Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

44.9%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$782

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-26 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

55% 11% -$169

Crypto

34% 24% +$33

Politics

8% 10% -$21

Sports

3% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-71	-$3	3¢	$-2	+$1	08-26 16:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$91	258	0	+258	Yes	-$91	10-26 19:20
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	4	$62	128	128	+0	open	—	10-26 15:26
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	3	$51	41	41	+0	Yes	+$11	02-23 21:37
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	4	$50	95	95	+0	open	—	09-30 06:13
will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026	3	$49	84	48	+36	No	+$9	02-15 13:59
bitcoin above 70k on february 9	2	$48	38	38	+0	Yes	+$28	02-09 17:28
solana up or down on february 6	2	$32	29	29	+0	Up	+$26	02-06 17:29
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	3	$26	75	75	+0	open	—	10-26 11:18
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	3	$24	101	18	+83	No	+$3	02-03 16:40
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	2	$23	71	71	+0	No	-$1	09-13 07:39
bitcoin above 68k on february 20	2	$23	31	31	+0	No	+$13	02-20 10:16
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$22	167	18	+148	No	-$18	03-17 22:00
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	2	$17	40	0	+40	Yes	+$23	02-02 12:06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$16	268	0	+268	Yes	-$16	08-26 16:22
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	1	$15	100	0	+100	No	-$15	02-06 09:16
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	4	$13	331	0	+331	Yes	-$13	03-05 08:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$13	34	34	+0	open	—	09-28 08:13
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	03-02 14:36
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	2	$12	114	0	+114	open	—	09-28 08:14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	09-06 12:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$10	42	0	+42	No	-$10	03-02 14:37
bitcoin above 70k on february 10	1	$10	42	0	+42	No	-$10	02-10 08:31
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	4	$10	38	38	+0	open	—	09-22 07:54
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$9	17	17	+0	open	—	09-13 18:23
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$8	22	22	+0	open	—	09-13 18:23
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	2	$7	35	0	+35	Yes	-$7	03-05 08:37
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	-$6	08-26 16:25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?	1	$6	20	0	+20	No	-$6	09-13 13:18
bitcoin up or down on february 4	1	$6	50	0	+50	Down	-$6	02-04 13:58
xrp up or down on february 3	2	$6	50	0	+50	Down	-$6	02-03 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:20:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x07fa64…
10-26 15:27:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	254	35¢	$90	0x839e38…
10-26 15:26:20	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	128	24¢	$31	0x8cb466…
10-26 11:21:30	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x132d3b…
10-26 11:21:08	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x17acf6…
10-26 11:18:56	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	75	21¢	$15	0xb55285…
10-06 23:39:22	Will Messi play 45 minutes or fewer vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbd68c6…
10-06 22:30:58	Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xee50bb…
10-04 11:16:53	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x5121ce…
10-02 15:37:51	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x05a152…
10-01 15:50:30	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x24075f…
09-30 06:13:05	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	77	36¢	$28	0xd45b01…
09-28 08:14:11	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x6af975…
09-28 08:13:09	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	34	25¢	$9	0x868a25…
09-22 07:55:28	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	62	7¢	$4	0xc2f4e1…
09-22 07:54:18	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0xbe8989…
09-15 10:19:37	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x5b3a1c…
09-15 10:19:04	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$2	0x44b0be…
09-15 10:18:28	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8650af…
09-14 18:02:39	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8ec4b1…
09-14 18:02:33	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x67dba5…
09-14 11:39:46	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8f2976…
09-14 06:41:21	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x68fb48…
09-13 18:23:22	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xd07902…
09-13 18:23:07	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0xef8594…
09-13 18:22:51	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x0a3155…
09-13 13:18:36	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x8d49b8…
09-13 07:39:18	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	Yes	SELL	71	16¢	$11	0x2cfaf4…
09-06 12:12:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf8665a…
09-05 08:07:00	sweden parliamentary election orebropartiet win seats 20260825132452	Yes	BUY	71	17¢	$12	0xe3effb…
09-04 07:35:27	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x35821a…
09-04 07:35:16	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbab6a3…
09-04 07:35:00	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbb4e74…
09-04 07:34:48	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x50a385…
09-04 07:34:00	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x753b87…
08-26 16:25:06	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x750d38…
