Dependable-Scrim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$613

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

1,574

Trades

6,431

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Sports

35% 41% -$22

Other

34% 45% -$405

Politics

18% 44% +$319

Crypto

13% 22% -$492

Tech

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+5,500	$6	0¢	$8	+$2	11-05 08:11
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	+35	$4	5¢	$2	-$2	10-18 22:34
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+500	$2	0¢	$1	$0	10-15 17:42
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+26	$2	3¢	$1	-$1	11-04 02:07
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	11-04 08:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	93	$503	8,174	2,754	+5,420	No	+$190	02-28 23:12
will ja morant be traded this season	91	$402	971	372	+599	No	+$6	02-05 20:01
cbb oregst stmry 2026 01 21 total 141pt5	63	$220	913	360	+552	Under	+$62	01-22 05:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$210	530	355	+175	Yes	+$149	02-28 21:23
nba was orl 2026 03 03 spread home 15pt5	7	$149	100	100	+0	Magic	+$51	03-04 05:44
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	22	$137	285	135	+150	No	-$28	03-18 19:36
cbb uab mphs 2026 02 22 total 152pt5	12	$132	103	91	+12	Under	+$34	02-22 19:05
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	47	$131	500	265	+236	No	+$27	03-13 18:27
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	18	$127	140	140	+0	Yes	+$12	04-10 05:32
cbb sdst gcan 2026 01 21 total 143pt5	18	$127	107	110	-3	Under	+$62	01-22 06:32
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	20	$113	155	115	+40	Yes	-$15	03-09 03:32
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	79	$111	5,330	1,663	+3,666	No	-$23	01-31 16:54
will trump say goat or greatest of all time during inter miami events on thursday	18	$110	198	101	+98	No	+$27	03-06 01:00
nfl la kc 2026 08 15	14	$107	260	65	+195	Rams	-$40	08-15 22:58
bitcoin above 66k on february 12	43	$107	286	271	+15	No	+$70	02-12 16:56
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	32	$105	435	54	+381	No	-$58	02-23 20:18
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded this season	29	$101	750	90	+660	No	-$38	02-05 17:43
nhl ott edm 2026 03 03	3	$101	72	72	+0	Oilers	+$42	03-04 05:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$98	700	0	+700	No	-$98	03-10 03:34
cbb duke vtech 2026 01 31 total 148pt5	11	$96	70	70	+0	Under	+$25	01-31 19:02
will trump say make america great again or maga this week march 8	12	$96	74	74	+0	No	+$8	03-08 20:01
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	3	$95	80	80	+0	Clippers	+$63	03-03 05:41
nba cha bos 2026 03 04 total 215pt5	3	$94	67	67	+0	Under	+$40	03-05 02:57
will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during iowa speech	29	$91	87	63	+24	No	-$9	01-27 23:12
nhl buf pit 2026 03 05 total 6pt5	6	$90	60	60	+0	Under	+$30	03-06 03:01
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	20	$87	246	135	+111	Yes	+$1	03-05 17:30
nba gsw uta 2026 03 09 spread away 6pt5	9	$87	70	75	-5	Jazz	-$3	03-10 03:18
nhl phi tor 2026 03 02	2	$87	60	60	+0	Flyers	+$33	03-03 03:51
bitcoin above 66k on february 27	23	$87	175	145	+30	No	+$42	02-27 16:42
nba det sas 2026 03 05 spread home 2pt5	15	$86	75	60	+15	Spurs	+$23	03-06 04:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 08:11:33	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	446	0¢	$0	0xbeb323…
11-05 08:10:33	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	554	0¢	$1	0x48b15b…
11-05 07:29:46	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfabbd8…
11-05 04:08:49	Spread: Lakers (-5.5)	Kings	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x313ba0…
11-05 02:41:27	Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x21f52f…
11-05 02:39:07	Spread: Rockets (-6.5)	Rockets	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x51521b…
11-04 08:50:48	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	986	0¢	$1	0x976992…
11-04 08:00:31	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xe8b3e1…
11-04 07:13:12	Will Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and an independent win Montana?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x3f4fcb…
11-04 06:56:15	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x82d97f…
11-04 06:42:19	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x01ce11…
11-04 06:07:07	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	998	0¢	$1	0x6fc511…
11-04 04:58:57	Will Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and an independent win Montana?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xe7d448…
11-04 04:40:37	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x638439…
11-04 02:53:48	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x654898…
11-04 02:38:27	Will Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and an independent win Montana?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x01c110…
11-04 02:16:54	Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x7f14db…
11-04 02:07:46	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x8fcdaa…
11-04 01:35:16	Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x37e485…
11-04 01:05:54	Will Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and an independent win Montana?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x921a4a…
11-03 23:54:46	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xa5c171…
11-01 19:26:28	Browns vs. Steelers	Browns	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x2995e0…
11-01 00:33:37	Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina	North Carolina	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdcbd0e…
11-01 00:16:06	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6c006d…
10-31 23:29:45	Spread: Hawks (-4.5)	Hawks	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7627d5…
10-30 03:08:16	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x41d204…
10-30 03:06:22	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xccaf8c…
10-30 02:52:57	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd06f31…
