Harmful-Independence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

1,311

Trades

5,173

lifetime

Volume

$28.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-21 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 61% -$279

Other

24% 60% +$86

Sports

2% 37% +$10

Politics

1% 46% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:35 UTC	7	$706	421	416	+5	Down	+$16	04-06 15:38
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$572	399	398	+1	No	+$19	03-29 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	25	$561	936	887	+49	Down	+$91	04-26 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	18	$324	239	239	+0	Up	+$44	04-29 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	28	$313	240	240	+0	Up	+$47	04-29 03:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 04:20 UTC	26	$305	257	248	+9	Down	+$43	04-22 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	23	$294	327	327	+0	Down	+$65	05-21 00:18
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	17	$278	168	168	+0	Over	+$43	04-29 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$267	286	240	+46	Up	+$60	04-26 00:33
lal rea get 2026 03 02 total 1pt5	20	$244	154	142	+12	Under	+$25	03-02 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	13	$230	254	243	+11	Up	+$19	04-26 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	15	$230	228	221	+7	Down	+$30	04-26 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$222	292	278	+14	Up	+$22	04-26 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	11	$213	168	168	+0	Down	+$13	04-29 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$209	294	280	+14	Down	+$9	04-26 00:35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	60	$209	604	604	+0	No	+$1	06-24 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 22:20 UTC	12	$201	121	119	+2	Up	+$9	03-02 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	6	$170	570	0	+570	Up	-$170	04-29 04:27
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 total 1pt5	10	$169	94	94	+0	Over	+$18	03-26 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 23:50 UTC	16	$168	206	150	+56	Up	+$22	04-04 23:53
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	8	$167	112	111	+1	Yes	+$31	04-04 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	14	$158	140	124	+17	Down	+$26	05-21 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:50 UTC	1	$157	309	0	+309	Down	-$157	04-10 15:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	15	$153	151	150	+0	Yes	-$6	03-07 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	7	$152	112	112	+0	Down	+$38	05-19 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	8	$148	110	110	+0	Down	+$18	05-21 00:58
fif bra hrv 2026 03 31 bra	18	$147	102	102	+0	Yes	+$40	04-01 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	12	$144	120	120	+0	Down	+$16	05-21 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	20	$137	95	95	+0	Down	+$7	04-29 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 01:10 UTC	6	$137	138	131	+6	Up	+$43	04-05 01:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 23:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3f63e6…
10-21 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xf32ffa…
10-21 23:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd1166f…
10-21 23:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0d8bae…
10-21 23:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xa92a37…
10-21 23:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa01d37…
10-21 23:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcf8787…
10-21 23:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x68dafc…
10-21 23:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1b4479…
10-21 22:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x42ef7d…
10-21 22:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x406a9c…
10-21 22:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xe32d3b…
10-21 22:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xcb617c…
10-21 22:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb1251e…
10-21 22:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1541e2…
10-21 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4cb673…
10-21 22:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x395c1c…
10-21 22:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x97cd4f…
10-21 22:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xba8228…
10-21 22:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x940840…
10-21 22:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x02b761…
10-21 22:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc5ee67…
10-21 22:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xc0112d…
10-21 22:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x89e2b2…
10-21 22:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa37bf7…
10-21 22:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb8432a…
10-21 22:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x40a989…
10-21 22:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf4fb4a…
10-21 22:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0eb702…
10-21 22:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x6dfc95…
10-21 22:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xb86c03…
10-21 22:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdf8703…
10-21 22:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaa4fae…
10-21 22:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x45d26c…
10-21 22:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5be517…
10-21 22:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x0449f1…
10-21 22:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xca83c2…
10-21 22:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x27fd8b…
10-21 22:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x96438c…
10-21 22:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xfe85a6…
10-21 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xaacac3…
10-21 22:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xf55674…
10-21 22:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4e592f…
10-21 22:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4af0d4…
10-21 22:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd9fe2f…
10-21 22:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x432018…
10-21 22:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x887434…
10-21 22:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe3d986…
09-29 20:57:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x928d50…
09-29 20:56:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0xdef169…
09-29 20:56:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x800165…
09-29 20:56:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x439a33…
09-29 20:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x5bde28…
09-29 20:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x489b60…
09-29 20:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc03769…
09-29 20:44:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x014944…
09-26 21:22:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0xfebef9…
09-26 21:17:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x9fb8b8…
09-26 21:16:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x1c62b7…
09-26 21:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xb102f7…
09-26 21:13:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xde1bc4…
09-26 21:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7f9b91…
09-26 21:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x187336…
09-26 21:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0xfb359d…
09-26 21:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa724b7…
09-26 21:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xa14887…
09-26 21:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x9173c5…
09-26 21:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb2e0e0…
09-26 20:55:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x337287…
09-26 20:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe3be80…
09-26 20:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xfb2af1…
09-26 20:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0117b8…
09-26 20:47:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x90bf15…
09-26 20:47:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x67c5ec…
09-26 20:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x65fa1a…
09-26 20:44:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x635d2a…
09-26 20:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x0e879a…
09-26 20:34:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc7e98e…
09-26 20:34:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe8ab79…
09-26 20:27:12	England vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4e8ab5…
09-26 20:24:44	England vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x85b4ad…
09-26 20:23:00	England vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa74aab…
09-26 20:21:39	England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x6f31e7…
09-26 20:14:14	England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe345f6…
09-26 20:11:06	England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8f04b5…
09-26 20:09:12	England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x00ad55…
09-26 20:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x53eeba…
09-26 20:07:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xae646a…
09-26 20:06:39	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xafef9b…
09-26 20:04:47	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x62cfd9…
09-26 20:01:56	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5990b0…
09-26 19:55:39	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x944a48…
09-26 19:55:21	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfdd908…
09-26 19:53:39	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x5a18e2…
09-26 19:53:17	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xdfdd50…
09-26 19:35:39	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xff8889…
09-26 19:32:14	England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3ef8db…
09-26 19:32:03	England vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8a1896…
09-26 19:27:47	England vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xa774db…
09-26 19:22:54	England vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xcca243…