Only-Declination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$131

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

1,158

Trades

7,611

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 11-13 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% +$131

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 739 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	—	+20	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	11-13 05:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	11	$566	801	0	+801	No	+$35	04-06 13:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	35	$483	692	34	+658	Yes	+$119	03-31 14:53
bitcoin above 68k on april 6	14	$453	601	0	+601	Yes	+$148	04-06 13:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 13:30 UTC	146	$292	596	0	+596	Up	+$6	07-07 13:44
bitcoin above 68k on march 29	13	$285	175	159	+16	No	+$1	03-28 21:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 6	5	$271	605	5	+600	Yes	-$268	04-06 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	44	$231	329	0	+329	Down	-$7	05-27 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 13:30 UTC	115	$227	466	0	+466	Up	+$4	07-09 13:42
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	34	$206	697	35	+662	Yes	-$68	03-31 14:53
bitcoin above 72k on april 6	1	$195	200	0	+200	No	+$5	04-06 10:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 06:45 UTC	14	$192	379	0	+379	Up	-$16	08-12 06:58
bitcoin above 66k on april 5	3	$190	201	0	+201	Yes	+$11	04-05 12:39
bitcoin above 68k on march 31	40	$187	747	35	+712	No	-$41	03-31 14:53
bitcoin above 68k on april 5	6	$172	200	0	+200	No	+$28	04-05 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:45 UTC	57	$154	308	0	+308	Down	+$3	06-04 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	40	$133	284	0	+284	Up	+$2	06-03 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 08:00 UTC	42	$133	278	0	+278	Up	+$8	06-29 08:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 29	13	$132	175	158	+17	Yes	-$8	03-28 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	57	$127	251	0	+251	Down	+$2	05-27 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	52	$125	265	0	+265	Down	+$5	06-04 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	52	$124	234	0	+234	Down	-$13	05-27 16:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 6	4	$120	200	0	+200	No	+$80	04-06 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	43	$117	229	0	+229	Up	+$4	05-27 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	51	$114	233	0	+233	Up	$0	05-27 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 08:45 UTC	9	$113	223	0	+223	Up	-$10	08-11 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	42	$109	250	0	+250	Down	+$21	06-03 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	23	$100	381	0	+381	Up	+$92	11-03 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	34	$93	202	0	+202	Down	-$10	06-03 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:00 UTC	44	$89	195	0	+195	Down	-$14	07-09 07:09
bitcoin above 66k on march 29	9	$88	75	59	+16	Yes	+$3	03-28 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 05:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcc3f66…
11-13 05:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x167a0a…
11-13 05:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xe7c4fc…
11-13 05:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5ff6d3…
11-13 05:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f5fc9…
11-13 05:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf64fd2…
11-13 05:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf530c2…
11-13 05:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x5ac6fe…
11-13 05:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa22f1c…
11-13 05:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x7f66c1…
11-13 05:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x68a8cd…
11-13 05:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x452723…
11-13 05:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x691591…
11-13 05:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x43a42b…
11-13 05:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x1f2df4…
11-13 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x22e1ce…
11-13 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x16f16a…
11-13 05:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3cc74d…
11-13 05:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbad0fd…
11-13 05:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdf45ed…
11-13 05:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x456029…
11-13 04:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x15f776…
11-13 04:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xf49cd3…
11-13 04:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xb65a6c…
11-13 04:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x6c9858…
11-13 04:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6c19c0…
11-13 04:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xdccd48…
11-13 04:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x4e812a…
11-13 04:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd5bceb…
11-13 04:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2bea84…
11-13 04:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x84eb98…
11-13 04:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x3a0ddc…
11-13 04:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x3bcdf0…
11-13 04:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x3a51de…
11-13 04:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc64129…
11-13 04:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x3e9210…
11-13 04:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x59ada2…
11-13 04:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9514f1…
11-13 04:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5f47f2…
11-13 04:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xd760ca…
11-13 04:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x39ee63…
11-13 04:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xd38007…
11-13 04:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x985fb4…
11-13 04:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x664454…
11-13 04:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x440564…
11-13 03:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x59f5ca…
11-13 03:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x70facd…
11-13 03:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x559e70…
11-13 03:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x737836…
11-13 03:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe8f5a1…
11-13 03:39:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9f3242…
11-13 03:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xa1c276…
11-13 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xeb9e5c…
11-13 03:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x193249…
11-13 03:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xbbb282…
11-13 03:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x99f2aa…
11-13 03:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x208a9e…
11-13 03:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1a3129…
11-13 03:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x2a6844…
11-13 03:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x361948…
11-13 03:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0xb68c86…
11-13 02:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x841d8a…
11-13 02:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x4ca183…
11-13 02:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x1e4b97…
11-13 02:39:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x830749…
11-13 02:39:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x05f827…
11-13 02:39:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x71d4a4…
11-13 02:39:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdd2ef2…
11-13 02:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6d9dba…
11-13 02:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe8630a…
11-13 02:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3da42f…
11-13 02:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4673d9…
11-13 02:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x035e8b…
11-13 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xa9b520…
11-13 02:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdfe002…
11-13 02:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xf763f1…
11-13 02:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x52be91…
11-13 01:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x067beb…
11-13 01:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x4edd55…
11-13 01:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x09cee4…
11-13 01:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x088459…
11-13 01:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8b268c…
11-13 01:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7adbb2…
11-13 01:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x6ddc5d…
11-13 01:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x358155…
11-13 01:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa1623e…
11-13 01:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x796d3a…
11-13 01:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xeadd6a…
11-13 01:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xae9e29…
11-13 01:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa3e43a…
11-13 01:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x09f1b1…
11-13 01:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf5e69a…
11-13 01:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xbe121b…
11-13 01:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x755881…
11-13 01:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x355ba1…
11-13 01:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5d6d02…
11-13 01:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfa6207…
11-13 01:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9a0c62…
11-13 01:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3100da…
11-13 01:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x764d99…