Flawed-Use — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$682

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

239

Trades

533

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-30 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

59% 39% -$555

Crypto

36% 41% +$260

Politics

3% 0% -$413

Sports

2% 48% +$26

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	4	$1.2K	812	812	+0	Yes	+$348	03-15 18:05
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	4	$887	1,396	1,396	+0	Jordan	-$313	06-28 03:51
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	2	$705	505	505	+0	Over	+$305	06-26 03:14
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	5	$575	431	431	+0	No	-$37	03-06 14:04
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	4	$549	389	384	+5	Down	+$56	03-06 13:04
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	3	$527	698	698	+0	Over	-$73	06-27 04:30
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$394	971	0	+971	No	-$394	06-05 00:02
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	1	$372	908	0	+908	No	-$372	06-30 00:10
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	3	$369	745	745	+0	Yes	-$33	03-06 14:19
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 15c	2	$329	309	309	+0	Yes	-$30	03-23 13:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?	4	$294	435	435	+0	Yes	+$272	06-02 14:27
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	1	$290	380	0	+380	No	-$290	03-23 00:09
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts first half	2	$271	1,176	1,176	+0	No	-$129	06-27 00:22
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	3	$229	517	517	+0	Haiti	-$71	06-24 22:15
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 14corhigher	3	$196	126	126	+0	Yes	+$57	03-22 03:10
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$194	135	135	+0	Yes	+$4	03-22 09:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:00 UTC	5	$178	202	154	+48	Up	-$20	02-06 08:06
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	7	$177	522	522	+0	Under	-$42	06-28 00:26
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	1	$172	400	0	+400	Over	+$228	06-23 15:32
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 16c	6	$170	120	120	+0	Yes	+$70	03-26 12:31
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 9c	5	$170	92	92	+0	No	+$6	03-20 11:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?	3	$169	200	200	+0	No	+$111	06-02 14:51
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	1	$162	1,019	0	+1,019	No	-$162	03-31 05:40
bitcoin up or down march 5 1am et	2	$148	118	118	+0	Up	+$28	03-05 06:15
highest temperature in tokyo on march 26 2026 13c	3	$147	96	96	+0	Yes	+$44	03-26 12:32
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	2	$140	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 13:36
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	2	$133	104	100	+4	Up	+$31	04-24 08:17
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	4	$125	171	171	+0	No	+$1	03-05 13:49
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts first half	2	$115	310	310	+0	No	-$34	06-27 23:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 23?	2	$106	303	303	+0	No	-$15	06-23 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 00:10:10	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	908	41¢	$372	0x6977be…
06-28 03:51:50	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	SELL	714	23¢	$164	0x3463dd…
06-28 03:43:40	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x28d489…
06-28 03:36:14	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	SELL	682	18¢	$123	0x8b8bc6…
06-28 01:53:37	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	682	44¢	$300	0xd6ef7b…
06-28 00:26:08	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	522	13¢	$68	0x0f8b3d…
06-27 23:54:29	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0x50c5ff…
06-27 23:54:19	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xad830c…
06-27 23:54:13	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	127	21¢	$27	0x2fef5a…
06-27 23:54:08	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	127	21¢	$27	0x506204…
06-27 23:54:07	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	127	21¢	$27	0x74efcb…
06-27 23:54:05	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	89	21¢	$19	0x6a7124…
06-27 23:44:28	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts first half	Yes	SELL	310	13¢	$41	0x2d6ddb…
06-27 23:30:25	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts first half	Yes	BUY	310	24¢	$74	0x1477d9…
06-27 04:30:23	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	348	32¢	$111	0xb08382…
06-27 04:29:40	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	350	33¢	$116	0x254b15…
06-27 02:19:55	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0x139dbf…
06-27 00:34:07	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	378	18¢	$68	0x75ee77…
06-27 00:22:52	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts first half	Yes	SELL	1,176	6¢	$71	0x2712ed…
06-26 23:56:29	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts first half	Yes	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0x60755d…
06-26 03:38:05	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x0cfe7a…
06-26 03:15:44	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	No	SELL	1,100	1¢	$10	0x583100…
06-26 03:14:43	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	505	100¢	$505	0x075814…
06-26 02:02:02	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	505	40¢	$200	0x817d98…
06-25 14:29:20	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe9f8ec…
06-25 14:27:17	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	1,100	3¢	$30	0x1c7ce6…
06-25 14:18:47	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb4c8f0…
