Homely-Joint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$184

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

2,765

Trades

8,849

lifetime

Volume

$24.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Other

63% 61% +$324

Politics

28% 59% -$178

Sports

6% 60% +$30

Tech

1% 49% -$44

Pop-Culture

1% 65% +$44

Crypto

1% 68% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No		+2	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	10-27 14:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 365	47	$262	270	0	+270	Yes	+$8	03-26 22:23
will awp be said 10 times during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	1	$116	121	0	+121	Yes	+$5	04-18 06:21
Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?	15	$115	90	58	+31	No	+$5	09-20 19:56
will deepfake be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 169	2	$110	127	0	+127	No	+$18	04-15 14:48
Will "Ballroom" be in the headlines this week?	4	$100	126	0	+126	No	+$26	09-26 08:41
Will anyone say "Date" during Big Brother E36?	15	$98	110	10	+100	No	+$17	09-17 06:10
will donk be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	1	$91	93	0	+93	Yes	+$2	04-18 06:23
will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	12	$83	81	9	+72	Yes	+$5	03-31 05:27
Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	16	$81	78	14	+65	Yes	+$7	08-06 02:40
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	21	$80	76	39	+37	No	+$11	10-02 21:25
Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	14	$80	71	51	+20	Yes	-$7	09-13 18:56
Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	21	$80	78	12	+66	Yes	+$7	09-04 01:20
Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	15	$76	65	49	+16	No	+$11	09-13 13:48
Will the announcers say "Trade" or "Traded" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?	15	$74	97	91	+6	No	$0	09-20 19:59
will elon post border on x this week 20260823	12	$73	86	0	+86	No	+$14	08-22 19:02
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?	23	$73	70	25	+45	Yes	-$40	04-26 18:42
Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E36?	13	$73	79	29	+50	No	+$7	09-17 06:17
will the announcers say offside during the ravens vs cowboys game 20260928	14	$70	147	64	+82	No	+$53	09-27 19:27
will starmer say abuse during the next prime ministers questions event	11	$68	85	0	+85	No	+$16	03-23 20:39
Will Trump say "American Dream" during remarks at Steel Across America?	15	$66	69	16	+53	No	+$12	09-07 11:18
Will Trump say "Democrat" during remarks at Steel Across America?	12	$65	85	22	+63	No	+$24	09-08 04:01
Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Cowboys vs Giants game?	15	$65	70	53	+17	No	+$8	09-13 19:58
Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?	10	$65	75	0	+75	Yes	+$11	08-24 13:27
will starmer say epstein during the next prime ministers questions event	9	$65	75	0	+75	No	+$10	03-23 18:39
Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Ravens vs Cowboys game?	13	$64	66	22	+44	Yes	-$31	09-27 20:02
Will Airbnb say "Holiday" during earnings call?	20	$64	57	25	+31	No	+$8	08-06 15:34
will trump say biden during remarks in new york 20260811183234687	10	$63	53	19	+34	Yes	+$4	08-13 08:33
Will the announcers say "Trade" or "Traded" during the Lions vs Panthers game?	11	$61	38	33	+5	Yes	$0	10-04 19:03
Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?	18	$61	61	46	+14	No	+$7	09-13 13:48
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during September Press Conference?	19	$61	53	20	+34	No	+$5	09-16 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:02:32	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x938d24…
10-28 05:44:02	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" or "Kamala" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8c3528…
10-28 05:41:41	Will Microsoft say "Excel" during earnings call?	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xe8ff9b…
10-28 04:03:04	Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd4d65f…
10-28 04:00:43	Will Warsh say "Soft" or "Softening" during October Press Conference?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x3e9a57…
10-28 03:23:45	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x5a5f12…
10-28 01:26:39	will trump say fentanyl during his midterm rally in ohio october 28 oh	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x52c9e1…
10-27 23:42:50	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x01c49c…
10-27 23:38:12	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xcfe62e…
10-27 23:01:47	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf9bd6a…
10-27 23:01:47	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa0df25…
10-27 23:01:47	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x527b1a…
10-27 22:51:45	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x39dbd1…
10-27 22:44:05	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x79f08b…
10-27 22:41:33	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x27cdc1…
10-27 22:33:27	Will Microsoft say "Gaming" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x32660c…
10-27 22:30:53	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x190b44…
10-27 22:30:51	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xfc4220…
10-27 22:17:26	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6e0123…
10-27 22:05:33	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x4409d3…
10-27 16:20:08	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x366e16…
10-27 16:20:06	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x27040e…
10-27 16:14:51	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd39b0c…
10-27 16:14:50	Will Robinhood say "Gold" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xba844d…
10-27 16:14:50	Will Robinhood say "Perp" / "Perpetual" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x7da927…
10-27 16:14:50	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2e56d8…
10-27 16:09:41	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd69c73…
10-27 16:09:39	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xae7e85…
10-27 15:40:00	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2a1f48…
10-27 15:40:00	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x026c2b…
10-27 15:29:35	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe43c09…
10-27 15:21:45	Will Google say "TPU" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe1c854…