10-30 02:47:37	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x18b0c7…
10-30 02:37:48	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0f3a36…
10-29 23:04:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x6b2b51…
10-29 23:02:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1f7097…
10-29 03:34:04	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Spurs	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x5c1b82…
10-29 03:01:53	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x076ba5…
10-29 02:38:07	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa8abaa…
10-29 02:36:17	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x641923…
10-29 02:06:46	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf6a833…
10-29 01:46:40	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd8ecd2…
10-29 01:46:25	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x381179…
10-29 01:46:02	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8a05e6…
10-26 02:01:09	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xde9aec…
10-26 00:31:05	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x457723…
10-26 00:29:56	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xac9ada…
10-25 02:44:41	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xf0315e…
10-25 02:28:23	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x10fcb1…
10-25 01:11:27	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xc5443a…
10-24 05:57:57	NC State vs. Stanford	NC State	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x5d9abd…
10-24 04:05:18	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x425c3a…
10-24 03:52:03	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe90aca…
10-24 03:19:27	Spread: Spurs (-7.5)	Spurs	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x2f99a6…
10-24 02:28:27	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x40e3ae…
10-23 04:13:03	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xb35376…
10-23 03:37:05	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbdbb52…
10-23 03:34:54	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x2da176…
10-22 16:53:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x25a892…
10-22 08:45:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x2d65e8…
10-21 19:33:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xf90801…
10-21 19:30:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x03fad0…
10-19 02:27:20	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xdab03f…
10-18 22:48:54	Cardinals vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x8f0f46…
10-18 22:35:03	Cardinals vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf28454…
10-18 22:34:30	Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0xd4f7c1…
10-18 22:33:53	Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xc132a8…
10-17 23:52:08	Spread: Miami (FL) (-30.5)	Miami (FL)	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xfe8e59…
10-17 23:49:35	Spread: Miami (FL) (-29.5)	Miami (FL)	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0f1569…
10-17 23:41:08	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xc2058d…
10-17 20:31:14	Spread: Alabama (-16.5)	Alabama	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x8bfbae…
10-17 20:24:45	Spread: Alabama (-6.5)	Alabama	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xfca986…
10-17 20:24:44	Spread: Alabama (-6.5)	Alabama	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xc4ce82…
10-17 20:11:23	Spread: Alabama (-13.5)	Alabama	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0643d6…
10-17 20:02:17	Spread: Alabama (-6.5)	Alabama	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdefda2…
10-16 03:06:12	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x14f123…
10-16 03:01:07	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xbb4a2b…
10-16 02:23:48	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7d95d4…
10-16 02:22:49	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x4c7e3c…
10-15 17:42:58	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xf92a13…
10-15 17:40:34	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7ab9f4…
10-15 03:03:16	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x8e20d8…
10-15 02:35:14	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc05240…
10-15 02:31:23	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x6da723…
10-15 02:25:55	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xad3dc6…
10-15 02:12:31	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xa9d799…
10-15 00:47:10	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb8e554…
10-15 00:35:56	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x9e3785…
10-11 02:41:38	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Alabama	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe75b1c…
10-11 02:40:45	Spread: Alabama (-7.5)	Alabama	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x991721…
10-11 02:30:11	Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x944d24…
10-11 01:02:55	Spread: Alabama (-4.5)	Alabama	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xfa6fdb…
10-11 01:02:54	Spread: Alabama (-4.5)	Alabama	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x185490…
10-11 00:49:10	Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x91bf5e…
10-11 00:49:09	Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x7ae380…
10-11 00:42:30	Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0x830441…
10-11 00:35:40	Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x45b01d…
10-11 00:35:27	Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xd50186…
10-11 00:35:27	Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3a9933…
10-11 00:35:25	Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x283e6a…
10-10 23:54:04	Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x4d03c1…
10-10 23:48:42	Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xbd7a38…
10-08 02:04:59	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcb03fa…
10-08 01:55:38	Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x56e2b9…