Petty-Puzzle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

888

lifetime

Volume

$4.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-22 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

50% 64% +$7

Politics

36% 50% +$0

Tech

8% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
grok 4pt4 released by july 8	44	$257	1,436	436	+1,000	open	—	07-08 18:03
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	60	$177	4,196	3,196	+1,000	open	—	05-15 10:33
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	28	$164	315	295	+20	open	—	06-01 00:59
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	16	$157	710	212	+498	open	—	06-11 06:07
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	26	$145	192	192	+0	open	—	05-19 18:19
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	16	$121	103	103	+0	open	—	05-28 17:42
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	24	$112	193	193	+0	open	—	07-19 09:22
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	17	$111	80	80	+0	open	—	05-20 17:32
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	16	$91	112	112	+0	open	—	07-16 09:38
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	30	$88	190	193	-3	open	—	05-18 13:06
Will Trump say "Waste" or "Fraud" 2+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	10	$82	80	80	+0	open	—	04-26 00:37
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	12	$79	240	60	+180	open	—	06-09 16:57
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	14	$72	69	67	+1	open	—	04-28 06:55
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	10	$70	110	110	+1	open	—	04-25 11:08
will freddie freeman record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249831	8	$69	101	101	+0	open	—	07-14 18:32
will hurupay launch a token by december 31 2026	8	$62	70	90	-20	open	—	07-04 13:00
Will JD Vance say "Abortion" in Des Moines?	14	$62	95	61	+34	No	$-2	05-05 06:49
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?	10	$60	80	54	+26	open	—	05-30 08:11
will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2027	6	$59	60	60	+0	open	—	06-10 09:59
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	6	$56	60	60	+0	open	—	05-20 13:12
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	7	$53	60	60	+0	open	—	06-14 13:42
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	5	$53	60	60	+0	open	—	04-23 16:51
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	6	$53	76	76	+0	open	—	05-02 11:39
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$53	120	120	+0	open	—	04-26 19:15
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	6	$51	60	60	+0	open	—	05-18 06:58
will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	5	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	06-11 11:06
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	8	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	06-06 18:38
will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	24	$40	63	63	+0	open	—	07-05 14:37
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina	3	$39	594	594	+0	open	—	04-22 15:55
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$37	46	46	+0	open	—	05-19 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 20:04:58	will googl reach 360 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xcb3974…
07-21 19:00:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x136a4d…
07-21 18:52:49	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by december 31 20260626182136411	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x95c67b…
07-21 08:32:51	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	30	35¢	$11	0xdf9f52…
07-20 13:51:07	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x90e01b…
07-20 13:43:40	will space be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441159	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0xe0909b…
07-20 13:42:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x6fee89…
07-20 13:42:10	will space be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441159	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb7f040…
07-20 13:42:10	will space be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441159	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x4387d3…
07-20 11:29:01	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by september 30 20260626182136410	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x1af809…
07-20 11:27:48	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xa53814…
07-20 05:24:55	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8f3923…
07-19 16:33:34	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xab3e8d…
07-19 11:41:27	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt5b 20260718022655033	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb911d6…
07-19 10:44:01	will anyone say morty 20 times during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117496	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x8abceb…
07-19 09:22:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	73	4¢	$3	0x66191d…
07-19 07:03:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x9c9790…
07-19 07:01:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd69881…
07-19 07:00:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x872fde…
07-19 06:57:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	36	81¢	$29	0x3c9b80…
07-19 06:57:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa1889d…
07-19 06:56:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2d3753…
07-19 06:54:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x675d62…
07-19 06:51:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd9aeca…
07-19 06:50:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x847941…
07-19 06:50:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7e91fe…
07-19 06:47:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x41aa80…
07-19 06:47:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x10a684…
07-19 06:46:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd700c0…
07-19 06:41:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0x9d6fec…
07-19 06:40:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0x7b2aa9…
07-19 06:40:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0xdbc90f…
07-19 06:39:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x75fc8d…
07-19 06:37:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfd9159…
07-19 06:19:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x0cfb79…
07-19 06:17:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0xfbf708…
07-19 06:17:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xcb5e4c…
07-19 06:16:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x5f7589…
07-19 06:11:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x9cd2fc…
