Substantial-Coinsurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

999

Trades

1,287

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-28 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

56% 54% +$15

Crypto

35% 80% +$10

Tech

7% 90% +$42

Sports

2% 86% +$16

Politics

0% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	4	$259	137	137	+0	Yes	-$1	08-28 05:39
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	3	$218	183	99	+84	Yes	+$23	08-19 21:34
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	2	$163	83	83	+0	Yes	+$3	08-21 18:08
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	2	$142	84	84	+0	open	—	06-09 18:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?	2	$134	68	68	+0	No	+$2	09-28 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 28?	2	$130	67	67	+0	No	+$2	09-28 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 27?	2	$127	64	64	+0	No	+$1	09-27 17:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 27?	2	$123	63	63	+0	No	+$4	09-27 13:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$120	64	64	+0	Yes	+$6	05-21 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 26?	2	$116	60	60	+0	No	+$4	09-26 17:00
Will OpenAI have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$109	58	58	+0	Yes	+$5	04-30 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 25?	2	$109	56	56	+0	No	+$3	09-25 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25?	2	$108	55	55	+0	No	+$2	09-25 15:31
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Anadolu Efes	2	$107	58	58	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	+$9	10-09 20:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25?	2	$104	53	53	+0	No	+$2	09-25 12:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$104	54	54	+0	Yes	+$3	04-27 21:55
nfl bal min 2026 08 22	2	$103	53	53	+0	Ravens	+$3	08-22 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 7?	3	$100	58	58	+0	Yes	+$16	10-07 17:46
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 24?	2	$99	52	52	+0	No	+$5	09-24 17:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$99	51	51	+0	Yes	+$3	04-16 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?	3	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	08-17 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4?	4	$90	54	54	+0	Yes	-$4	10-04 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 23?	2	$90	48	48	+0	No	+$5	09-23 18:11
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$88	51	51	+0	Yes	+$10	01-25 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 22?	2	$84	43	43	+0	No	+$2	09-22 19:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$83	104	0	+104	Yes	+$21	07-01 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1?	2	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$1	10-01 15:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$2	09-22 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4?	2	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$2	10-04 04:00
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 1?	1	$79	83	0	+83	No	+$4	06-30 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:47:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xe02168…
10-28 03:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xbbb4ce…
10-27 14:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x8df3f0…
10-26 14:27:38	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xf8239a…
10-25 14:00:47	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6df135…
10-24 13:16:26	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc3b3d2…
10-23 20:41:41	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x18ae24…
10-23 13:11:02	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf2ea0c…
10-22 14:23:21	Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0f5c18…
10-21 13:52:21	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc1c36b…
10-20 12:48:38	VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: VfB Stuttgart O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x95cb3e…
10-20 12:46:38	Will IFK Norrkoping FK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0f3e8d…
10-19 12:24:48	Will Varbergs BoIS win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf2311e…
10-17 14:16:53	Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8c62c0…
10-16 20:48:38	Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc0820b…
10-16 20:48:27	VVV Venlo vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf54d8f…
10-16 14:18:33	Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd8b7ae…
10-15 21:25:12	VVV Venlo vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7b2ce5…
10-15 21:03:21	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x09bf43…
10-15 18:59:41	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe4c6d0…
10-15 13:36:23	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfdae19…
10-15 00:30:29	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf00a5f…
10-14 02:34:14	ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b1798…
10-14 02:27:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x19c6a3…
10-14 02:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xc2ed55…
10-13 23:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x08e4fc…
10-13 23:50:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x2e624f…
10-13 23:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x76e401…
10-13 16:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x392e64…
10-13 16:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4a7c4e…
10-13 16:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x036239…
10-13 16:38:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x287939…
10-13 16:37:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3eb197…
10-13 16:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd1074b…
10-13 11:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7d95db…
10-12 20:25:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x09f801…
10-12 16:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x88b2a3…
10-12 16:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6ee2f2…
10-12 16:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x20f894…
10-12 16:29:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9c24d3…
10-12 16:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe9860a…
10-12 16:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x51c868…
10-12 16:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0f0f7d…
10-12 16:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe01c1f…
10-12 15:30:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xe528bc…
10-12 15:30:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa6b8c5…
10-12 09:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x893613…
10-12 09:46:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x37e883…
10-11 17:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x817bc4…
10-11 17:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x012925…
10-11 17:35:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84134a…
10-11 17:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4fce68…
10-11 17:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0c7cc4…
10-11 13:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x94862a…
10-11 13:24:34	Exact Score: Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x5c1725…
10-11 11:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x398f89…
10-11 11:32:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x13052c…
10-10 18:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x199e89…
10-10 18:26:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x37dab9…
10-10 18:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc1518d…
10-10 18:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2378da…
10-10 13:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe4a8e6…
10-10 13:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xb6cb16…
10-10 09:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x61fbb5…
10-10 09:38:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xadc8a2…
10-10 09:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x37ceb8…
10-10 09:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7c9145…
10-09 20:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x46bc8d…
10-09 20:23:50	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Anadolu Efes	Olympiacos B.C.	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xc4968c…
10-09 19:05:20	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Anadolu Efes	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	58	84¢	$49	0x017662…
10-09 19:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x82afbe…
10-09 18:23:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4ce514…
10-09 18:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6ed02a…
10-09 17:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x4a60f3…
10-09 13:03:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x9e9400…
10-09 13:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x5184ab…
10-09 12:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0322f4…
10-09 09:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0ef021…
10-09 09:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcfad06…
10-09 09:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb9b405…
10-09 09:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa0d1d1…
10-09 09:36:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x101e84…
10-09 02:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x05fc66…
10-09 02:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x058176…
10-09 02:08:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7e9224…
10-08 21:09:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x13cd68…
10-08 21:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x85aead…
10-08 16:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb75b85…
10-08 16:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x13aa85…
10-08 14:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x43d06a…
10-08 14:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x30e2c0…
10-08 09:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x7f1267…
10-08 09:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe23793…
10-08 09:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x0ea593…
10-08 06:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x73ed1d…
10-08 06:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x4ff606…
10-08 06:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xd38d95…
10-08 03:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x45f3ef…
10-07 23:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x067050…
10-07 20:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7992ba…