Threadbare-Timpani — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$612

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

2,577

Trades

6,981

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 07-24 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 44% -$282

Other

21% 18% -$321

Politics

1% 0% -$5

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes		+0	$7	19¢	$0	-$7	07-11 11:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?	34	$174	465	465	+0	No	-$8	06-19 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 19?	18	$86	119	103	+16	No	-$19	06-19 21:06
highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 64forhigher	62	$73	788	605	+183	No	-$38	04-22 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 19?	14	$69	63	63	+0	Yes	-$8	06-19 21:37
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 19?	16	$66	61	61	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?	12	$62	64	64	+0	No	-$2	06-19 18:35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 19?	45	$62	397	397	+0	No	-$14	06-19 19:19
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	4	$59	135	135	+0	open	—	06-18 19:58
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 20corhigher	19	$59	357	344	+13	No	-$3	04-21 11:56
will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	6	$58	132	132	+0	No	-$5	07-24 03:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:55 UTC	9	$54	105	51	+55	Up	+$49	04-16 18:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher	29	$53	99	97	+2	No	-$3	04-23 03:42
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 26corbelow	39	$51	353	332	+20	No	-$11	04-22 23:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:55 UTC	8	$42	70	70	+0	Down	+$26	04-05 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:30 UTC	6	$40	34	33	+1	Up	+$7	04-16 05:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 19?	12	$40	54	54	+0	No	-$1	06-19 20:39
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 19?	6	$38	34	34	+0	Yes	-$5	06-19 22:14
highest temperature in seattle on april 21 2026 55forbelow	22	$38	148	160	-12	No	-$13	04-21 03:18
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	13	$38	124	123	+0	open	—	07-11 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 19?	25	$37	163	163	+0	No	-$9	06-19 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 19?	13	$37	61	61	+0	Yes	-$9	06-19 20:32
will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	6	$36	60	60	+0	No	-$2	07-12 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 26?	11	$34	131	131	+0	No	-$10	06-25 08:12
highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 12corbelow	38	$33	475	468	+7	No	+$0	04-22 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 19?	7	$33	29	29	+0	Yes	-$1	06-19 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 12:30 UTC	5	$32	41	23	+18	Up	+$22	04-13 12:35
highest temperature in karachi on april 24 2026 35corhigher	21	$32	55	62	-7	No	+$1	04-23 12:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 23 2026 39corbelow	74	$31	510	502	+7	No	-$3	04-22 02:17
highest temperature in houston on april 22 2026 76forhigher	21	$31	65	80	-15	Yes	-$1	04-22 01:58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?	17	$30	82	82	+0	Yes	$0	07-07 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 03:47:31	will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	Yes	SELL	99	20¢	$20	0xfc3411…
07-24 03:45:39	will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x172769…
07-24 03:45:37	will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	Yes	BUY	99	22¢	$22	0x56eefe…
07-24 02:38:06	will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	Yes	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0x6b8c06…
07-24 02:19:55	will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	Yes	BUY	32	29¢	$9	0xda9c5d…
07-24 02:19:55	will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x675627…
07-23 18:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0xb3f7f7…
07-23 18:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc1492f…
07-23 18:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0x301ffc…
07-23 16:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x6307ff…
07-23 16:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x1fec14…
07-22 19:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x9cf5bc…
07-22 19:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x5fd2fb…
07-21 14:36:49	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x165947…
07-21 14:33:10	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe2b8aa…
07-21 12:47:58	Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x2c5bb3…
07-21 12:47:09	Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x752ea9…
07-21 01:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x66034f…
07-20 22:09:42	will elon post china on x this week 20260717142156667	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x135bc5…
07-20 22:09:19	will elon post china on x this week 20260717142156667	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf3e62f…
07-20 20:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x440af5…
07-20 18:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x4429c0…
07-18 22:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xadd79c…
07-18 22:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7f4471…
07-18 20:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	41	14¢	$6	0xd6280f…
07-18 19:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0xdc689b…
07-18 00:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x1f8412…
07-18 00:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x672d12…
07-18 00:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x4a825d…
07-17 21:08:12	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x2e915e…
07-17 21:07:45	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x4cbd3d…
07-17 15:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x8ada1f…
07-17 15:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$10	0x64c12a…
07-16 22:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xba408f…
07-16 22:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xe2099e…
07-16 16:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x653408…
07-16 16:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x32e9db…
07-16 15:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xdd25e3…
07-16 15:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xfcaae3…
07-15 17:49:25	Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x002478…
07-15 17:47:34	Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x18a448…
07-15 14:55:31	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x6fc07c…
07-15 14:53:16	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x23a864…
07-15 14:52:19	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x6ce4c5…
07-15 14:51:08	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x967263…
07-15 09:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x197ac6…
07-15 05:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x427dd5…
07-15 05:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0x93582b…
07-15 05:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x273f62…
07-14 10:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x9f55e9…
07-14 10:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xac1acc…
07-14 10:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xb711f1…
07-14 07:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x0d1a1c…
07-14 07:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x6c2ae2…
07-14 06:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0xc160d8…
07-14 06:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xb46004…
07-13 17:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xe0e767…
07-13 17:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xa23083…
07-13 06:15:55	Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	Yes	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x0f8531…
07-13 06:15:37	Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x308c27…
07-12 20:47:10	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	SELL	23	24¢	$6	0x753320…
07-12 20:44:01	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xd1886d…
07-12 19:47:29	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0xf60ac3…
07-12 19:33:35	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xa7e6e0…
07-12 19:23:44	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x191aae…
07-12 19:21:35	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709192527504	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xd832f4…
07-11 23:50:55	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x17d428…
07-11 23:49:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xd26b48…
07-11 23:48:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x902a0b…
07-11 23:48:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x89b61a…
07-11 23:44:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0xa1fb81…
07-11 23:42:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xd96231…
07-11 11:47:53	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x51cf55…
07-11 11:47:52	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x05a14a…
07-11 11:47:50	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x981df1…
07-11 11:44:40	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0x40caf8…
07-11 11:42:37	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x4676ec…
07-11 11:40:46	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xd8f855…
07-11 11:40:40	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x656d91…
07-11 11:40:25	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0x141fa9…
07-11 11:37:02	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	46	14¢	$7	0xfd9f92…
07-11 11:36:13	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x920fe1…
07-11 11:36:08	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x5f138a…
07-11 11:29:14	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x96adfe…
07-11 11:28:50	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xdaf0c2…
07-11 11:19:19	Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x91cc27…
07-11 11:18:43	Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf55d31…
07-10 16:59:25	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x1c058d…
07-10 16:58:37	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x3564c1…
07-10 11:18:16	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0xc56d52…
07-10 11:16:04	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xe81766…
07-09 00:46:20	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x51183f…
07-09 00:44:10	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb64a5e…
07-08 02:26:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	185	1¢	$1	0xe14c0d…
07-08 02:16:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$6	0x005549…
07-08 02:16:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xc21d75…
07-08 02:16:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x895122…
07-08 02:15:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x7c3041…
07-07 23:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x90549a…
07-07 23:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xf3121f…