Realized P&L (30d)
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
8
8 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$31
$31 lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$29
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 03:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
51%
Other
49%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes +47 $9 18¢ $9 +$0 05-05 20:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +36 $4 20¢ $7 +$3 05-05 17:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +16 $4 29¢ $5 +$1 05-05 17:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes +27 $4 16¢ $4 +$0 05-05 17:17
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -125 $-4 $-4 $-0 05-06 03:24