Flawed-Use — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$9.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-01 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Crypto

46% 67% +$28

Sports

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	4	$1.2K	812	812	+0	open	—	03-15 18:05
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	5	$575	431	431	+0	open	—	03-06 14:04
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	4	$549	389	384	+5	open	—	03-06 13:04
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	3	$369	745	745	+0	open	—	03-06 14:19
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 15c	2	$329	309	309	+0	open	—	03-23 13:50
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	1	$290	380	0	+380	open	—	03-23 00:09
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 14corhigher	3	$196	126	126	+0	open	—	03-22 03:10
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$194	135	135	+0	open	—	03-22 09:23
btc updown 15m 1770364800	5	$178	202	154	+48	open	—	02-06 08:06
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 16c	6	$170	120	120	+0	open	—	03-26 12:31
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 9c	5	$170	92	92	+0	open	—	03-20 11:25
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	1	$162	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	03-31 05:40
bitcoin up or down march 5 1am et	2	$148	118	118	+0	open	—	03-05 06:15
highest temperature in tokyo on march 26 2026 13c	3	$147	96	96	+0	open	—	03-26 12:32
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	2	$140	200	200	+0	open	—	03-16 13:36
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	2	$133	104	100	+4	open	—	04-24 08:17
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	4	$125	171	171	+0	open	—	03-05 13:49
will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	02-21 05:07
btc updown 15m 1772942400	3	$104	113	111	+2	open	—	03-08 04:03
bitcoin up or down march 8 2am et	1	$100	217	0	+217	open	—	03-08 06:06
highest temperature in ankara on march 24 2026 11c	2	$100	142	142	+0	open	—	03-23 13:23
highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 19c	2	$96	52	52	+0	open	—	04-23 13:05
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	2	$95	256	256	+0	open	—	03-17 05:31
highest temperature in paris on march 20 2026 17c	3	$86	68	68	+0	open	—	03-20 22:54
bitcoin up or down march 5 2am et	6	$85	81	81	+0	open	—	03-05 07:20
btc updown 15m 1772947800	4	$83	101	100	+1	open	—	03-08 05:36
btc updown 15m 1772595900	4	$82	64	63	+1	open	—	03-04 03:59
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 14c	3	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	03-21 08:06
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	3	$81	97	0	+97	open	—	03-21 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	4	$80	119	119	+0	open	—	06-01 07:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 08:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8d419e…
06-01 08:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x408c17…
06-01 07:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	104	12¢	$12	0x7cb9cc…
06-01 07:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x0c1275…
06-01 07:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x56056d…
06-01 06:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0xe020ff…
06-01 06:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc931f9…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0xef7a7f…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0x771673…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x3ebe81…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x24e2c4…
06-01 06:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x8f1f89…
06-01 06:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x6db961…
05-06 06:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	26¢	$7	0xdba082…
05-06 06:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x5ed26e…
05-05 06:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0x3a6a80…
05-05 06:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8d3cb4…
05-05 06:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa7eb4b…
05-05 05:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x70fd5e…
05-05 05:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xdafdff…
05-05 03:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x09b884…
05-05 03:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xe0957b…
05-05 00:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xf1bbf5…
05-05 00:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x56d093…
05-04 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	64	51¢	$32	0x2f9c26…
05-04 07:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x722513…
05-04 07:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x67f87e…
05-04 07:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xddb147…
05-04 06:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0xad6759…
05-04 06:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0fd7d1…
05-04 02:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	38¢	$7	0x42fad8…
05-04 02:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc7f166…
05-03 14:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xc22574…
05-03 14:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xe82ab3…
05-03 14:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0xa1b602…
05-03 13:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xd989cf…
05-03 13:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x653df9…
05-03 06:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x1df81e…
05-03 06:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x2b5462…
05-03 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xf43048…
05-03 06:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6040d5…
05-03 05:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x4b7bb0…
05-03 04:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xf4a424…
05-03 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc5d4d9…
05-03 02:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x81b1b5…
05-02 16:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x333855…
05-02 15:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xb7f387…
05-02 15:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	28	66¢	$18	0xb10b31…
05-02 15:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x099a35…
05-02 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x829a01…
05-02 15:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3988da…
05-02 15:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x35de3d…
04-30 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	29¢	$5	0xb6441d…
04-30 13:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbcff82…
04-30 13:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x508095…
04-30 13:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf04d3f…
04-30 13:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x61db7d…
04-30 08:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8f44c7…
04-30 08:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x5e5453…
04-30 08:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xc9a8d1…
04-30 08:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x47f6d7…
04-30 02:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x698a21…
04-30 02:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x7adb55…
04-29 14:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0xea26cc…
04-29 14:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x092e0f…
04-29 13:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x643db6…
04-29 12:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5c0951…
04-29 02:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	26	60¢	$16	0xea6209…
04-29 02:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7c1d97…
04-28 09:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xec7ed1…
04-28 09:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1ab9f3…
04-28 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x5dae03…
04-28 02:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x375386…
04-28 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$4	0xcbc7f4…
04-28 02:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xf83fec…
04-27 07:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0x0acf39…
04-27 07:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfebc66…
04-27 02:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x5f8693…
04-26 15:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xa342c3…
04-26 15:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd35c87…
04-26 03:38:44	Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x0ac739…
04-26 03:38:14	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x285b21…
04-26 03:38:04	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x2275d7…
04-26 03:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xa03d87…
04-26 03:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa040b7…
04-26 02:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x435898…
04-25 15:54:26	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x969bca…
04-25 15:53:04	Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x0ff9eb…
04-25 15:51:52	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x36a7dc…
04-25 15:51:12	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xea6d4c…
04-25 15:50:42	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x4b602a…
04-25 15:49:58	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x1c8672…
04-25 15:49:20	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe2bcca…
04-25 09:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7853a5…
04-24 08:17:04	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x307f89…
04-24 08:12:02	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0xc29cd2…
04-24 03:18:22	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$3	0x0cfb49…
04-24 03:08:02	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf8139…
04-24 03:05:46	will donald trumps tie be blue on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x421db5…
04-23 13:29:40	btc updown 4h 1776945600	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbd1789…