Flashy-Voting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

437

Trades

821

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

78% 79% -$11

Crypto

17% 86% +$1

Politics

3% 55% +$0

Sports

1% 67% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana above 90 on july 23 2026	6	$106	53	53	+0	No	$0	07-23 04:44
will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	5	$104	52	52	+0	No	$0	07-26 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-25 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 23?	4	$85	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-23 00:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 26?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-26 02:14
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	2	$68	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	07-24 03:59
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-20 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-19 23:57
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-27 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 29?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-29 00:13
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	05-26 11:01
will mu dip to 780 by july 6 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-10 13:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	4	$63	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 21?	4	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	05-21 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 24?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-23 19:42
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-26 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 27?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-26 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on July 11?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-10 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 16?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-16 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on July 25?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-24 21:06
will boeing say airplane 10 times during earnings call 20260724221853546	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-28 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on July 23?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-22 14:19
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-28 01:48
xrp above 1pt3 on july 28 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-28 10:45
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 01:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-22 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 21?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 01:01
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	02-05 13:39
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-29 22:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 22?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-22 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa4779e…
10-18 18:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfc2046…
10-16 09:25:00	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9be72f…
10-13 02:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x27d655…
10-13 00:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc754ed…
10-12 15:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xd22ed2…
10-12 09:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa341c5…
10-12 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x47b9fe…
10-12 06:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x65ba3c…
10-12 04:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0d4555…
10-12 01:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4ff46…
10-10 05:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf7721…
10-07 19:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6249d7…
10-05 10:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8a4358…
10-02 03:26:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x88b145…
10-01 22:01:50	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x520829…
10-01 04:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0ddc49…
09-28 02:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x19319f…
09-27 20:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf99014…
09-27 18:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfd0cf3…
09-26 07:46:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5b11d7…
09-23 02:41:04	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5fc5a6…
09-22 20:32:09	Will Chennedy Carter have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xda9a58…
09-22 17:44:16	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x58e529…
09-22 14:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x64acca…
09-21 22:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc592d5…
09-19 08:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcf278f…
09-17 23:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb32fc6…
09-17 12:13:55	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xaad361…
09-13 03:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5f96ef…
09-11 20:00:01	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x19b044…
09-11 19:59:34	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc74593…
09-11 02:35:40	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x24fbd1…
09-10 19:19:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x637516…
09-07 16:53:55	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7624f0…
09-06 13:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1aca01…
09-06 08:46:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa24de4…
09-05 22:38:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xebd46d…
09-05 08:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe74e44…
09-05 03:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7c3ca3…
09-04 21:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5a68da…
09-04 19:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x94dd98…
09-04 07:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe51ae8…
09-03 23:02:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xad7e87…
09-03 16:30:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x01b09c…
09-03 10:26:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x03feea…
09-03 00:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xefff05…
09-02 13:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc085ac…
09-02 11:57:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x289147…
09-02 08:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbe3860…
09-01 09:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6d72b9…
09-01 03:41:48	bitcoin above 84k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x26a0d9…
08-31 05:20:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x522e50…
08-30 22:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb26b0c…
08-30 19:18:06	Will Hong Kong have between 600-650mm of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcebb36…
08-30 10:11:33	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0d83f7…
08-30 04:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x13a04f…
08-29 18:15:36	will bitcoin reach 82k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2b3191…
08-29 07:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x30715d…
08-28 18:22:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcc9ed2…
08-28 14:46:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x42ffa6…
08-27 19:20:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3055b9…
08-27 06:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x875cfe…
08-27 03:12:16	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be at least 0.8%?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9946a9…
08-26 19:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x391ddf…
08-26 16:43:54	bitcoin above 86k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xed831c…
08-25 14:28:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xadfcc6…
08-25 12:02:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb2e2bc…
08-25 06:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x95d41d…
08-24 20:47:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xe211fd…
08-24 19:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x832263…
08-24 12:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c522a…
08-24 05:06:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x40058b…
08-23 20:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8b4777…
08-14 17:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8fb4aa…
08-14 06:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x677e49…
08-13 21:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 106°F or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaf2dbf…
08-13 16:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03e60f…
08-13 09:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xee9841…
08-13 06:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x261a29…
08-12 22:04:04	Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xaa107a…
08-12 07:36:55	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf81959…
08-12 01:47:54	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 11	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa108c6…
08-11 23:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa2bfee…
08-11 20:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on August 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x36e486…
08-11 13:38:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x75c3b3…
08-10 23:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1c6b62…
08-10 19:09:21	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x59ba5a…
08-10 13:56:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc9bde2…
08-10 12:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe295e2…
08-09 12:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x55429b…
08-09 07:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7e7fa4…
08-09 05:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x84b23d…
08-09 02:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf97cea…
08-08 19:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x47ab71…
08-08 03:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x79c580…
08-08 02:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x76bba9…
08-07 21:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe6fce…
08-07 18:39:49	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 7	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd28d1a…
08-07 13:09:45	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5e4f38…