Astonishing-Company — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.77K

Unrealized P&L

-$616

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

1,068

Trades

2,034

lifetime

Volume

$408.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$201

Open exposure

$13.3K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-28 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

79% 93% -$4,129

Politics

19% 61% -$494

Tech

1% 80% +$23

Sports

0% 64% -$166

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,351	$4,200	95¢	$4.1K	-$64	10-24 06:12
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	+3,500	$3,338	98¢	$3.4K	+$82	10-19 18:38
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	+2,085	$1,989	97¢	$2.0K	+$42	10-19 15:14
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+2,222	$1,955	74¢	$1.6K	-$322	10-18 21:00
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+1,259	$936	79¢	$996	+$60	09-26 08:40
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+1,118	$950	72¢	$799	-$151	08-03 17:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+860	$533	31¢	$267	-$267	05-29 20:22
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+60	$47	86¢	$51	+$4	08-14 20:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	46	$14.0K	8,928	8,928	-0	No	+$496	06-03 18:34
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$9.8K	14,458	14,458	+0	Yes	-$3,172	10-17 21:28
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	19	$5.5K	2,995	2,995	+0	Yes	+$101	05-04 01:21
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	8	$5.1K	4,303	4,303	+0	No	-$728	05-16 23:02
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	14	$4.4K	2,405	2,405	-0	Yes	+$17	04-29 14:15
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	3	$4.2K	4,351	0	+4,351	open	—	10-24 06:12
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	6	$4.2K	0	5,128	-5,128	Yes	-$960	06-03 09:14
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$4.1K	5,872	0	+5,872	Yes	+$1,734	09-06 10:57
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	13	$3.8K	2,096	2,096	-0	No	+$29	05-16 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	11	$3.5K	3,577	0	+3,577	Yes	+$31	06-07 09:23
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	1	$3.3K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	10-19 18:38
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	12	$2.9K	2,212	1,575	+637	No	-$352	05-16 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?	1	$2.9K	2,867	0	+2,867	No	+$3	06-10 07:08
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	43	$2.8K	1,862	1,884	-22	Yes	+$130	04-21 10:38
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	19	$2.8K	3,203	3,203	+0	No	-$2,595	05-04 04:48
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$2.7K	3,100	0	+3,100	Yes	+$434	06-10 19:26
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 9?	2	$2.6K	2,621	0	+2,621	No	+$10	06-09 14:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$2.6K	2,615	0	+2,615	Yes	+$26	06-26 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	2	$2.6K	2,587	0	+2,587	Yes	+$12	06-10 08:04
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	20	$2.5K	1,583	1,583	+0	Yes	+$333	05-16 04:06
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	4	$2.4K	0	2,750	-2,750	No	+$2,383	05-30 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?	1	$2.4K	2,360	0	+2,360	No	+$2	06-20 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10?	2	$2.2K	2,197	0	+2,197	Yes	+$2	06-10 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?	3	$2.2K	2,204	0	+2,204	Yes	+$17	06-12 08:28
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	9	$2.1K	1,230	1,230	+0	Yes	+$350	06-03 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13?	2	$2.1K	2,096	0	+2,096	Yes	+$22	06-13 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	2	$2.0K	2,058	0	+2,058	Yes	+$9	07-19 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?	9	$2.0K	1,893	150	+1,743	Yes	+$3	06-17 20:07
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	19	$2.0K	1,144	1,144	+0	Yes	+$50	04-28 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 23?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$4	06-23 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:52:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,200	0¢	$5	0x7b1fd3…
10-25 23:39:11	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,056	0¢	$3	0x949858…
10-25 23:38:41	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	889	0¢	$3	0xd7d5c0…
10-24 17:48:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	432	70¢	$302	0x5a09f8…
10-24 17:44:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	372	70¢	$260	0x7deedf…
10-24 17:43:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	75	70¢	$52	0xe2c283…
10-24 17:40:59	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xfcc9a2…
10-24 17:36:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x93b007…
10-24 06:12:35	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	95¢	$161	0x825da1…
10-22 18:25:20	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	461	95¢	$436	0x54461d…
10-20 03:01:18	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0xfed63d…
10-19 18:38:38	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	3,500	95¢	$3,338	0x735cfa…
10-19 18:28:39	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	140	70¢	$98	0x623c32…
10-19 15:14:42	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	718	96¢	$688	0xa6543b…
10-18 21:00:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,222	88¢	$1,955	0xbd1a9c…
10-18 20:55:09	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	811	89¢	$722	0x69856e…
10-18 20:06:45	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,720	97¢	$3,603	0xcda0bb…
10-18 08:42:09	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	1,367	95¢	$1,302	0x84b361…
10-17 21:28:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14,458	23¢	$3,325	0xa04338…
10-17 21:27:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,200	69¢	$828	0xfb7be3…
09-26 08:40:20	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0xaf7881…
09-25 20:13:09	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	68	71¢	$49	0x18b372…
09-25 08:25:44	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	188	71¢	$133	0xcadc3b…
09-24 11:41:44	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	180	75¢	$135	0x8c97e4…
09-23 19:19:01	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	800	75¢	$604	0x32e573…
09-06 10:57:28	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	190	72¢	$137	0xa92238…
09-06 10:57:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xeb010f…
09-05 22:57:33	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	474	72¢	$341	0x1ca9d5…