10-27 15:13:54	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0589ee…
10-27 14:55:02	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe989e0…
10-27 14:44:08	Will Google say "TPU" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x7ed35d…
10-27 14:44:08	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x7d35af…
10-27 14:44:08	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x449267…
10-27 14:44:08	Will "Korea" or "Korean" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38867a…
10-27 14:38:36	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe5e52c…
10-27 14:35:44	Will Google say "Quantum" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6b8f2b…
10-27 14:20:08	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x9942a7…
10-27 14:20:06	Will Robinhood say "Leverage" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x7fb130…
10-27 13:08:50	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd5c177…
10-27 13:08:48	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x93150c…
10-27 13:01:05	Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5f802e…
10-27 12:58:26	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2c706d…
10-27 12:55:56	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4e6bd4…
10-27 12:55:54	Will Google say "TPU" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xc93b85…
10-27 11:53:59	Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf634e5…
10-27 11:53:59	Will Google say "TPU" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xca18a7…
10-27 11:51:26	Will Robinhood say "Crypto" / "Cryptocurrency" 12+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x54afb8…
10-27 11:51:26	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x18b9c9…
10-27 11:51:24	Will Robinhood say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xd554a2…
10-27 11:51:24	Will Robinhood say "Perp" / "Perpetual" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2ee2e9…
10-27 11:51:23	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xceaa7c…
10-27 09:35:56	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcaf9d6…
10-27 09:20:23	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x950bb1…
10-27 09:15:12	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcbde43…
10-27 09:15:11	Will Robinhood say "Gold" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x77729d…
10-27 08:43:56	will microsoft say github 15 times during earnings call october 28	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x514b55…
10-27 08:43:56	will microsoft say excel during earnings call october 28	No	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x0af754…
10-27 08:41:21	Will Robinhood say "Gold" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x46ce4a…
10-27 08:41:20	Will Coca-Cola say "China" 4+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x438be7…
10-27 07:18:02	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcced58…
10-27 07:15:29	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x63ccfd…
10-27 06:32:32	Will Warsh say "Soft" or "Softening" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x5ae6af…
10-27 06:30:00	Will Coca-Cola say "Zero Sugar" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x84ab36…
10-27 06:30:00	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4ed441…
10-27 05:42:09	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4027ce…
10-27 05:39:47	Will Robinhood say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x4810c6…
10-27 04:31:27	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1a2685…
10-27 04:26:48	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x746d22…
10-27 03:51:41	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xed06aa…
10-27 03:47:08	Will Coca-Cola say "Powerade" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x8f030d…
10-27 03:15:38	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8a1dbe…
10-27 03:15:36	Will Robinhood say "Leverage" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x027dab…
10-27 02:39:41	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xc5e4da…
10-27 02:39:41	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6a486f…
10-27 02:32:50	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa32212…
10-27 02:32:48	Will Coca-Cola say "Fairlife" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x5c709e…
10-27 02:19:42	Will Coca-Cola say "Zero Sugar" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5e6546…
10-27 02:17:36	Will Robinhood say "Perp" / "Perpetual" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x173112…
10-27 01:35:57	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x846109…
10-27 01:33:48	Will Coca-Cola say "Mexico" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x69863a…
10-26 21:52:56	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xf70e06…
10-26 21:50:38	Will Coca-Cola say "China" 4+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x1820da…
10-26 21:50:36	Will Robinhood say "Robinhood Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x169c39…
10-26 21:36:06	Will Robinhood say "Prediction" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9d0119…
10-26 21:36:06	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x18dcb8…
10-26 20:42:26	Will Coca-Cola say "Oil" / "Gas" / "Gasoline" during earnings call?	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x8de7d1…
10-26 19:57:26	Will Robinhood say "Leverage" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb71301…
10-26 19:57:26	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x5cff77…
10-26 19:57:26	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x37b7ce…
10-26 19:57:26	Will Robinhood say "Perp" / "Perpetual" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x173b06…
10-26 19:57:24	Will Robinhood say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xd4f15b…
10-26 19:57:23	Will Coca-Cola say "Mexico" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x26915b…
10-26 19:57:23	Will Coca-Cola say "Zero Sugar" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x17f0b9…
10-26 13:52:03	Will Coca-Cola say "Fanta" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc3967c…
10-26 13:20:03	Will Robinhood say "Robinhood Chain" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x590ab9…
10-26 13:20:02	Will Robinhood say "Gold" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbacc1e…