Warm-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$193

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$2.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-09 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$193

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	5	$88	90	90	+0	Up	+$22	05-08 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$72	71	71	+0	Down	+$50	05-12 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	8	$70	70	70	+0	open	—	05-18 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	8	$69	65	65	+0	open	—	05-18 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	9	$57	108	101	+7	open	—	05-15 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$54	52	52	+0	open	—	05-15 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	5	$47	32	32	+0	open	—	05-16 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$39	186	0	+186	Down	+$147	05-10 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	23	$38	1,127	0	+1,127	Up	$-38	05-11 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$37	37	37	+0	open	—	05-15 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	3	$34	34	34	+0	Up	+$14	05-13 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$34	37	23	+15	Down	+$10	05-12 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	7	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	05-15 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	7	$31	24	21	+2	Down	+$3	05-13 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$30	26	26	+0	open	—	05-15 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	4	$30	50	25	+25	open	—	05-15 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	05-15 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	3	$28	58	58	+0	open	—	05-18 02:12
btc updown 5m 1776561000	5	$28	524	7	+517	open	—	04-19 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	05-16 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	4	$26	32	32	+0	open	—	05-18 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$26	32	24	+8	Down	+$10	05-13 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$26	27	27	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$25	24	24	+0	open	—	05-16 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-15 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$23	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	05-15 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	3	$23	18	11	+7	open	—	05-15 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:55:03	eth updown 15m 1781048700	Down	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xf89d84…
06-09 23:54:03	sol updown 15m 1781048700	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0dfb6f…
06-09 23:53:06	btc updown 15m 1781048700	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa50b2e…
06-09 23:53:06	eth updown 15m 1781048700	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9f3674…
06-09 23:53:03	solana up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe0e85d…
06-09 23:44:12	sol updown 15m 1781047800	Down	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x400d22…
06-09 23:38:04	sol updown 15m 1781047800	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xb609a0…
06-09 23:24:28	eth updown 15m 1781046900	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x12f6b9…
06-09 23:10:04	eth updown 15m 1781046000	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xff317d…
06-09 22:53:03	solana up or down june 9 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xdc0c5e…
06-09 22:44:22	sol updown 15m 1781044200	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xc6ecfc…
06-09 22:40:16	sol updown 15m 1781044200	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x32c75c…
06-09 22:38:04	eth updown 15m 1781044200	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd83ffc…
06-09 22:29:03	btc updown 15m 1781043300	Up	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xb37e45…
06-09 22:24:04	eth updown 15m 1781043300	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x31eadf…
06-09 22:23:06	btc updown 15m 1781043300	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x89d24f…
06-09 21:55:03	sol updown 15m 1781041500	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7173a7…
06-09 21:53:12	btc updown 15m 1781041500	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x94974f…
06-09 21:53:10	eth updown 15m 1781041500	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xc07b47…
06-09 20:59:27	sol updown 15m 1781037900	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x7cd993…
06-09 20:59:22	btc updown 15m 1781037900	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xdb6e7b…
06-09 20:55:04	eth updown 15m 1781037900	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6f2c76…
06-09 20:55:04	btc updown 15m 1781037900	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x666091…
06-09 20:55:04	sol updown 15m 1781037900	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x4e476f…
06-09 20:39:07	eth updown 15m 1781037000	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5cb16a…
06-09 20:38:55	sol updown 15m 1781037000	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1d79a6…
06-09 20:38:52	btc updown 15m 1781037000	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3ba12c…
06-09 20:10:03	sol updown 15m 1781035200	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x9ee0a7…
06-09 19:44:28	eth updown 15m 1781033400	Down	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x5851cb…
06-09 19:44:27	btc updown 15m 1781033400	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x25c1d8…
06-09 19:40:24	eth updown 15m 1781033400	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd6c920…
06-09 19:40:22	btc updown 15m 1781033400	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x96ddbf…
06-09 19:40:22	sol updown 15m 1781033400	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x15dd27…
06-09 19:23:39	sol updown 15m 1781032500	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8fab27…
06-09 19:10:22	sol updown 15m 1781031600	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8eabd9…
06-09 18:08:06	btc updown 15m 1781028000	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe66864…
06-09 18:08:04	eth updown 15m 1781028000	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xadb727…
06-09 18:08:04	sol updown 15m 1781028000	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0ee357…
06-09 17:59:37	eth updown 15m 1781027100	Up	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x3c32a3…
