Dependable-Paranoia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

Trades

343

lifetime

Volume

$915

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 05-25 21:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	10	$70	59	59	+0	Up	+$2	05-21 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$38	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-21 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$33	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$30	26	17	+9	Down	+$1	05-21 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$30	21	21	+0	Down	-$2	05-21 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$25	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	7	$24	18	18	+0	Up	$0	05-21 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	9	$22	31	22	+10	Up	-$4	05-21 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	8	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$19	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	9	$17	19	13	+7	Down	-$3	05-21 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$16	13	5	+8	Up	+$1	05-22 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$14	23	8	+15	Down	-$1	05-22 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$14	25	0	+25	Up	$0	05-21 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$14	21	8	+12	Up	$0	05-21 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$13	27	0	+27	Up	+$1	05-21 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$13	14	0	+14	Up	+$1	05-21 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	8	$12	11	10	+1	Down	+$0	05-21 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$12	13	6	+7	Up	$0	05-21 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$0	05-21 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$10	34	0	+34	Up	-$1	05-21 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Up	$0	05-21 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	6	$9	12	3	+9	Up	-$1	05-21 15:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$9	10	4	+6	Up	-$1	05-21 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	05-25 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 21:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0d53bf…
05-25 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdcaf92…
05-25 21:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6052ac…
05-25 21:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe72e0a…
05-25 21:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1a8009…
05-25 21:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9b2d9f…
05-25 21:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x8f0def…
05-25 21:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x6e23b7…
05-25 21:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x399c60…
05-25 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0dcbeb…
05-25 21:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd14e1b…
05-25 21:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9641f0…
05-25 21:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfab22a…
05-25 20:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x603580…
05-25 20:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xf51a11…
05-25 20:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbb6860…
05-25 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1b158c…
05-25 20:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x9c9267…
05-25 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x570495…
05-25 20:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1abcef…
05-25 20:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3a04d7…
05-25 20:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa99e38…
05-22 15:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0xf2ee14…
05-22 15:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x5b5403…
05-22 15:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x12fe2e…
05-22 15:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc9c9db…
05-22 15:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xb4efda…
05-22 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x95cb6e…
05-22 15:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x78c96e…
05-22 15:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x31af33…
05-22 15:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x48a7e0…
05-22 15:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x078b0f…
05-22 15:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xfcdc51…
05-22 15:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6dbadd…
05-22 15:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa3a223…
05-22 15:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd9e9f4…
05-22 15:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb8261c…
05-22 15:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xb0872e…
05-22 15:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xc59f6a…
05-22 15:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1ae1ec…
05-22 15:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x06393e…
05-22 15:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf657a2…
05-22 15:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdf81f5…
05-22 15:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xc8d54a…
05-22 15:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xba802d…
05-22 15:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x489c5f…
05-22 15:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf971ed…
05-22 15:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe5a13c…
05-22 15:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x783b88…
05-22 15:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x86bb08…
05-22 15:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6419ab…
05-22 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x3114fa…
05-22 15:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x540f53…
05-22 15:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8b6b14…
05-22 15:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xaf27e0…
05-22 11:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xe863da…
05-22 11:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb299ae…
05-22 11:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x094606…
05-22 11:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6be879…
05-22 11:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x330659…
05-22 11:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc18abc…
05-22 11:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8b9690…
05-22 11:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6df449…
05-22 11:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x33ad70…
05-22 11:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x4c88d3…
05-22 11:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x651927…
05-22 11:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5409c8…
05-22 11:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x6b94b6…
05-22 11:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x15baa1…
05-22 11:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb9576f…
05-22 11:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x734f5c…
05-22 11:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x53eb58…
05-22 11:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x321a77…
05-22 11:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x77f2d8…
05-22 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe01a1f…
05-22 10:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x478bf7…
05-22 10:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x413d26…
05-22 10:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x779508…
05-22 10:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x812a54…
05-22 10:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc64fcc…
05-22 10:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x67ca89…
05-22 10:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x44125d…
05-22 10:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5db7e2…
05-22 10:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8cd1f2…
05-22 10:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x3586c8…
05-22 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7fd8e8…
05-22 10:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe0d695…
05-22 10:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa7e986…
05-22 10:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xafd8a0…
05-22 10:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x2cc5bd…
05-22 10:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x9d82a9…
05-22 10:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x259627…
05-22 10:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x19810d…
05-22 10:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x246383…
05-22 10:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x04abb7…
05-22 10:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9bad9c…
05-22 10:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0xbff590…
05-22 10:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x68de9d…
05-22 10:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3e51de…
05-22 10:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5ecfae…