Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

168

Trades

410

lifetime

Volume

$39.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 09-15 03:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

100% 99% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	2	$1.4K	711	711	+0	No	+$0	08-22 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,043	0	+1,043	No	+$1	09-01 03:28
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	No	+$1	08-25 01:43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,029	0	+1,029	Yes	+$1	08-10 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,028	0	+1,028	No	+$1	08-08 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,023	0	+1,023	Yes	+$1	07-28 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 1?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	07-01 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on July 2?	1	$900	901	0	+901	No	+$1	07-02 08:47
Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on August 26?	1	$789	790	0	+790	No	+$1	08-26 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 28?	1	$737	738	0	+738	No	+$1	08-28 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	1	$681	682	0	+682	No	+$1	08-01 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?	5	$668	668	0	+668	No	+$1	07-11 07:12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	15	$543	548	0	+548	No	+$5	08-24 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 2?	2	$527	527	0	+527	No	+$1	08-02 04:27
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 27?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	07-27 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	08-02 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 4?	26	$467	468	0	+468	No	+$0	07-04 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 21?	1	$452	452	0	+452	No	+$0	08-21 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 9?	3	$450	450	0	+450	No	+$0	07-09 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 24?	8	$449	449	0	+449	No	+$1	07-24 09:07
Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on August 27?	1	$432	433	0	+433	No	+$0	08-27 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 12?	8	$431	218	218	+0	No	-$3	07-12 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 12?	2	$416	418	0	+418	No	+$2	07-12 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?	1	$413	413	0	+413	Yes	+$0	07-04 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 6?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	07-06 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 14?	5	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	07-14 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on August 20?	1	$389	389	0	+389	No	+$0	08-20 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 21?	1	$374	374	0	+374	No	+$0	08-21 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?	5	$343	344	0	+344	No	+$0	07-29 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 10?	4	$343	343	0	+343	No	+$0	07-10 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 03:36:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x34ce47…
09-11 05:46:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x82bb40…
09-09 10:42:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf3fe56…
09-09 08:14:46	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on September 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbb0f25…
09-01 03:28:01	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	1,043	100¢	$1,042	0x53b0c6…
08-28 06:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	738	100¢	$737	0x47f1f7…
08-28 02:56:01	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 16°C on August 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfa18c2…
08-28 02:55:55	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 15°C on August 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x56d9c6…
08-28 02:55:46	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 14°C on August 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9b8413…
08-28 02:55:39	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on August 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x352703…
08-28 02:55:30	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 12°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd8ecba…
08-27 07:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on August 28?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x01b057…
08-27 07:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xa83baa…
08-27 06:51:16	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a0168…
08-27 06:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5d929a…
08-27 05:39:46	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x85ed6a…
08-27 05:39:37	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb5dfa6…
08-27 05:36:51	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 16°C on August 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1e7fe5…
08-27 05:36:45	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 15°C on August 27?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x0da74d…
08-27 05:36:37	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 14°C on August 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc1cf22…
08-27 05:36:30	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on August 27?	No	BUY	433	100¢	$432	0x65f187…
08-26 08:39:09	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on August 26?	No	BUY	790	100¢	$789	0xb4d4fb…
08-26 08:35:48	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 12°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x27eb2c…
08-25 01:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0xc74efd…
08-24 14:01:01	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 16°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc75b2b…
08-24 03:57:07	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 15°C on August 24?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x3af80a…
08-24 03:57:00	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 14°C on August 24?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x8dca7e…
08-24 03:56:52	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on August 24?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xaf6b2a…
08-24 03:56:45	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 12°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xcf4ac4…
08-24 03:32:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xb24bc1…
08-24 02:28:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa42668…
08-24 02:28:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2b5f2d…
08-24 02:28:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x6d423f…
08-24 02:27:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa1c905…
08-24 02:27:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4727cb…
08-24 02:27:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11c36f…
08-24 02:27:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1031d9…
08-24 02:27:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x62f4bf…
08-24 02:26:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x74ae96…
08-24 02:26:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xcbf929…
08-24 02:26:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x78e5a8…
08-24 02:26:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x07151d…
08-24 02:26:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x073339…
08-24 02:26:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x277e45…
08-22 15:37:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	SELL	711	100¢	$710	0xb6bdaa…
08-22 15:26:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	711	100¢	$710	0x2e99db…
08-21 05:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	452	100¢	$452	0x90c6b7…
08-21 05:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd261de…
08-21 05:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	374	100¢	$374	0x7187eb…
08-20 13:17:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x54c08c…
08-20 12:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcaee0…
08-20 12:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on August 21?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x3dabe8…
08-20 08:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa58f7a…
08-20 05:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	389	100¢	$389	0x84633e…
08-20 05:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3bfa56…
08-20 05:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xbe1b51…
08-20 05:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xac0b1a…
08-20 05:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf7a4eb…
08-20 05:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 20?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf32c50…
08-20 05:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x90c17c…
08-20 03:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0779c5…
08-20 03:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6bcf0e…
08-15 08:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x05ec9c…
08-14 12:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x4a227d…
08-14 12:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0f8da4…
08-14 11:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xeb6442…
08-11 15:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on August 12?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x4e4553…
08-11 15:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 12?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x450119…
08-11 14:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 12?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x0a4717…
08-11 14:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 12?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xbe0189…
08-11 10:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on August 12?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xfa7a6c…
08-11 08:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 12?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x572ff5…
08-11 08:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on August 12?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xa431bf…
08-10 15:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,029	100¢	$1,028	0x01ddd9…
08-08 15:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,028	100¢	$1,027	0x3ba0d0…
08-02 04:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 2?	No	BUY	427	100¢	$427	0xb757aa…
08-02 04:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x77d55d…
08-02 04:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xdab297…
08-01 09:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xd731a3…
08-01 09:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$67	0xd4c48a…
08-01 06:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	682	100¢	$681	0x380481…
08-01 06:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8c7988…
08-01 06:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xac8a26…
08-01 03:16:29	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfa0505…
08-01 03:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7608da…
07-31 15:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6223f5…
07-31 14:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc13969…
07-31 12:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x181ac6…
07-31 08:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xec408d…
07-31 07:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x352d1c…
07-31 07:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x3551c9…
07-31 06:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x32927c…
07-31 06:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb5ba86…
07-31 06:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xf7b90b…
07-31 05:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x279908…
07-31 05:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf25908…
07-31 05:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x957a87…
07-31 05:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd99380…
07-31 05:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x8d1984…
07-31 05:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xbbba7c…