Warped-Illiteracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$5.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-22 23:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% $-11

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776349800	2	$367	217	213	+4	open	—	04-16 14:34
btc updown 5m 1776349500	2	$252	163	158	+5	open	—	04-16 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$233	158	158	+0	open	—	06-03 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$231	177	177	+0	open	—	06-03 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$205	141	141	+0	open	—	06-03 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$186	130	130	+0	open	—	06-03 11:13
btc updown 5m 1776349200	2	$180	99	98	+1	open	—	04-16 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$174	107	107	+0	open	—	06-03 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$173	222	222	+0	open	—	06-03 11:07
btc updown 5m 1776350100	2	$166	181	176	+5	open	—	04-16 14:39
btc updown 5m 1776350400	3	$163	268	260	+8	open	—	04-16 14:44
btc updown 5m 1776348900	2	$159	87	86	+1	open	—	04-16 14:20
btc updown 5m 1776348600	2	$136	76	75	+1	open	—	04-16 14:15
btc updown 5m 1776348300	2	$109	64	63	+1	open	—	04-16 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$100	143	0	+143	open	—	06-03 11:20
btc updown 5m 1776346800	2	$75	42	42	+1	open	—	04-16 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$74	46	46	+0	open	—	06-03 10:34
btc updown 5m 1776348000	2	$71	38	37	+0	open	—	04-16 14:05
btc updown 5m 1776346500	2	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	04-16 13:40
btc updown 5m 1776347100	2	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	04-16 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776338700	2	$58	37	36	+1	open	—	04-16 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$56	52	52	+0	open	—	06-03 10:27
btc updown 5m 1776336600	2	$54	30	29	+0	open	—	04-16 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$50	77	0	+77	open	—	06-03 10:46
btc updown 5m 1776347700	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-16 14:00
btc updown 5m 1776345600	2	$47	27	27	+1	open	—	04-16 13:25
btc updown 5m 1776338400	2	$45	27	26	+1	open	—	04-16 11:24
btc updown 5m 1776336300	2	$44	27	26	+1	open	—	04-16 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	04-27 11:50
btc updown 5m 1776346200	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-16 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 23:11:28	btc updown 15m 1784761200	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfddeef…
07-22 23:11:28	btc updown 15m 1784761200	Up	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x40cbc2…
07-22 14:10:13	btc updown 15m 1784728800	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xf435ae…
07-22 13:55:21	btc updown 15m 1784727900	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x851d33…
07-22 10:41:13	btc updown 15m 1784716200	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x866d2c…
07-22 09:13:43	btc updown 15m 1784710800	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x36815f…
07-22 07:28:43	btc updown 15m 1784704500	Up	BUY	37	70¢	$26	0x06cc73…
07-22 06:58:43	btc updown 15m 1784702700	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x42ccc4…
07-22 04:58:43	btc updown 15m 1784695500	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf7239f…
07-22 04:43:43	btc updown 15m 1784694600	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x90a99f…
07-22 04:28:43	btc updown 15m 1784693700	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x577e8c…
07-22 03:43:43	btc updown 15m 1784691000	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc0179c…
07-22 02:43:43	btc updown 15m 1784687400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0c0722…
07-22 02:28:43	btc updown 15m 1784686500	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xb99639…
07-22 01:43:43	btc updown 15m 1784683800	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdd5627…
07-22 00:28:43	btc updown 15m 1784679300	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x03cdf0…
07-21 23:43:43	btc updown 15m 1784676600	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xb66623…
07-21 23:13:45	btc updown 15m 1784674800	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xeb4eb6…
07-21 22:58:43	btc updown 15m 1784673900	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x1aa333…
07-21 22:43:45	btc updown 15m 1784673000	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x849135…
07-21 22:28:43	btc updown 15m 1784672100	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xb1b915…
07-21 21:58:43	btc updown 15m 1784670300	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x267775…
07-21 20:58:43	btc updown 15m 1784666700	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x705058…
07-21 20:43:43	btc updown 15m 1784665800	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9fa639…
07-21 20:28:43	btc updown 15m 1784664900	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x0ba487…
07-21 20:13:43	btc updown 15m 1784664000	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x73e1b6…
07-21 19:58:43	btc updown 15m 1784663100	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x02add8…
07-21 15:44:55	btc updown 15m 1784647800	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x603f5f…
07-21 15:44:55	btc updown 15m 1784647800	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x43cb7e…
07-21 15:44:54	btc updown 15m 1784647800	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xc5b853…
