Specific-Moody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

286

Trades

456

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-16 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

91% 31% -$11

Politics

7% 33% +$20

Crypto

2% 0% -$49

Sports

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+50	$6	3¢	$1	-$5	09-22 17:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+40	$10	1¢	$0	-$9	10-11 12:15
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$7	6¢	$0	+$7	06-15 00:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	8	$106	100	100	+0	Yes	+$64	03-12 18:23
tsla above 340 on april 10 2026	4	$69	44	44	+0	Yes	-$1	04-08 14:10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	2	$65	60	60	+0	Yes	+$45	05-11 14:16
si above 95 jan 2026	8	$56	130	50	+80	No	+$33	01-30 18:13
spx up or down on february 3 2026	4	$55	75	45	+30	Down	+$23	02-03 15:36
will meta reach 760 in september 2026 from september 25	2	$48	40	40	+0	No	+$20	09-28 22:35
tsla above 360 on april 10 2026	5	$42	80	80	+0	No	-$2	04-08 14:17
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of August 24 2026?	4	$39	30	30	+0	No	+$19	08-28 18:19
spx up or down on august 6 2026	2	$38	27	27	+0	Down	+$16	08-06 21:00
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	8	$36	160	160	+0	No	-$25	02-12 15:34
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	2	$32	40	40	+0	No	+$15	08-11 10:11
nvda close above 230 on may 21 2026	1	$31	90	0	+90	No	-$31	05-20 17:08
tsla up or down on april 9 2026	1	$30	59	0	+59	Up	-$30	04-09 07:57
will sp 500 spx hit 6900 high in march 2026	2	$29	100	0	+100	No	-$29	03-13 08:05
spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	4	$27	23	23	+0	No	+$17	08-17 19:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	06-06 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 31?	3	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$15	05-31 17:33
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$25	50	50	+0	Yes	-$6	04-03 17:03
wti closes above 91 on april 22 2026	3	$25	60	0	+60	Yes	+$35	04-22 11:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	2	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$14	10-12 19:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	3	$25	40	13	+27	Up	+$28	09-18 20:03
will artemis ii launch by february 28	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	+$15	02-05 19:14
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?	2	$24	40	40	+0	No	-$1	09-27 14:49
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	2	$23	60	60	+0	open	—	06-11 13:09
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$23	100	0	+100	No	+$77	03-13 09:10
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	16	$22	60	60	+0	open	—	06-15 00:25
spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	2	$21	40	0	+40	Up	+$19	07-18 19:34
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of October?	5	$21	90	0	+90	No	-$21	10-15 16:18
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of April?	1	$20	80	0	+80	Yes	-$20	04-24 16:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$20	61	0	+61	Yes	-$20	04-09 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 15:39:00	wti closes above 95 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xae4f3e…
10-16 15:34:42	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x265dfc…
10-15 16:18:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of October?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xf02215…
10-15 16:18:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of October?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe79900…
10-15 16:18:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of October?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x7b2ae3…
10-15 16:17:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of October?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xb41878…
10-15 16:15:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of October?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x46ed16…
10-15 12:53:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in October?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x01d0ff…
10-14 16:00:13	googl close above 355 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x633d8f…
10-14 15:39:45	nvda close above 225 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x4b8f85…
10-12 19:59:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $230?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8a833c…
10-12 19:59:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $230?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x7b683d…
10-12 19:14:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xe8892a…
10-12 08:22:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf33fbf…
10-12 08:20:03	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xee1648…
10-11 15:01:55	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb6412a…
10-11 12:15:51	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xff7bb7…
10-09 18:50:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 9?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x9bc05d…
10-09 17:10:01	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x73b79f…
10-09 13:31:55	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x91a988…
10-09 09:45:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 9?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa03a20…
10-09 09:43:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 9?	No	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0xcf5e7c…
10-08 17:08:56	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xc8bc70…
10-08 17:04:17	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x257746…
10-07 17:16:22	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xea9a3d…
10-07 17:15:38	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xa5a461…
10-07 14:00:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x986c68…
10-07 13:49:41	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x8f4c52…
10-07 12:39:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on October 7?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x206caf…
10-07 11:00:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x83be06…
10-07 10:22:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on October 7?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x12fe79…
10-07 09:56:48	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xaa60e0…
10-06 15:27:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on October 6?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x13673e…
10-06 15:26:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on October 6?	No	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xe84977…