08-30 18:37:31	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	1,091	2¢	$27	0xffbd74…
08-14 20:29:06	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x69c3ab…
08-12 15:41:03	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1,100	75¢	$822	0x53ff9e…
08-12 15:18:49	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	889	62¢	$549	0xec6d93…
08-09 21:23:34	Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	858	87¢	$746	0xe6916a…
08-09 17:07:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0x799621…
08-08 20:17:34	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xe6a7d0…
08-08 19:58:07	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5,272	71¢	$3,723	0x530b7e…
08-06 20:32:38	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	220	72¢	$158	0xe7a685…
08-04 14:37:33	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	746	87¢	$646	0x55062f…
08-03 18:54:33	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	335	84¢	$281	0xf70f17…
08-03 17:08:27	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	1,118	85¢	$950	0xedea3e…
08-02 19:08:36	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	388	68¢	$265	0x550865…
08-02 18:56:35	Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	650	90¢	$585	0x26b621…
07-20 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	342	100¢	$341	0x95b761…
07-20 07:01:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0x90e13d…
07-20 06:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	166	96¢	$159	0x8f297d…
07-20 06:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	558	100¢	$557	0xd88256…
07-20 05:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0x93ddff…
07-20 05:41:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	124	98¢	$121	0xf8bd56…
07-20 05:39:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	86	99¢	$86	0x4c3703…
07-20 05:04:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	176	99¢	$173	0x18d0b3…
07-19 20:04:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 21?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x72947f…
07-19 19:30:22	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x166c76…
07-19 19:25:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 21?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x2c4f71…
07-19 18:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	1,292	100¢	$1,291	0x165bd9…
07-19 18:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 19?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$337	0x172f00…
07-19 09:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x38c2f9…
07-19 09:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 19?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x1761d2…
07-19 09:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 19?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$114	0x86c26b…
07-19 09:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	1,757	100¢	$1,750	0x4d2763…
07-19 08:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 19?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xcbca81…
07-19 08:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x0d067d…
07-19 07:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xe32466…
07-19 07:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x21797e…
07-19 07:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0x730025…
07-18 20:11:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	159	92¢	$146	0x15f51d…
07-18 20:01:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on July 19?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x877a42…
07-18 09:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x659a8e…
07-18 08:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 18?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0x19ff25…
07-18 07:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0x24fdc5…
07-18 06:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x50a059…
07-17 21:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0x593c22…
07-17 16:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	316	100¢	$315	0x35b493…
07-17 10:10:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 17?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x86a409…
07-17 08:57:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 17?	No	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x7e9072…
07-17 08:55:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 17?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x6a7633…
07-17 07:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0x1ec760…
07-17 07:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0xc9cc4e…
07-17 04:37:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf3898e…
07-16 07:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x6eda79…
07-16 07:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xb6df00…
07-16 07:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?	No	BUY	319	100¢	$318	0x794ad2…
07-16 07:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0xa2ca4a…
07-16 06:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0xf681e6…
07-16 06:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	141	88¢	$124	0xf44991…
07-16 05:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x23f922…
07-16 05:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0x485339…
07-16 05:06:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2d380f…
07-16 05:05:44	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 16?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0x7dc9be…
07-16 05:04:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x55e0f0…
07-15 20:22:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 16?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xde6031…
07-15 20:21:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	135	94¢	$126	0x998ef4…
07-15 20:19:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0xf10c7b…
07-15 14:11:56	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 17?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x9cb997…
07-15 10:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$139	0xabf2eb…
07-15 10:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 15?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x69f7b5…
07-15 08:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0xe7cd36…
07-15 07:13:11	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	415	100¢	$413	0x1f072b…
07-15 07:11:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x9d0901…
07-15 06:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	362	100¢	$362	0xbd2af7…
07-15 06:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	103	99¢	$103	0x675896…