07-21 15:44:54	btc updown 15m 1784647800	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x457feb…
07-21 15:44:54	btc updown 15m 1784647800	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x09386e…
07-21 15:44:52	btc updown 15m 1784647800	Up	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0xcb2d01…
07-21 15:44:52	btc updown 15m 1784647800	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x7b869b…
06-10 08:30:40	btc updown 5m 1781080200	Up	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xcb8c7e…
06-08 11:55:19	btc updown 5m 1780919700	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x076dfe…
06-08 11:54:37	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x0d0f5d…
06-08 11:50:54	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd32c2f…
06-08 11:43:00	btc updown 5m 1780918800	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x83bc6c…
06-08 11:35:52	btc updown 5m 1780918500	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x84f011…
06-05 10:11:10	btc updown 5m 1780654200	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5d08b4…
06-05 10:03:28	btc updown 5m 1780653600	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2ff8a6…
06-04 06:10:28	btc updown 5m 1780553400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe6b84c…
06-04 06:06:16	btc updown 5m 1780553100	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa5b89b…
06-03 14:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa35d4b…
06-03 14:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x6f8336…
06-03 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x5b45a1…
06-03 14:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x9990c6…
06-03 14:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x40c34d…
06-03 14:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2fa1d3…
06-03 14:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x856ab2…
06-03 14:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x4cf0fb…
06-03 14:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xda49b4…
06-03 14:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4390c3…
06-03 14:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7dc1d3…
06-03 13:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x40e6be…
06-03 13:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x657952…
06-03 13:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x30e3cb…
06-03 13:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x47e1f5…
06-03 13:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x756db0…
06-03 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xb536cd…
06-03 13:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x964495…
06-03 13:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	61	20¢	$12	0x4c550f…
06-03 13:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x4ddcc9…
06-03 12:59:09	btc updown 5m 1780491300	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb8c89b…
06-03 12:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	141	75¢	$105	0xa51dde…
06-03 12:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x074329…
06-03 12:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa8abb0…
06-03 11:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x75d9c4…
06-03 11:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	38	47¢	$18	0xabf523…
06-03 11:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x9040f4…
06-03 11:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	177	74¢	$131	0xc8e0a7…
06-03 11:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0x3319cc…
06-03 11:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x687bed…
06-03 11:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1a6145…
06-03 11:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xf9dab8…
06-03 11:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x62d735…
06-03 11:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x05ff9e…
06-03 11:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	158	84¢	$133	0x6874cb…
06-03 11:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x9ff812…
06-03 11:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	130	82¢	$106	0x3f9f74…
06-03 11:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	130	62¢	$80	0xf14263…
06-03 11:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	222	42¢	$93	0xcab902…
06-03 11:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	222	36¢	$80	0x1a1769…
06-03 10:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	107	88¢	$94	0x8527f5…
06-03 10:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	107	75¢	$80	0x57aa5f…
06-03 10:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x9084fc…
06-03 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x9c635d…
06-03 10:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x5421ea…
06-03 10:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0x03ca12…
06-03 10:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	52	50¢	$26	0xd1478c…
06-03 10:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x1c9dbc…
06-03 10:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xd2b57d…
06-03 10:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0x690bb1…
06-03 10:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x548d8c…
05-30 06:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xabe72c…
05-30 06:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5d2e31…
05-30 06:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x5dc9af…
05-30 06:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x530402…
05-26 15:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbdf58c…