Scientific-Crook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

446

Trades

814

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-27 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

74% 82% +$2

Crypto

19% 86% +$1

Politics

5% 71% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$89	44	44	+0	No	+$0	07-19 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 23?	4	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	07-23 01:44
Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	10-27 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 29?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-29 20:41
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 27?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-27 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 10?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-10 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 23?	3	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:32
will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 23	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-23 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 17?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-17 05:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 28?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-29 02:58
will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 20 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 21:52
will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-18 23:19
ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-20 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 20?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-20 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 24?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-24 08:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-11 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 28?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-28 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 24?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-23 14:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	4	$59	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:13
will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-31 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on October 12?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:11
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-30 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 26?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-25 09:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 27?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-26 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	09-11 19:55
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-24 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-24 21:53
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 62forhigher	4	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-19 07:34
xrp above 1pt3 on july 24 2026	4	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-23 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	4	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	05-11 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:47:47	Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x10b5be…
10-19 17:06:41	Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x62323c…
10-18 21:04:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x24f513…
10-16 11:46:37	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xb2dff0…
10-14 03:53:31	Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x83ece4…
10-13 07:59:08	Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x4fb618…
10-12 09:21:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc19bbd…
10-12 09:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on October 12?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x6fb1f5…
10-12 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on October 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfeb46b…
10-12 06:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on October 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x41928d…
10-12 00:34:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2b68e3…
10-10 05:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1078ac…
10-07 20:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on October 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdd8432…
10-05 10:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd5fa69…
10-01 23:58:23	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc99dcb…
10-01 21:21:12	ethereum above 3100 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1fab26…
10-01 05:41:54	will drake release a new album by september 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0200aa…
09-28 05:16:21	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe296c6…
09-27 21:21:21	Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x94048c…
09-23 10:52:43	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x75276c…
09-23 04:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xac8b3d…
09-23 03:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x83ab8f…
09-22 22:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5c38e5…
09-22 19:24:06	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbcf226…
09-21 23:56:24	will ethereum dip to 2500 on september 21 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe7a278…
09-19 04:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf6ce65…
09-18 00:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x568f19…
09-17 11:09:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x33f7ea…
09-13 03:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0fc5c1…
09-11 19:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x36bf15…
09-11 19:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xfe88f4…
09-11 02:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8a8354…
09-10 19:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x56cfa9…
09-07 14:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xce83d0…
09-06 21:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f4756…
09-06 05:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xefaa21…
09-05 23:19:19	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb98445…
09-05 07:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xba37a8…
09-05 01:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xbec41e…
09-04 20:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xdfd27b…
09-04 19:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x238601…
09-04 17:27:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd2a970…
09-04 10:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x382a32…
09-04 05:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64ef89…
09-03 20:52:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7c1898…
09-03 08:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3ca8a1…
09-03 01:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x150d44…
09-02 15:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f6c06…
09-02 11:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x185a06…
09-02 06:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xed1bfc…
09-02 00:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x70272c…
09-01 10:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7b6fcc…
09-01 05:02:16	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4fbd3f…
08-31 05:20:54	Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1e6a24…
08-30 23:14:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8973f…
08-30 17:18:04	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc601f9…
08-30 13:37:09	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x14839b…
08-30 02:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0537a2…
08-29 21:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x12e76f…
08-29 08:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8d9c7e…
08-28 21:35:19	Will "Hazel Eyes" - Sam Smith first week album sales be between 25k and 30k?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x31c3f0…
08-28 08:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x99e805…
08-28 05:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x31d6f2…
08-27 19:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7ac35…
08-27 02:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd08bf5…
08-26 20:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa4cfd…
08-26 17:13:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4fe55f…
08-26 09:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xaf9a13…
08-25 11:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf65cf1…
08-25 05:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf0a4ba…
08-24 20:37:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbaad75…
08-24 16:44:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ff741…
08-24 06:09:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52a376…
08-23 22:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 24?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x0688a8…
08-23 19:27:46	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x20c30a…
08-14 08:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e6d24…
08-13 19:04:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3f4d81…
08-13 16:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7f020e…
08-13 09:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb64f1e…
08-12 23:32:03	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5e1fc8…
08-12 22:03:19	Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3e186f…
08-12 06:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda16b0…
08-12 04:05:34	solana above 70 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x702fcd…
08-11 22:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x034ea2…
08-11 21:41:00	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x50d43a…
08-11 14:07:45	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb5d83e…
08-10 23:37:22	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x56aa3f…
08-10 19:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfe9d1f…
08-10 13:05:13	wti closes above 73 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9829ee…
08-10 11:24:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xac8394…
08-09 11:35:48	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x19cb96…
08-09 06:44:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x977351…
08-09 04:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd72ba6…
08-09 02:47:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfa8125…
08-08 17:55:21	will solana dip to 50 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa33026…
08-08 04:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d4191…
08-08 04:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9ef6d8…
08-07 22:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbeab43…
08-07 18:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe442ca…
08-07 12:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x05efbd…