Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$83

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-02

last 11-02 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

77% 56% +$2

Politics

21% 50% -$6

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-09 21:09
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 09:31
will abnb reach 172 by september 7 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$4	09-10 08:13
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 02:45
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-16 00:40
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-14 15:39
will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 02:24
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-13 23:11
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-17 05:33
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 10:36
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-09 12:56
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-17 17:26
Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $650?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-10 18:57
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-08 15:33
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-18 18:32
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-23 18:48
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-16 09:30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-03 19:40
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-02 08:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$1	09-08 07:29
will mu reach 1020 by september 14 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-14 07:12
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-03 11:02
spy closes above 765 on september 2 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-02 18:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 04:28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-07 11:59
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 11:02
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-10 11:56
will ewy reach 195 by october 5 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-05 15:11
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-18 13:11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-16 04:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 14:46:46	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of November 2 above $183?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x468562…
11-02 05:59:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb12068…
11-01 21:58:52	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x458c1f…
10-27 07:49:08	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc3db2a…
10-26 23:48:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x42a99e…
10-25 14:47:54	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8acbd1…
10-25 02:20:32	Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6348c4…
10-23 00:11:39	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x76a524…
10-22 16:10:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0d3795…
10-19 07:35:20	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3f4003…
10-18 23:34:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x20637b…
10-18 13:11:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1cb761…
10-18 00:01:20	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x47b719…
10-17 04:17:21	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1d5569…
10-16 12:59:31	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7d4dd6…
10-16 04:36:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1d6cd9…
10-16 01:08:27	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x06285b…
10-15 16:44:04	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x75a2e6…
10-15 08:43:44	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfce963…
10-15 00:23:01	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9bb8bc…
10-14 15:16:42	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xaa04e7…
10-14 07:14:46	googl close above 360 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x06574d…
10-13 23:05:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc81289…
10-13 15:03:01	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x78f651…
10-12 06:48:04	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb15854…
10-11 22:47:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1f7079…
10-11 14:34:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x18e08e…
10-11 03:03:30	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7b4d30…
10-10 11:56:36	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf58d85…
10-09 14:56:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf27aa2…
10-09 06:27:31	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7fcbcc…
10-08 22:26:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x404a25…
10-06 01:49:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x757622…
10-05 15:11:11	will ewy reach 195 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbcb4dc…
10-05 00:59:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x418b66…
10-02 14:38:12	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x57868e…
10-02 05:43:05	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe01847…
10-01 13:46:38	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x63ec38…
10-01 13:44:32	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8a174d…
10-01 05:39:57	wti closes above 88 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x09d67d…
09-27 20:50:48	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xeab995…
09-27 05:44:24	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb467a4…
09-26 21:34:29	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa27ecc…
09-26 07:37:35	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0aa8ad…
09-23 18:48:26	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x1315f8…
09-23 10:36:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x810e64…
09-23 02:24:32	will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xc565b2…
09-19 11:02:48	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb860fa…
09-19 02:45:58	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xdd0ca6…
09-18 18:32:31	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x2d316a…
09-17 17:26:40	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xf25044…
09-17 05:33:16	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0x41f25b…
09-16 09:31:12	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xa30b7d…
09-16 09:30:49	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xecdfbc…
09-16 00:40:37	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xc1ef5f…
09-14 15:39:13	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x94d936…
09-14 07:12:49	will mu reach 1020 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x2cd358…
09-13 23:11:46	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xe0d7e3…
09-10 18:57:16	Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $650?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x7681b9…
09-10 08:13:21	will abnb reach 172 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0xdd4a66…
09-09 21:09:18	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7ef7f6…
09-09 12:56:01	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9a31ad…
09-09 04:28:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeba6ee…
09-08 15:33:25	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x308247…
09-08 07:29:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x03e266…
09-07 11:59:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb34e4a…
09-03 19:40:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x066d9c…
09-03 11:02:10	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x715ec9…
09-02 18:38:36	spy closes above 765 on september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xda947c…
09-02 08:42:22	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x3fae68…