Obedient-Mortise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$420

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

269

Trades

468

lifetime

Volume

$7.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 11-01 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$420

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$210	140	140	+0	Up	+$70	10-20 15:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	11	$209	140	140	+0	Up	+$69	08-09 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	3	$190	140	140	-0	Up	+$50	11-01 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$160	160	160	+0	Down	+$0	10-04 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$120	160	160	+0	Up	-$40	09-20 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$106	140	140	+0	Down	-$34	10-24 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$105	140	140	+0	Up	-$35	10-30 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	22	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	10-07 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$80	160	0	+160	Up	+$80	09-23 16:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-26 12:00 UTC	1	$80	200	0	+200	Down	-$80	09-26 12:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 04:00 UTC	1	$80	160	0	+160	Down	+$80	09-17 04:48
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	2	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	09-20 04:02
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 04:00 UTC	2	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	09-25 04:03
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 16:00 UTC	1	$80	160	0	+160	Down	+$80	09-30 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$80	160	0	+160	Up	-$80	09-18 12:05
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 20:00 UTC	3	$80	160	0	+160	Up	-$80	09-28 20:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 08:00 UTC	2	$80	163	0	+163	Up	+$83	09-28 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$80	182	0	+182	Up	-$80	10-01 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$78	153	0	+153	Up	-$78	09-09 08:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	1	$78	153	0	+153	Down	-$78	08-28 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$78	153	0	+153	Up	+$75	09-04 08:03
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 08:00 UTC	1	$78	153	0	+153	Up	+$75	09-15 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$78	153	0	+153	Down	-$78	09-10 16:02
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	1	$78	153	0	+153	Up	-$78	08-31 12:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 16:00 UTC	2	$78	153	0	+153	Up	+$75	08-26 16:27
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	2	$78	153	0	+153	Down	+$75	08-30 00:17
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	1	$78	153	0	+153	Down	+$75	08-24 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$78	153	0	+153	Down	-$78	09-01 16:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 16:00 UTC	2	$78	153	0	+153	Down	+$75	08-27 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	2	$78	153	0	+153	Up	+$75	09-16 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x178ebd…
11-01 02:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	139	86¢	$120	0xb15054…
11-01 00:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x7bebe3…
10-31 12:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	143	49¢	$70	0x66a00f…
10-30 12:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x8878c4…
10-30 00:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x8c0adc…
10-30 00:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	90	25¢	$22	0x024445…
10-30 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	138	50¢	$69	0xc12ad0…
10-30 00:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7ea000…
10-29 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x948661…
10-27 08:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xc6d66a…
10-26 00:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x97f2fa…
10-25 08:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x88bfec…
10-24 14:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	140	26¢	$36	0x95b9fa…
10-24 12:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xfea138…
10-23 22:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x26805a…
10-22 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xa07dbf…
10-20 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0xf5d738…
10-20 15:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x6594c4…
10-20 12:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	130	50¢	$65	0x6f3a31…
10-20 12:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x841e2d…
10-19 16:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x4773df…
10-18 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xdfe470…
10-17 16:03:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x04bcf6…
10-17 12:21:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x32599f…
10-16 00:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x6e31ff…
10-16 00:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xc4235c…
10-15 05:47:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	123	50¢	$61	0xaf2892…
10-15 04:01:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xea4996…
10-15 04:01:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa17cc4…
10-14 15:53:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	915	0¢	$4	0x4ca295…
10-14 15:51:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	915	0¢	$1	0x7a3d81…
10-07 00:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x380de2…
10-07 00:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8b000c…
10-07 00:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x910ac0…
10-07 00:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x384fbc…
10-07 00:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x99366d…
10-07 00:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8dfcfa…
10-07 00:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e098f…
10-07 00:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc8c1f2…
10-07 00:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x722204…
10-07 00:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x533131…
10-07 00:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x396b2a…
10-07 00:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1cbdcb…
10-07 00:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9174d0…
10-07 00:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x21c910…
10-07 00:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa9806f…
10-07 00:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3cf2b7…
10-07 00:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc88c6c…
10-07 00:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2ef2fc…
10-07 00:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc00e92…
10-07 00:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x932cb2…
10-07 00:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdaaf38…
10-07 00:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3fc573…
10-04 15:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x5aa5f4…
10-04 15:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	159	50¢	$80	0x831443…
10-04 12:01:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x295258…
10-01 20:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	44¢	$34	0xa1cd3d…
10-01 20:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	105	44¢	$46	0x216263…
09-30 16:02:26	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x10106c…
09-28 20:04:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	126	50¢	$63	0x32d6fe…
09-28 20:03:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x4e2387…
09-28 20:03:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xb20cb1…
09-28 08:20:44	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	157	49¢	$77	0xb52429…
09-28 08:00:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa4070a…
09-26 12:24:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x10b149…
09-25 04:03:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	155	50¢	$78	0x55c589…
09-25 04:01:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x302fc7…
09-23 16:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	159	50¢	$80	0xb7764b…
09-23 16:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x8c10a9…
09-20 23:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	160	25¢	$40	0x432a35…
09-20 20:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0xa083a7…
09-20 04:02:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xf19c3e…
09-20 04:02:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0xb9f54c…
09-18 12:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x329791…
09-17 04:48:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x463536…
09-16 01:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0x2dbae0…
09-16 01:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xd06cb7…
09-15 08:01:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0xef2ab1…
09-13 12:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x85cd7d…
09-13 12:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0xc51833…
09-10 16:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0x4c6996…
09-09 08:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0x94f61c…
09-08 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	170	45¢	$76	0xf191e4…
09-04 08:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0x5c7934…
09-01 16:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0x6ce2d1…
08-31 12:01:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0x91ebfc…
08-30 20:00:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	66	50¢	$33	0x53ca8f…
08-30 20:00:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xd41c81…
08-30 20:00:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x43ec0f…
08-30 00:17:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	138	51¢	$70	0x4b9e77…
08-30 00:00:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x7bd210…
08-28 12:00:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0xd2150f…
08-27 16:02:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x7c53a0…
08-27 16:00:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	115	51¢	$59	0xecbbb4…
08-26 16:27:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x2d4090…
08-26 16:16:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x8e8faf…
08-24 16:00:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	153	51¢	$78	0xc2301a…
08-23 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x119462…
08-20 20:02:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x07ed46…