08-26 16:22:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	268	6¢	$16	0x1332e8…
08-26 16:17:10	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0xc56d1a…
03-17 22:00:45	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x663be0…
03-17 22:00:23	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x00cdb1…
03-17 21:59:55	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x5f417b…
03-17 21:59:45	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfa5d41…
03-15 14:35:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xcdb24b…
03-15 11:31:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xfb86db…
03-12 11:13:25	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 851	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xf9c6a5…
03-05 21:20:59	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0xe8433e…
03-05 08:37:53	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa20e82…
03-05 08:37:47	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xdfad8b…
03-05 08:37:39	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xd28dfa…
03-05 08:37:33	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x06641c…
03-05 06:46:09	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6a56e7…
03-04 21:43:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7135fe…
03-04 21:43:19	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	No	BUY	240	4¢	$10	0x04ce10…
03-02 14:37:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc85c95…
03-02 14:37:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xfc60ad…
03-02 14:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6b3fab…
03-02 14:37:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x9cbdc9…
03-02 14:36:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0x291f12…
03-01 12:56:55	xrp above 1pt5 on march 1	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x1bdff8…
03-01 12:56:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcfe04a…
03-01 12:54:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x06f8e3…
03-01 12:54:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xa89063…
03-01 12:54:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8d7d75…
02-27 17:38:03	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x4e5235…
02-23 21:38:18	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 draw	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xde1060…
02-23 21:37:50	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	Yes	SELL	41	77¢	$31	0xb5a58a…
02-23 20:34:58	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7096e4…
02-23 20:33:38	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x639580…
02-23 20:32:52	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc0715d…
02-23 20:32:28	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x09e1e7…
02-23 16:06:28	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe07ced…
02-23 16:06:10	bitcoin above 66k on february 23	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2b074a…
02-23 08:35:24	bitcoin up or down on february 23	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3e10f6…
02-20 10:16:58	bitcoin above 68k on february 20	Yes	SELL	31	58¢	$18	0xbff0ce…
02-19 17:55:16	bitcoin above 68k on february 20	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd44363…
02-15 13:59:11	will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc303db…
02-15 08:26:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1f2e5d…
02-15 08:25:57	will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0xca37f0…
02-10 08:32:17	ethereum up or down on february 10	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc41f49…
02-10 08:32:03	bitcoin up or down on february 10	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x447472…
02-10 08:31:31	ethereum above 2100 on february 10	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb411ab…
02-10 08:31:07	bitcoin above 70k on february 10	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x474d88…
02-09 20:50:27	dash quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt58	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd5c5bc…
02-09 17:28:23	bitcoin above 70k on february 9	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x72f644…
02-09 12:37:07	bitcoin above 70k on february 9	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd26569…
02-07 11:19:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x810295…
02-06 20:45:01	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xb2460b…
02-06 19:38:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 7	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x698d79…
02-06 17:29:59	solana up or down on february 6	Up	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe76964…
02-06 09:17:31	solana up or down on february 6	Up	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xdce09c…
02-06 09:17:05	will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x250dff…
02-06 09:16:43	will solana reach 120 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x3d0593…
02-04 14:01:34	bitcoin above 80k on february 4	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2a5a41…
02-04 13:58:48	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xcc29c5…
02-03 16:40:32	bitcoin above 78k on february 3	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xabdace…
02-03 13:03:04	ethereum up or down on february 3	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf0dde2…
02-03 13:02:02	xrp up or down on february 3	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xfc0986…
02-03 12:59:54	ethereum up or down on february 3	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x17e242…
02-03 12:59:48	xrp up or down on february 3	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb9923e…
02-03 12:57:30	solana up or down on february 3	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x50d79f…