Second-Hand-Emergence-Pun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved

547

Trades

1,869

lifetime

Volume

$3.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 09-04 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

56% 37% -$66

Politics

17% 29% -$39

Sports

14% 15% +$9

Crypto

11% 40% -$6

Tech

2% 8% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	19	$162	150	151	-1	Yes	-$17	05-16 19:27
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	58	$114	2,118	91	+2,027	Kansas City Royals	+$21	04-27 02:03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	25	$111	120	124	-4	Elina Svitolina	+$6	05-16 18:45
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	66	$65	109	109	+0	Yes	-$1	04-19 14:51
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$55	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	04-19 18:09
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaume Munar	14	$50	47	47	+0	Adolfo Vallejo	+$3	05-16 19:20
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	12	$48	42	42	+0	Yes	$0	04-20 22:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	36	$42	47	47	+0	Yes	$0	04-19 12:43
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	11	$41	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	04-26 09:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	19	$39	67	67	+0	No	+$3	08-25 09:44
Paris: Diane Parry vs Alina Charaeva	9	$36	39	39	+0	Diane Parry	-$1	05-16 17:44
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	30	$36	34	34	+0	No	$0	04-19 13:48
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	9	$34	46	36	+10	GamerLegion	+$0	05-16 20:32
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	7	$32	29	24	+6	PlayTime	+$1	05-16 18:45
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	7	$27	33	21	+12	Tundra Esports	-$3	05-16 19:19
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	25	$26	22	22	+1	No	+$0	04-19 13:27
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	25	$26	48	48	+0	No	$0	04-16 21:15
Ismaily SC vs. ZED FC: O/U 2.5	8	$24	27	27	+0	Under	+$0	05-17 19:55
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	6	$24	32	32	+0	No	$0	04-19 23:02
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	6	$24	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	04-20 18:18
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	6	$23	34	34	+0	No	-$1	04-20 18:16
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	12	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	-$1	04-28 04:46
FK Rubin Kazan vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: O/U 4.5	3	$23	33	33	+0	Under	+$15	05-17 16:56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	4	$20	18	18	+0	BetBoom Team	+$4	05-16 19:44
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	23	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	04-05 16:25
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	10	$20	61	61	+0	No	+$1	06-25 09:40
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	10	$19	12	12	+0	No	-$1	06-16 18:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	12	$19	33	33	-0	No	-$1	08-19 14:28
will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	11	$18	30	30	+0	Yes	-$2	08-19 14:28
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	5	$18	21	21	+0	BetBoom Team	+$2	05-16 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 19:56:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x54f903…
09-04 19:56:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x3df85c…
09-04 19:55:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xb5aa4c…
09-04 19:55:31	will xi jinping visit us by september 30	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x5a7048…
09-04 19:55:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xaebbc1…
09-04 19:55:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x9e545a…
09-04 19:55:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xdc21a6…
09-04 19:55:15	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 7 2026 1159 pm et	No	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xb915a5…
09-04 19:55:12	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x11c953…
09-04 19:55:07	will wti dip to 80 in september 2026	No	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0xe6c0da…
09-04 19:55:03	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0xd039b0…
09-04 19:55:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xf9eb94…
09-04 19:54:46	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x460d01…
09-04 18:59:07	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf6f9fd…
09-04 18:44:36	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x0c89fc…
09-04 18:28:09	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbacd6c…
09-04 17:12:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2d46d4…
09-04 17:08:34	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x84e8e5…
09-04 16:45:54	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb9aaac…
09-04 15:44:24	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 in September?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe10d33…
09-04 14:42:19	will xi jinping visit us by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xee0181…
09-04 12:47:46	will ethereum reach 2600 in september 2026	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xab1e17…
09-04 12:47:45	will ethereum dip to 2200 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3a618b…
09-04 12:38:15	will ethereum dip to 1900 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x62cdf7…
09-04 12:37:45	will ethereum dip to 2000 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x78a0be…
09-04 02:21:31	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x4d3d7c…
09-04 01:38:07	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3f57b0…
09-03 23:15:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x04dcc0…
09-03 22:38:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x221e0d…
09-03 20:58:24	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa6e377…
09-03 19:41:09	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xaa729e…
09-03 16:35:49	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf23832…
09-03 12:09:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xfddff5…
09-03 11:18:27	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2a569b…
09-03 09:33:55	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6d3d0c…
09-03 09:25:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf49d32…
09-03 05:09:22	will donald trump publicly insult mark carney by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xa20b3a…
09-03 05:07:42	will donald trump publicly insult mark carney by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0b9e1f…
09-02 20:54:30	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9b1510…
09-02 20:39:57	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x13cedb…
09-02 15:56:37	Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x3e0a9b…
09-02 15:54:25	Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xedeb5c…
09-02 15:28:55	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc20ed2…
09-02 12:37:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc95885…
09-02 11:12:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xea39e5…
09-02 10:12:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6a6cad…
09-02 09:10:04	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xdfb2fe…
09-02 08:56:07	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	No	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x820fdc…
09-01 17:26:34	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x35bf5a…
09-01 16:19:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9f1db3…
09-01 16:18:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x41634f…
09-01 16:15:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3e0f8d…
09-01 16:14:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6c971a…
09-01 14:17:39	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4bf25f…
09-01 12:41:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf52c43…
09-01 12:36:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9f2680…
09-01 10:36:40	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2c0595…
09-01 10:17:52	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x5873cc…
09-01 10:17:25	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0dedaf…
09-01 10:13:25	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x26016c…
09-01 09:55:09	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x681bad…
09-01 09:53:54	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2a6f54…
09-01 09:47:24	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in September?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x7fd4dc…
09-01 09:41:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x41f18a…
09-01 09:36:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xdc1bc1…
08-31 22:22:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x03b873…
08-31 18:00:21	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x8a9fb3…
08-31 11:50:09	will wti dip to 80 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe44f64…
08-31 11:12:36	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x51211f…
08-31 10:56:35	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xd3f720…
08-31 10:53:08	will xauusd reach 4600 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x59e29c…
08-31 10:52:51	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb6ac7a…
08-30 21:41:33	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x33713b…
08-30 16:54:07	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x1a2f61…
08-30 16:47:10	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3cd01c…
08-30 16:39:22	will fuck or fucking be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 31	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x3942c0…
08-30 16:38:25	will fuck or fucking be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 31	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x963745…
08-29 17:51:52	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x772b3d…
08-29 16:32:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x6bbb7e…
08-29 16:31:40	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5dfc57…
08-29 15:07:04	Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0xf4138c…
08-29 15:07:01	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xb524aa…
08-29 15:06:58	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	CDU	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x456398…
08-29 15:06:57	will amzn dip to 264 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x074104…
08-29 15:06:55	will tsla reach 360 in august 2026 from august 27	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x5e1818…
08-29 12:13:31	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xf5ce69…
08-29 12:13:27	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x9065e9…
08-29 12:13:19	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	No	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xb987fe…
08-29 12:13:15	state d4 drought 2026 09 01 wy	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xf2a9d0…
08-29 12:13:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xa3d1d1…
08-29 12:13:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x3d5903…
08-29 12:12:57	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 15 2026	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x159421…
08-29 12:12:49	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x61f08f…
08-29 12:12:36	will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xe37536…
08-29 12:09:03	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	CDU	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x81f07d…
08-29 10:58:34	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x624227…
08-29 10:17:13	will tsla reach 360 in august 2026 from august 27	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcd206b…
08-29 10:11:43	will amzn dip to 264 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x547062…
08-28 17:08:43	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x758e9f…
08-28 16:58:31	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x939bec…