Specific-Moody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-16 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

90% 44% +$49

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	-60	$-12	34¢	$-20	$-8	06-11 13:09
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	-60	$-14	13¢	$-8	+$7	06-15 00:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	+40	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	05-31 23:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	8	$106	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 18:23
tsla above 340 on april 10 2026	4	$69	44	44	+0	open	—	04-08 14:10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	2	$65	60	60	+0	Yes	+$45	05-11 14:16
si above 95 jan 2026	8	$56	130	50	+80	open	—	01-30 18:13
spx up or down on february 3 2026	4	$55	75	45	+30	open	—	02-03 15:36
tsla above 360 on april 10 2026	5	$42	80	80	+0	open	—	04-08 14:17
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	8	$36	160	160	+0	open	—	02-12 15:34
nvda close above 230 on may 21 2026	1	$31	90	0	+90	open	—	05-20 17:08
tsla up or down on april 9 2026	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	04-09 07:57
will sp 500 spx hit 6900 high in march 2026	2	$29	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 08:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 13:07
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$25	50	50	+0	open	—	04-03 17:03
wti closes above 91 on april 22 2026	3	$25	60	0	+60	open	—	04-22 11:13
will artemis ii launch by february 28	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	02-05 19:14
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$23	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 09:10
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of April?	1	$20	80	0	+80	open	—	04-24 16:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$20	61	0	+61	open	—	04-09 07:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$20	70	0	+70	open	—	03-15 18:00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?	1	$16	50	0	+50	Yes	+$34	05-12 20:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	1	$16	50	0	+50	open	—	05-01 10:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$16	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 09:15
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $225?	1	$15	40	0	+40	open	—	05-12 19:34
will tsla dip to 405 in january	2	$14	50	50	+0	open	—	01-29 14:38
msft above 470 on june 5 2026	3	$14	40	0	+40	open	—	06-01 13:32
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	15	$14	0	60	-60	open	—	06-15 00:25
spy closes above 750 on june 8 2026	1	$14	71	0	+71	open	—	06-06 15:08
spx up or down on april 6 2026	1	$14	40	0	+40	open	—	04-06 13:30
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	6	$14	87	0	+87	open	—	06-16 09:35
googl above 320 on april 10 2026	1	$14	40	0	+40	open	—	04-08 13:53
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$14	50	0	+50	No	$-14	05-05 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 09:35:36	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x2c2b2e…
06-16 09:35:06	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x0fc453…
06-16 09:35:04	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x51d630…
06-16 09:35:03	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x3a63b0…
06-16 09:35:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xed2802…
06-16 09:35:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0xf69ed6…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xe1e79c…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xda7aab…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xd06796…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xa8a870…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x98fa2b…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x95bd53…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x815d65…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x6af33f…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x628538…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x4b0d75…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x3c580a…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x164f68…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x0eab66…
06-15 00:25:39	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x019652…
06-15 00:25:37	Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x181d7a…
06-13 15:50:49	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x37b009…
06-13 15:46:21	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x7cc7f2…
06-11 13:15:16	wti up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0xc72d3d…
06-11 13:09:24	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x748e17…
06-06 15:08:40	spy closes above 750 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0xb4bd24…
06-06 13:07:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x69604f…
06-02 06:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x41cb48…
06-01 13:32:18	msft above 470 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x3d0dab…
06-01 13:20:00	msft above 470 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5669e2…
06-01 13:19:56	msft above 470 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x91846e…
05-31 23:30:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5c3540…
05-31 12:56:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x20ea92…
05-30 09:16:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x4bac9f…
05-30 09:15:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb65eb1…
05-29 13:31:09	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xbdaaad…
05-29 08:43:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa23f74…
05-29 08:32:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 29?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x6d137a…
05-28 19:10:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xefa64d…
05-28 16:42:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x41805d…
05-28 06:27:18	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x59f6b8…
05-28 06:14:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x31a46b…
05-27 19:58:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xab1723…
05-25 11:48:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xa804f4…
05-25 11:47:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xf4dccf…
05-25 07:24:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0x7fe542…
05-20 17:08:34	nvda close above 230 on may 21 2026	Yes	BUY	90	35¢	$31	0xbc40f0…
05-19 09:15:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x9a94ad…
05-19 09:15:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x39a79b…
05-18 08:43:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x455d03…
05-18 08:42:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x862dca…
05-18 00:33:27	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd6cbda…
05-18 00:03:54	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x705dc1…
05-17 23:40:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xf48b6d…
05-17 23:40:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	23	41¢	$10	0xee1989…
05-17 08:48:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $405 in May?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x6a5414…
05-17 00:43:51	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x565487…
05-16 21:57:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0521c9…
05-16 17:09:28	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xfb1132…
05-15 21:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfe17e8…
05-15 21:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xff614e…
05-15 21:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8ce584…
05-15 14:46:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x538fe5…
05-15 12:14:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x63625e…
05-15 10:48:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 15?	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x0bc4d6…
05-15 10:08:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf530da…
05-15 09:58:29	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x77c9c7…
05-15 09:50:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe01cc2…
05-15 09:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x81bdef…
05-15 09:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x93c85b…
05-15 09:43:52	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x0f04de…
05-14 09:36:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x24442d…
05-14 09:10:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $195?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7b0c6f…
05-13 17:20:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x515dc7…
05-12 20:12:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x8a5d8c…
05-12 19:34:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $225?	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x05ea37…
05-11 14:16:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0x48ec79…
05-09 07:19:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	No	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0xbd247e…
05-05 08:29:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0xf4d8bd…
05-05 08:07:30	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x7767b6…
05-05 08:06:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x35c1be…
05-05 08:02:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xf67e6b…
05-03 18:25:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 4?	No	BUY	65	7¢	$5	0x4e7936…
05-03 13:15:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x95790e…
05-03 12:15:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 4?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2ab6c2…
05-03 12:04:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 4?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xcacfc7…
05-03 12:03:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x856a6d…
05-01 10:53:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xd4a328…
05-01 10:47:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 1?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xcdf03e…
05-01 10:45:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x1de9e5…
04-30 12:48:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x2cff7c…
04-30 12:44:56	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x50cfba…
04-28 10:58:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x19c7a3…
04-27 18:23:36	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x843dfa…
04-27 18:00:58	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on April 28?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf87b7c…
04-27 17:49:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x7d1ebd…
04-24 16:49:38	epl sun not 2026 04 24 not	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x373834…
04-24 16:17:38	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of April?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xe8a4d0…
04-24 16:17:08	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xff0879…
04-24 16:17:08	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$8	0x43b8c6…