Petty-Puzzle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

706

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-02 00:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

49% 64% +$7

Politics

37% 50% +$0

Tech

9% — —

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	60	$177	4,196	3,196	+1,000	open	—	05-15 10:33
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	28	$164	315	295	+20	open	—	06-01 00:59
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	16	$157	710	212	+498	open	—	06-11 06:07
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	26	$145	192	192	+0	open	—	05-19 18:19
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	16	$121	103	103	+0	open	—	05-28 17:42
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	17	$111	80	80	+0	open	—	05-20 17:32
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	30	$88	190	193	-3	open	—	05-18 13:06
Will Trump say "Waste" or "Fraud" 2+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	10	$82	80	80	+0	open	—	04-26 00:37
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	12	$79	240	60	+180	open	—	06-09 16:57
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	14	$72	69	67	+1	open	—	04-28 06:55
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	10	$70	110	110	+1	open	—	04-25 11:08
Will JD Vance say "Abortion" in Des Moines?	14	$62	95	61	+34	No	$-2	05-05 06:49
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?	10	$60	80	54	+26	open	—	05-30 08:11
will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2027	6	$59	60	60	+0	open	—	06-10 09:59
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	6	$56	60	60	+0	open	—	05-20 13:12
will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	7	$54	70	70	+0	open	—	06-25 05:04
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	7	$53	60	60	+0	open	—	06-14 13:42
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	5	$53	60	60	+0	open	—	04-23 16:51
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	6	$53	76	76	+0	open	—	05-02 11:39
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$53	120	120	+0	open	—	04-26 19:15
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	6	$51	60	60	+0	open	—	05-18 06:58
will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	5	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	06-11 11:06
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	8	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	06-06 18:38
will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	23	$39	63	56	+6	open	—	07-01 00:45
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina	3	$39	594	594	+0	open	—	04-22 15:55
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$37	46	46	+0	open	—	05-19 08:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 07:45
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 09:18
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	5	$35	40	40	+0	No	+$1	05-08 09:25
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:11:53	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x67fb12…
07-01 22:51:08	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xeb3169…
07-01 20:22:28	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2f8c1c…
07-01 20:22:22	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x92e9de…
07-01 18:32:35	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x197224…
07-01 15:41:23	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xe28b90…
07-01 14:01:55	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4ace04…
07-01 13:32:38	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x12540e…
07-01 11:20:02	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	No	SELL	26	60¢	$16	0xac6939…
07-01 09:10:14	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	No	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x621e3b…
07-01 07:22:08	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xedcd7a…
07-01 07:21:55	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2e7e60…
07-01 07:21:17	will vucic officially leave office by july 17 20260629165804200	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2eeffd…
07-01 00:45:25	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xd92df5…
06-28 19:15:05	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x2bfed5…
06-28 05:39:53	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xc74aa3…
06-28 05:39:53	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc13540…
06-28 05:39:53	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb88432…
06-28 05:39:53	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x75a479…
06-28 05:39:53	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x34407b…
06-28 05:39:52	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$1	0xfa8354…
06-27 16:11:40	Will Fuse launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0x8855a7…
06-27 14:35:47	Will Fuse launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xc333c6…
06-27 12:11:23	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xb351d9…
06-27 12:10:53	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xa98433…
06-25 18:46:41	will noble launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0xf4f87d…
06-25 12:22:26	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4e7c66…
06-25 11:53:35	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7543c7…
06-25 05:04:59	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x35b041…
06-24 22:38:49	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	No	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x2b61f5…
06-24 16:59:13	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xfc22d8…
06-24 15:16:41	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x334f50…
06-24 15:12:32	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x735f0d…
06-24 14:23:37	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfb23ad…
06-24 14:23:26	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4bc986…
06-24 14:18:47	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbbd541…
06-24 13:23:56	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x613e1a…
06-24 12:18:17	will noble launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x9c2eb1…
06-24 08:10:43	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x7c77f6…
06-24 06:59:56	will cap launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe5782c…
06-24 06:10:08	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xbba79b…
06-24 05:43:02	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x743e35…
06-24 04:58:10	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xdd8bf4…
06-24 04:56:56	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829179	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x825ea4…
06-24 04:09:38	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8f9ca9…
06-24 02:23:19	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x8d4460…
06-23 01:54:13	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x79e986…
06-22 18:00:58	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x269471…
06-22 15:59:52	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x57e7df…
06-22 15:30:11	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x6906ef…
06-22 14:05:44	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x4e3ae4…
06-22 13:49:38	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x59919b…
06-22 13:26:11	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5c1dfd…
06-22 13:15:59	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x3289fa…
06-19 05:18:35	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	30	45¢	$13	0xbe337d…
06-19 05:13:29	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x38fa91…
06-19 03:57:58	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x9fd2cf…
06-19 02:54:04	will the announcers say loose ball during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751366	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x57f0dd…
06-18 12:43:59	will the announcers say ankle during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751362	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xbf3848…
06-18 12:43:40	will the announcers say ankle during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751362	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x09e346…
06-18 08:42:22	will the announcers say loose ball during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751366	No	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x85bcc1…
06-18 08:04:17	will the announcers say loose ball during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751366	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb5373b…
06-16 15:37:44	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	No	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x4d6ea8…
06-16 14:37:32	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x16d101…
06-16 12:24:07	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xaa8716…
06-16 11:52:48	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xcca9d9…
06-16 10:09:30	will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x456306…
06-14 13:42:15	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0xaae536…
06-14 13:30:57	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x8e36cf…
06-14 13:21:54	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x501e11…
06-14 05:51:34	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x7d4516…
06-14 05:49:28	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3159df…
06-13 13:31:24	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x6443bd…
06-13 11:59:24	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7b0bcb…
06-12 15:56:40	nico oreilly 20260609175104681	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x632fdb…
06-12 15:47:43	nico oreilly 20260609175104681	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x524987…
06-12 14:51:15	nico oreilly 20260609175104681	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x069eac…
06-11 18:47:13	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0xe6f5ef…
06-11 18:47:09	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x58b820…
06-11 17:30:24	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb8f3ef…
06-11 17:30:21	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x9c8251…
06-11 17:29:49	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x7a28d1…
06-11 17:29:30	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x119a8c…
06-11 11:06:54	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x776c08…
06-11 09:03:28	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x876857…
06-11 08:52:39	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x7efaa2…
06-11 06:07:34	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x04bd6f…
06-11 05:26:48	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6a2071…
06-11 02:58:25	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x11a4e8…
06-10 22:36:24	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1fdb58…
06-10 22:26:51	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x8d65f0…
06-10 17:55:52	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xe9a6c1…
06-10 17:24:40	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0fa807…
06-10 17:09:33	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x8f8414…
06-10 17:07:04	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb868ba…
06-10 16:48:39	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x4cfe72…
06-10 16:31:10	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x5c385c…
06-10 15:55:22	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x2b5343…
06-10 15:55:21	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xc64223…
06-10 15:55:01	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x3a18ea…