Warm-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$560

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

2,236

Trades

2,761

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-06 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 76% -$560

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	5	$88	90	90	+0	Up	+$22	05-08 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$72	71	71	+0	Down	+$50	05-12 14:28
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-03 00:00 UTC	4	$71	97	0	+97	Up	-$71	07-03 03:40
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-03 12:00 UTC	4	$71	95	0	+95	Down	-$71	07-03 15:31
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-26 16:00 UTC	4	$71	102	0	+102	Down	+$31	06-26 19:22
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-29 20:00 UTC	4	$70	103	0	+103	Down	+$33	06-29 23:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-27 04:00 UTC	4	$70	115	0	+115	Up	+$45	06-27 07:21
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-02 16:00 UTC	4	$70	118	0	+118	Down	+$47	07-02 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	8	$70	70	70	+0	Down	-$2	05-18 00:40
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-29 12:00 UTC	4	$70	83	0	+83	Up	-$70	06-29 15:26
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-03 08:00 UTC	4	$70	86	0	+86	Up	+$16	07-03 11:27
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 04:00 UTC	4	$70	90	0	+90	Down	+$20	06-30 07:27
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-28 12:00 UTC	4	$70	96	0	+96	Up	-$70	06-28 15:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 04:00 UTC	4	$70	91	0	+91	Down	+$21	06-30 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	8	$69	65	65	+0	Down	+$5	05-18 00:27
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 16:00 UTC	3	$61	72	0	+72	Up	+$12	06-30 19:27
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-02 20:00 UTC	3	$61	80	0	+80	Down	+$20	07-02 23:21
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-02 12:00 UTC	3	$61	76	0	+76	Up	+$16	07-02 15:37
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-03 00:00 UTC	3	$60	93	0	+93	Up	+$32	07-03 03:20
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-01 16:00 UTC	3	$60	93	0	+93	Down	-$60	07-01 19:20
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-03 12:00 UTC	3	$60	86	0	+86	Down	-$60	07-03 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	9	$57	108	101	+7	Up	+$36	05-15 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$54	52	52	+0	Down	+$15	05-15 18:58
bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 1am et	2	$51	78	0	+78	Up	+$27	06-26 05:56
solana up or down july 2 2026 3pm et	2	$51	74	0	+74	Down	+$23	07-02 19:56
ethereum up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	2	$51	74	0	+74	Up	-$51	06-29 23:56
ethereum up or down june 29 2026 10am et	2	$51	79	0	+79	Up	+$28	06-29 14:56
ethereum up or down july 3 2026 7am et	2	$51	72	0	+72	Up	+$21	07-03 11:56
bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	2	$51	66	0	+66	Up	+$15	07-01 08:56
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 6am et	2	$51	60	0	+60	Up	-$51	06-27 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 05:55:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6e4d04…
07-06 05:25:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x5f1397…
07-06 05:10:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xac9f5c…
07-06 04:55:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x6ebdba…
07-06 04:10:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3b085a…
07-06 03:40:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x37c8b0…
07-06 03:40:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc51878…
07-06 03:40:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3770dc…
07-06 03:10:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x56691e…
07-06 02:55:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x075a11…
07-06 02:41:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb5b07d…
07-06 02:40:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe23f0c…
07-06 02:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x756cf9…
07-06 02:10:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x464dad…
07-06 01:25:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9db774…
07-06 01:25:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4c5fe9…
07-06 00:55:04	ethereum up or down july 5 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x178cfe…
07-06 00:25:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbc64f0…
07-06 00:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xb16e4c…
07-06 00:10:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x6661ed…
07-05 23:40:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x47fd2c…
07-05 23:40:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb0f616…
07-05 23:40:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8c849f…
07-05 23:10:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4ff7b4…
07-05 23:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc29e56…
07-05 22:57:47	solana up or down july 5 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc869b6…
07-05 22:55:40	solana up or down july 5 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	23	85¢	$19	0x209168…
07-05 22:55:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x443787…
07-05 22:10:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xcde418…
07-05 22:10:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xd740bc…
07-05 21:55:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd051fb…
07-05 21:55:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xee33f5…
07-05 21:55:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2f3e89…
07-05 21:40:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x253e18…
07-05 20:41:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x834257…
07-05 20:40:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xcb2747…
07-05 20:10:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf1ae7b…
07-05 20:10:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8883fa…
07-05 20:10:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x3697be…
07-05 19:56:53	ethereum up or down july 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x85cd23…
07-05 19:55:53	ethereum up or down july 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0x6100bf…
07-05 19:55:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x1391d1…
07-05 19:55:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7d6b3f…
07-05 19:55:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x303404…
07-05 19:55:04	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0x1ab356…
07-05 19:40:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xc4300e…
07-05 19:25:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7480ad…
07-05 19:25:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf8a39a…
07-05 19:10:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa5bb30…
07-05 18:55:35	ethereum up or down july 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0xca62ae…
07-05 18:55:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x86cc9c…
07-05 18:55:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x941f20…
07-05 18:40:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc9ac05…
07-05 18:10:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x47323a…
07-05 18:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xfcc7a4…
07-05 18:10:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xbbd20a…
07-05 17:56:32	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x041c19…
07-05 17:55:29	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x6e6669…
07-05 17:25:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x11b97f…
07-05 17:25:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe1577e…
07-05 16:56:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x53631f…
07-05 16:55:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x74ab26…
07-05 16:55:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5196d4…
07-05 16:25:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9338bd…
07-05 16:25:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x65349f…
07-05 16:25:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd2a478…
07-05 16:10:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x75dd88…
07-05 16:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf60a21…
07-05 16:10:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb58181…
07-05 15:55:04	ethereum up or down july 5 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0xc90b29…
07-05 15:40:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xff4971…
07-05 15:25:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1f0e02…
07-05 15:25:02	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0xf64f5d…
07-05 15:10:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x38639a…
07-05 14:56:01	solana up or down july 5 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x91cd8e…
07-05 14:55:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4b5596…
07-05 14:40:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd1fb19…
07-05 14:40:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9a70d1…
07-05 14:10:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb11599…
07-05 13:56:08	ethereum up or down july 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8f1237…
07-05 13:55:05	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x8b95e4…
07-05 13:55:04	ethereum up or down july 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xfb3747…
07-05 13:25:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8a48d6…
07-05 13:25:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x0afe66…
07-05 13:10:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa78e7c…
07-05 13:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9cf9a6…
07-05 13:10:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0ef9cb…
07-05 12:55:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x118222…
07-05 11:55:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x371c50…
07-05 11:55:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x561ddb…
07-05 11:55:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfcaea6…
07-05 11:55:04	ethereum up or down july 5 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x15874e…
07-05 11:40:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x91576d…
07-05 11:25:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xacd59a…
07-05 11:10:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xadb072…
07-05 11:10:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xbdb76a…
07-05 11:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4b7cbc…
07-05 10:55:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb6b8d4…
07-05 10:40:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xdc9feb…
07-05 10:25:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xbea9a0…