Flawed-Use — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

Trades

479

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-28 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Crypto

35% 67% +$28

Sports

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	4	$1.2K	812	812	+0	open	—	03-15 18:05
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	4	$887	1,396	1,396	+0	open	—	06-28 03:51
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	2	$705	505	505	+0	open	—	06-26 03:14
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	5	$575	431	431	+0	open	—	03-06 14:04
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	4	$549	389	384	+5	open	—	03-06 13:04
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	3	$527	698	698	+0	open	—	06-27 04:30
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	3	$369	745	745	+0	open	—	03-06 14:19
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 15c	2	$329	309	309	+0	open	—	03-23 13:50
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	1	$290	380	0	+380	open	—	03-23 00:09
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts first half	2	$271	1,176	1,176	+0	open	—	06-27 00:22
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	3	$229	517	517	+0	open	—	06-24 22:15
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 14corhigher	3	$196	126	126	+0	open	—	03-22 03:10
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$194	135	135	+0	open	—	03-22 09:23
btc updown 15m 1770364800	5	$178	202	154	+48	open	—	02-06 08:06
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	7	$177	522	522	+0	open	—	06-28 00:26
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	1	$172	400	0	+400	open	—	06-23 15:32
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 16c	6	$170	120	120	+0	open	—	03-26 12:31
highest temperature in ankara on march 20 2026 9c	5	$170	92	92	+0	open	—	03-20 11:25
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?	1	$162	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	03-31 05:40
bitcoin up or down march 5 1am et	2	$148	118	118	+0	open	—	03-05 06:15
highest temperature in tokyo on march 26 2026 13c	3	$147	96	96	+0	open	—	03-26 12:32
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	2	$140	200	200	+0	open	—	03-16 13:36
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	2	$133	104	100	+4	open	—	04-24 08:17
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	4	$125	171	171	+0	open	—	03-05 13:49
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts first half	2	$115	310	310	+0	open	—	06-27 23:44
will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	02-21 05:07
btc updown 15m 1772942400	3	$104	113	111	+2	open	—	03-08 04:03
bitcoin up or down march 8 2am et	1	$100	217	0	+217	open	—	03-08 06:06
highest temperature in ankara on march 24 2026 11c	2	$100	142	142	+0	open	—	03-23 13:23
highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 19c	2	$96	52	52	+0	open	—	04-23 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 03:51:50	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	SELL	714	23¢	$164	0x3463dd…
06-28 03:43:40	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x28d489…
06-28 03:36:14	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	SELL	682	18¢	$123	0x8b8bc6…
06-28 01:53:37	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	682	44¢	$300	0xd6ef7b…
06-28 00:26:08	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	522	13¢	$68	0x0f8b3d…
06-27 23:54:29	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0x50c5ff…
06-27 23:54:19	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xad830c…
06-27 23:54:13	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	127	21¢	$27	0x2fef5a…
06-27 23:54:08	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	127	21¢	$27	0x506204…
06-27 23:54:07	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	127	21¢	$27	0x74efcb…
06-27 23:54:05	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	89	21¢	$19	0x6a7124…
06-27 23:44:28	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts first half	Yes	SELL	310	13¢	$41	0x2d6ddb…
06-27 23:30:25	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts first half	Yes	BUY	310	24¢	$74	0x1477d9…
06-27 04:30:23	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	348	32¢	$111	0xb08382…
06-27 04:29:40	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	350	33¢	$116	0x254b15…
06-27 02:19:55	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0x139dbf…
06-27 00:34:07	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	378	18¢	$68	0x75ee77…
06-27 00:22:52	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts first half	Yes	SELL	1,176	6¢	$71	0x2712ed…
06-26 23:56:29	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts first half	Yes	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0x60755d…
06-26 03:15:44	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	No	SELL	1,100	1¢	$10	0x583100…
06-26 03:14:43	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	505	100¢	$505	0x075814…
06-26 02:02:02	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	505	40¢	$200	0x817d98…
06-25 14:29:20	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe9f8ec…
06-25 14:27:17	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	1,100	3¢	$30	0x1c7ce6…
06-25 14:18:47	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb4c8f0…
06-25 14:18:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x193cfb…
06-25 14:17:16	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x272a8a…
06-24 22:15:31	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xc5243a…
06-24 22:15:20	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	SELL	517	15¢	$79	0x67af99…
06-24 22:00:29	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	517	29¢	$150	0xa07bb5…
06-23 15:32:04	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0x30769e…
06-01 08:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8d419e…
06-01 08:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x408c17…
06-01 07:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	104	12¢	$12	0x7cb9cc…
06-01 07:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x0c1275…
06-01 07:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x56056d…
06-01 06:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0xe020ff…
06-01 06:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc931f9…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0xef7a7f…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0x771673…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x3ebe81…
06-01 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x24e2c4…
06-01 06:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x8f1f89…
06-01 06:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x6db961…
05-06 06:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	26¢	$7	0xdba082…
05-06 06:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x5ed26e…
05-05 06:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0x3a6a80…
05-05 06:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8d3cb4…
05-05 06:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa7eb4b…
05-05 05:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x70fd5e…
05-05 05:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xdafdff…
05-05 03:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x09b884…
05-05 03:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xe0957b…
05-05 00:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xf1bbf5…
05-05 00:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x56d093…
05-04 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	64	51¢	$32	0x2f9c26…
05-04 07:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x722513…
05-04 07:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x67f87e…
05-04 07:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xddb147…
05-04 06:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0xad6759…
05-04 06:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0fd7d1…
05-04 02:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	38¢	$7	0x42fad8…
05-04 02:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc7f166…
05-03 14:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xc22574…
05-03 14:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xe82ab3…
05-03 14:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0xa1b602…
05-03 13:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xd989cf…
05-03 13:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x653df9…
05-03 06:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x1df81e…
05-03 06:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x2b5462…
05-03 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xf43048…
05-03 06:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6040d5…
05-03 05:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x4b7bb0…
05-03 04:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xf4a424…
05-03 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc5d4d9…
05-03 02:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x81b1b5…
05-02 16:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x333855…
05-02 15:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xb7f387…
05-02 15:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	28	66¢	$18	0xb10b31…
05-02 15:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x099a35…
05-02 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x829a01…
05-02 15:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3988da…
05-02 15:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x35de3d…
04-30 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	29¢	$5	0xb6441d…
04-30 13:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbcff82…
04-30 13:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x508095…
04-30 13:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf04d3f…
04-30 13:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x61db7d…
04-30 08:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8f44c7…
04-30 08:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x5e5453…
04-30 08:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xc9a8d1…
04-30 08:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x47f6d7…
04-30 02:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x698a21…
04-30 02:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x7adb55…
04-29 14:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0xea26cc…
04-29 14:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x092e0f…
04-29 13:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x643db6…
04-29 12:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5c0951…
04-29 02:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	26	60¢	$16	0xea6209…
04-29 02:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7c1d97…