07-18 16:47:36	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x3cf412…
07-18 16:33:21	will anyone say morty 20 times during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117496	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xbb430b…
07-18 16:00:31	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9dd0a8…
07-18 11:40:45	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by september 30 20260626182136410	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf8314a…
07-18 10:13:51	will rtx rtx q2 pratt whitney sales be above 8b 20260707030902628	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xb2ba7e…
07-18 08:21:19	will junior caminero hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646856	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2bf189…
07-18 00:36:28	will rtx rtx q2 pratt whitney sales be above 9b 20260707030902630	No	SELL	9	74¢	$6	0xde990a…
07-17 17:29:03	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x73e167…
07-17 17:26:21	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xb23934…
07-17 02:59:57	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by december 31 20260626182136411	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa9bb68…
07-16 18:48:43	will deepseek be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129415	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x937adc…
07-16 18:48:35	will deepseek be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129415	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x5cbd2c…
07-16 13:03:53	will surf launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x56eb23…
07-16 09:38:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xbfe10a…
07-16 09:36:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xb6c6fc…
07-15 15:27:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x762849…
07-15 15:22:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x6846fa…
07-15 15:08:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xe88f01…
07-15 15:04:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	33	42¢	$14	0x8b9f3b…
07-15 14:59:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x766048…
07-15 14:57:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0x6a647b…
07-15 14:46:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x72d03f…
07-15 14:40:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xeebc71…
07-15 14:33:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x051e3a…
07-15 14:24:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9bc3a8…
07-15 14:24:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd37efb…
07-15 14:20:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x368342…
07-15 14:00:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x12a2eb…
07-14 18:32:50	will freddie freeman record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249831	Yes	SELL	27	31¢	$8	0xd243e3…
07-14 13:22:38	will freddie freeman record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249831	Yes	SELL	55	35¢	$19	0x493edd…
07-14 13:03:43	will otto lopez record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249842	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xbe3bee…
07-14 11:43:55	will freddie freeman record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249831	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa8416d…
07-14 11:33:49	will freddie freeman record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249831	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x437535…
07-14 11:26:25	will otto lopez record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249842	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x732a36…
07-14 11:12:40	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x97987d…
07-14 09:41:25	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xc6a823…
07-14 09:39:29	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x47c2cb…
07-14 09:37:11	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xb2ca0d…
07-14 09:35:23	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xccf33a…
07-14 09:32:19	will freddie freeman record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249831	Yes	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0xa2802b…
07-14 09:14:28	will freddie freeman record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249831	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x74bdba…
07-13 19:37:35	will anyone say diary during big brother e2 20260709220215498	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x513ed4…
07-13 06:51:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xa06efa…
07-13 05:53:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x335475…
07-13 04:21:52	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111469	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x090cc2…
07-13 03:53:05	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111469	Yes	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x1a1ad9…
07-12 17:24:46	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111469	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x00c3b2…
07-12 12:48:32	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111469	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xca8bde…
07-12 12:46:26	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111469	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb0081c…
07-12 12:44:55	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111469	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x8c8e37…
07-12 12:44:25	will anyone say sword during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111469	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xf7ac3e…
07-12 11:42:53	will anyone say diary during big brother e2 20260709220215498	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x68e99c…
07-12 05:32:56	will veda launch a token by march 31 2027	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x5ab65d…
07-12 05:10:05	will veda launch a token by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x191924…
07-12 04:11:22	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x5d027b…
07-12 03:48:41	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xc30f44…
07-11 11:57:43	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x09605d…
07-11 04:34:46	will rtx rtx q2 pratt whitney sales be above 9b 20260707030902630	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6d851b…
07-10 03:50:16	will rtx rtx q2 pratt whitney sales be above 8b 20260707030902628	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x93c4e1…
07-09 08:52:26	will g2 make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025730	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x0c70b2…
07-08 18:03:19	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x81363d…