06-25 14:18:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x193cfb…
06-25 14:17:16	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x272a8a…
06-25 14:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	74	7¢	$5	0xf152a2…
06-25 08:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x18fe4f…
06-25 07:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x56c055…
06-25 07:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	65	17¢	$11	0x3eefbb…
06-25 07:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0xb02cab…
06-24 22:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	217	18¢	$39	0x48aaf5…
06-24 22:15:31	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xc5243a…
06-24 22:15:20	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	SELL	517	15¢	$79	0x67af99…
06-24 22:00:29	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	517	29¢	$150	0xa07bb5…
06-23 15:32:04	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0x30769e…
06-23 06:32:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23?	Yes	SELL	120	23¢	$28	0xc36d17…
06-23 06:18:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 23?	Yes	SELL	303	15¢	$46	0x639371…
06-23 06:16:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 23?	Yes	BUY	303	20¢	$61	0x67a742…
06-23 05:47:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x941573…
06-23 05:30:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23?	Yes	BUY	110	8¢	$9	0x59c3a6…
06-21 15:30:10	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	156	60¢	$94	0x40b216…
06-20 15:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xcffe3d…
06-14 06:19:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x794d79…
06-05 00:02:31	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xcd381e…
06-04 23:17:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x60b7e2…
06-04 15:15:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x8d5672…
06-04 15:06:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	Yes	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0x663d78…
06-04 15:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xacea1d…
06-04 15:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x10e8ce…
06-04 07:50:24	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	192	33¢	$63	0x9371ba…
06-04 01:17:13	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	265	39¢	$103	0x8e853d…
06-03 16:00:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	43	16¢	$7	0x3ef1eb…
06-03 15:59:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xb4db97…
06-03 15:45:36	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xd50a33…
06-03 05:55:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x769128…
06-03 05:48:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x2b8b87…
06-02 14:51:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0xeb41b5…
06-02 14:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x4ee258…
06-02 14:27:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	430	65¢	$280	0xad1baa…
06-02 14:27:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x916d1a…
06-01 14:38:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xbd5e49…
06-01 14:30:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	130	15¢	$19	0x81cec5…
06-01 14:25:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$11	0x20b6ba…
06-01 08:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8d419e…
06-01 08:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x408c17…
06-01 07:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	104	12¢	$12	0x7cb9cc…
06-01 07:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x0c1275…
06-01 07:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x56056d…
06-01 06:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0xe020ff…
06-01 06:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc931f9…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0xef7a7f…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0x771673…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x3ebe81…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x24e2c4…
06-01 06:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x8f1f89…
06-01 06:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x6db961…
05-31 14:53:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	92¢	$35	0xc4d8a4…
05-31 02:29:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	46¢	$18	0xfff614…
05-30 14:12:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xc8f793…
05-30 14:12:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x4d457f…
05-30 14:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x38d570…
05-30 04:39:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	150	9¢	$13	0xb963da…
05-06 12:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x939af4…
05-06 07:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xf2da28…
05-06 07:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xb14812…
05-06 06:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	26¢	$7	0xdba082…
05-06 06:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x5ed26e…
05-05 15:24:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x993a24…
05-05 13:19:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xee0f2c…
05-05 13:17:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	38	56¢	$21	0x655d93…
05-05 13:10:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x1c2cb5…
05-05 06:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x41ce44…
05-05 06:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0x3a6a80…
05-05 06:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8d3cb4…
05-05 06:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa7eb4b…
05-05 05:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x70fd5e…