Fake-Ale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

4,550

Trades

4,584

lifetime

Volume

$22.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 09-21 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 97% -$58

Other

8% 96% -$8

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$12	13	13	+0	No	-$8	06-01 12:22
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game3	4	$11	10	10	+0	G2 Esports	$0	03-20 16:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 21:00 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-03 03:37
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-28 03:50
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-28 03:49
aapl up or down on august 27 2026	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	08-27 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 12:00 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	08-07 12:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 17:15 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	04-06 17:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 17:15 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	04-06 17:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 16:00 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	06-12 16:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 23:00 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	08-20 23:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-25 06:26
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-21 04:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 22:00 UTC	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	08-26 22:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 03:30 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	08-14 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-25 06:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 15:00 UTC	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	04-09 15:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	-$10	09-16 10:58
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-14 23:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 01:00 UTC	3	$6	12	6	+6	Down	$0	04-19 01:13
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	2	$6	7	0	+7	Bilibili Gaming	+$1	03-16 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 15:45 UTC	2	$6	8	0	+8	Up	-$1	04-09 15:58
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game1	2	$6	6	0	+6	G2 Esports	+$0	03-20 13:39
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$0	06-01 12:33
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	2	$5	6	6	+0	G2 Esports	-$5	03-20 15:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 05:30 UTC	3	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	03-07 05:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 07:15 UTC	2	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	03-10 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	09-18 23:41
hype up or down on march 9	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	03-09 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	09-15 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 03:26:17	ZCash Up or Down - September 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca6a2f…
09-20 18:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x19be87…
09-20 18:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24c257…
09-20 16:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xcfa35e…
09-20 16:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x7de556…
09-20 16:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef8769…
09-20 16:11:16	ZCash Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30d922…
09-20 15:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6d17cd…
09-20 15:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc348a7…
09-20 13:41:34	ZCash Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x14b6c2…
09-20 13:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x59753e…
09-20 06:57:00	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x314600…
09-20 06:56:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfbf916…
09-20 06:26:55	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb78e4…
09-20 04:11:21	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7cde10…
09-20 03:26:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x91c878…
09-20 03:11:18	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa55f55…
09-20 02:57:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xd67ee8…
09-20 02:41:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdfff6e…
09-20 01:24:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5c869f…
09-19 16:26:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x72a2ed…
09-19 16:11:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x42cc97…
09-19 15:12:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x115a98…
09-19 14:41:42	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x976882…
09-19 14:26:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x7fde72…
09-19 14:26:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87eb8e…
09-19 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc05b00…
09-19 13:11:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5bfc0…
09-19 06:41:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6749fd…
09-19 00:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe2f1e0…
09-18 23:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0b9f53…
09-18 23:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4bacf4…
09-18 23:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc99b38…
09-18 22:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x9a305b…
09-18 22:41:16	ZCash Up or Down - September 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e2e6c…
09-18 22:11:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x73efbc…
09-18 22:11:18	ZCash Up or Down - September 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d329a…
09-18 21:56:46	ZCash Up or Down - September 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc903a9…
09-18 21:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x7bfe4c…
09-18 21:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ff4f5…
09-18 21:41:16	ZCash Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd4675…
09-18 21:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2ff9c4…
09-18 20:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x473350…
09-18 20:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x220997…
09-18 20:41:18	ZCash Up or Down - September 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd54c7f…
09-18 20:26:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x32fe28…
09-18 20:11:36	ZCash Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdecd92…
09-18 20:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x3c6b70…
09-18 19:41:16	ZCash Up or Down - September 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf1926…
09-18 12:56:59	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e08c5…
09-18 12:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70ddbc…
09-18 11:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6f1c23…
09-18 11:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x580f98…
09-18 11:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x88a367…
09-18 10:11:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x64c7cd…
09-18 09:57:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xebd25a…
09-18 09:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7d2a5…
09-18 09:57:00	ZCash Up or Down - September 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0fa2d3…
09-18 09:41:33	ZCash Up or Down - September 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x137358…
09-18 09:41:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6ec1fb…
09-18 09:41:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x14b2a7…
09-18 09:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4a0583…
09-18 08:56:30	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a50c9…
09-18 08:56:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x74daad…
09-18 04:11:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a67a8…
09-18 04:11:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x98f42f…
09-18 03:41:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x601375…
09-18 03:26:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x48c540…
09-18 03:11:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf0c1e5…
09-18 03:11:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f9cd6…
09-18 02:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x52b443…
09-18 01:56:21	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b8fe5…
09-18 01:41:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4999aa…
09-18 00:56:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x8700a1…
09-18 00:56:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x718929…
09-18 00:26:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd81ca3…
09-18 00:26:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x251797…
09-17 23:56:25	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa966ee…
09-17 22:57:10	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7993e2…
09-17 06:56:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb25b82…
09-17 06:56:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf7aefd…
09-17 06:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x03c0b0…
09-17 06:41:39	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xcd82d0…
09-17 05:56:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12c8cf…
09-16 23:56:36	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xd11f57…
09-16 23:41:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3976f2…
09-16 23:41:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaf278a…
09-16 23:26:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc1d30…
09-16 23:11:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x724ac0…
09-16 22:56:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x474f4e…
09-16 22:41:22	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xd995b8…
09-16 22:26:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2e0fcd…
09-16 22:11:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0606c5…
09-16 20:41:24	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x981206…
09-16 19:56:40	tsla up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5866ac…
09-16 19:41:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd4c078…
09-16 19:26:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x508498…
09-16 18:56:28	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xeea688…
09-16 18:11:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0xe11b7f…
09-16 11:41:22	ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xaab659…