10-06 15:26:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on October 6?	No	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xd131f3…
10-06 13:32:12	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in October?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x536b05…
10-05 20:32:07	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x152a69…
10-05 20:26:43	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x050a13…
10-05 10:00:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf7ffef…
10-04 14:04:26	wti closes above 90 on october 5 2026	No	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xf057c1…
10-03 09:24:33	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8c9409…
10-02 15:26:53	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on October 2?	No	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x123aaa…
10-02 15:26:51	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on October 2?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6f69aa…
10-02 13:28:03	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of September 28 above $340?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x501e79…
09-28 22:35:23	will meta reach 760 in september 2026 from september 25	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x1f1e9f…
09-28 12:50:38	wti closes above 96 on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x74c756…
09-27 14:49:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x5ac8c2…
09-26 17:54:15	will meta reach 760 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x716dc6…
09-25 12:48:18	will googl dip to 340 by september 21 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3cb1e1…
09-24 18:01:32	nvda close above 225 on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf3bedb…
09-24 18:01:26	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x499459…
09-24 17:54:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0x6fd895…
09-22 17:52:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x2d15ad…
09-22 17:52:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xbfeff7…
09-22 17:49:19	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x5fad92…
09-21 19:21:55	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on September 21?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x195f60…
09-21 11:02:54	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $150 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6c9f91…
09-21 07:28:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x07afe2…
09-20 13:46:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x992c8d…
09-19 19:05:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x35a715…
09-18 20:05:28	Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x10b249…
09-18 20:03:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x9ff259…
09-18 14:40:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0x8582b2…
09-18 14:38:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3551a8…
09-18 13:30:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd0750f…
09-17 18:13:39	wti closes above 96 on september 18 2026	No	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0x4daecf…
09-17 07:09:28	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc5ceb7…
09-16 06:31:37	wti closes above 103 on september 16 2026	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x70d319…
09-15 19:04:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on September 15?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xdbad04…
09-15 08:01:36	wti closes above 102 on september 15 2026	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x3e5160…
09-15 07:02:21	spx up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x7c9098…
09-15 07:01:30	wti closes above 102 on september 15 2026	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x5e35fe…
09-14 15:28:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on September 14?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd4c2bf…
09-01 14:58:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0x716c81…
08-31 18:19:22	US Lecce vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x34ab88…
08-31 11:10:15	will nvda dip to 216 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x9e1ebd…
08-31 11:05:35	spy closes above 770 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x216d3d…
08-28 18:19:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of August 24 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x177b9d…
08-28 18:00:21	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of August 24 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa8e76f…
08-27 17:31:33	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of August?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xf9ed44…
08-27 17:26:36	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of August 24 2026?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x90edff…
08-26 14:03:15	spy closes above 770 on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x3bd205…
08-24 18:40:04	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2cc3f7…
08-24 18:17:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x2f977f…
08-21 11:03:03	spy closes above 765 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x0e7105…
08-21 10:46:30	will iran target a arab country on august 31 2026 20260801004719148	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0xdaaf87…
08-20 11:46:27	googl up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x076099…
08-20 11:39:00	googl up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc2d83f…
08-20 10:37:13	googl up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x95371c…
08-20 10:32:06	spy closes above 770 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x79517c…
08-20 10:31:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x6b94df…
08-20 10:28:37	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x141866…
08-19 12:31:52	spy closes above 770 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x55f601…
08-19 12:25:52	googl up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x2d8738…
08-18 14:34:21	will aapl reach 336 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x137c0e…
08-18 13:27:16	aapl up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6701b8…
08-18 13:26:04	aapl up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc6afa6…
08-18 13:21:06	wti closes above 85 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd43cbe…
08-17 21:30:03	wti up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x327b28…
08-17 19:25:40	will iran target a arab country on august 31 2026 20260801004719148	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x005d46…