06-09 17:55:30	eth updown 15m 1781027100	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0986a0…
06-09 17:54:07	sol updown 15m 1781027100	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc0d812…
06-09 17:53:04	btc updown 15m 1781027100	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2cd3c5…
06-09 17:44:36	eth updown 15m 1781026200	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xe47d14…
06-09 17:40:03	eth updown 15m 1781026200	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xafc919…
06-09 09:09:16	sol updown 15m 1780995600	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x0cf86a…
06-09 09:09:13	eth updown 15m 1780995600	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xabcbc4…
06-09 08:54:22	eth updown 15m 1780994700	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x40e02e…
06-09 08:40:06	sol updown 15m 1780993800	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x798ac9…
06-09 08:24:09	btc updown 15m 1780992900	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x11363f…
06-09 07:53:24	btc updown 15m 1780991100	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x01fc5f…
06-09 07:53:18	sol updown 15m 1780991100	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x1fec00…
06-09 06:08:13	btc updown 15m 1780984800	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x77897f…
06-09 06:08:06	eth updown 15m 1780984800	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xbc9a97…
06-09 06:08:04	sol updown 15m 1780984800	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x4b4f6d…
06-09 05:54:21	sol updown 15m 1780983900	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcf4723…
06-09 05:54:21	btc updown 15m 1780983900	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x34892c…
06-09 05:08:13	eth updown 15m 1780981200	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xfdead1…
06-09 05:08:13	sol updown 15m 1780981200	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8398d9…
06-09 02:10:04	sol updown 15m 1780970400	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xeff518…
06-09 02:10:04	btc updown 15m 1780970400	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x65b573…
06-09 00:25:24	eth updown 15m 1780964100	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x11591e…
06-09 00:10:09	btc updown 15m 1780963200	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x612c69…
06-08 23:40:13	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x285770…
06-08 22:40:12	btc updown 15m 1780957800	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xbec708…
06-08 20:25:15	btc updown 15m 1780949700	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xa23e7c…
06-08 20:25:15	sol updown 15m 1780949700	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x6d4d37…
06-08 19:40:19	btc updown 15m 1780947000	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3b8786…
06-08 17:10:25	eth updown 15m 1780938000	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd5f8d0…
06-08 15:55:07	sol updown 15m 1780933500	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x334a9a…
06-08 14:10:18	btc updown 15m 1780927200	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf92fda…
06-08 13:40:07	eth updown 15m 1780925400	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe99c2f…
06-08 10:55:06	eth updown 15m 1780915500	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1a52e5…
06-08 10:10:07	eth updown 15m 1780912800	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x690cdf…
06-08 09:25:24	eth updown 15m 1780910100	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x65172d…
06-08 08:40:09	eth updown 15m 1780907400	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0a2079…
06-08 07:40:13	sol updown 15m 1780903800	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x92be99…
06-08 07:40:12	btc updown 15m 1780903800	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1916d1…
06-08 03:40:18	btc updown 15m 1780889400	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2258b5…
06-08 03:10:21	sol updown 15m 1780887600	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xca005c…
06-08 02:55:22	eth updown 15m 1780886700	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8188c7…
06-08 02:25:12	sol updown 15m 1780884900	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb82a92…
06-08 00:55:09	eth updown 15m 1780879500	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa45ab5…
06-07 23:10:24	btc updown 15m 1780873200	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x23ed26…
06-07 22:10:10	btc updown 15m 1780869600	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x64a66a…
06-07 21:40:21	eth updown 15m 1780867800	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x56443a…
06-07 18:40:16	btc updown 15m 1780857000	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x467525…
06-07 17:25:18	sol updown 15m 1780852500	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x924657…
06-07 13:10:19	eth updown 15m 1780837200	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x836794…
05-18 02:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	58	14¢	$8	0xfd450b…
05-18 02:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xaa4b29…
05-18 02:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9963d4…
05-18 01:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xa4ea17…
05-18 01:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xcf9ac0…
05-18 01:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x1d92b4…
05-18 01:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf4ae8c…
05-18 01:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xf2ac0d…
05-18 01:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0x07a48f…
05-18 01:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x38588e…
05-18 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x4b53b7…
05-18 00:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x57a39f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	232	$15.3K	2,890	06-09 23:59
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	230	$22.8K	3,605	06-09 23:59
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	227	$32.5K	2,708	06-09 23:59
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	209	$89.1K	15,546	06-09 23:59
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	208	$63.2K	18,569	06-09 23:59
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	208	$59.9K	17,190	06-09 23:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	208	$48.9K	7,458	06-09 23:59
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	203	$55.5K	8,829	06-09 23:59