e0…
10-25 15:02:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa3a1f0…
10-25 15:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2171c3…
10-25 15:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x97e3d2…
10-25 15:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x812a76…
10-25 15:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf8a8ee…
10-25 14:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x695516…
10-25 14:58:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x777774…
10-25 14:55:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x808138…
10-25 14:43:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x51221e…
10-25 14:42:20	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xc6685c…
10-25 14:30:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xa3b50b…
10-25 08:56:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x534d55…
10-23 14:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8abaeb…
10-23 14:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc8ef42…
10-23 13:34:53	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x067e5a…
10-23 13:30:06	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x96d86b…
10-23 13:19:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x6f894a…
10-23 13:15:06	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x92cb64…
10-23 12:42:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x33d6bd…
10-23 12:38:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x67e077…
10-23 12:27:36	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x3b03f2…
10-23 12:21:53	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x77396d…
10-23 12:20:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xd537be…
10-23 12:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x1bbcef…
10-23 12:10:41	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xf9f438…
10-23 11:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfcd669…
10-23 11:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x113aae…
10-23 11:48:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x2ac3f9…
10-23 11:48:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x8c235b…
10-23 11:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x419d92…
10-23 11:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x1550db…
10-23 11:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6de9a9…
10-23 11:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x9ebc45…
10-23 11:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe771fc…
10-23 11:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x21e6b0…
10-23 11:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x479ef6…
10-23 11:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x3af524…
10-23 11:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4ee325…
10-23 11:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x9917cb…
10-23 09:33:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x8c4d0a…
10-23 09:27:47	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xd5acc9…
10-23 09:13:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xe8392a…
10-23 09:08:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x4ddc33…
10-23 07:11:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xc302e8…
10-23 07:04:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xb1a9da…
10-23 07:03:53	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xc64300…