(anonymous) 0x71e3ce…fb4333 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$39
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
69.9%
Resolved
38
Trades
1,493
lifetime
Volume
$15.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 11-08 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
58% 75% -$39
Politics
34% 62% $0
Tech
6% — —
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +200 $144 71¢ $142 -$2 11-07 05:18
Will "Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $53 70¢ $70 +$17 11-03 19:44
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $67 70¢ $70 +$3 11-05 15:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026? Yes +83 $48 76¢ $63 +$15 11-08 13:10
Will Kelly Morrison be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31? Yes +127 $66 48¢ $60 -$6 11-07 17:27
Government shutdown by December 12? Yes +150 $64 34¢ $52 -$12 11-08 16:21
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +58 $48 83¢ $48 $0 11-07 23:16
Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +92 $52 48¢ $45 -$7 11-07 03:44
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +50 $38 80¢ $40 +$2 11-08 18:38
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.50 on December 31, 2026? No +48 $37 80¢ $38 +$1 11-08 18:24
Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +79 $32 42¢ $34 +$1 11-04 14:20
Will Angie Craig be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31? No +40 $31 82¢ $33 +$1 11-08 15:48
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +40 $28 74¢ $30 +$1 11-02 02:29
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? No +38 $31 78¢ $29 -$2 11-07 00:50
Who leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth? Hegseth +45 $32 59¢ $27 -$5 11-07 07:54
National Popular Vote Compact implemented before the 2028 election? No +40 $23 60¢ $24 +$1 11-08 20:36
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +39 $10 58¢ $23 +$13 11-08 16:42
Will Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank? No +50 $25 40¢ $20 -$4 11-08 03:30
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +20 $7 93¢ $19 +$12 10-29 14:11
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +67 $17 28¢ $19 +$2 11-08 17:02
Will The Weeknd be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +60 $35 29¢ $17 -$18 11-08 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on November 8? No +20 $10 82¢ $16 +$6 11-07 21:49
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No +21 $16 76¢ $16 $0 11-08 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on November 9? No +20 $16 78¢ $16 $0 11-08 20:40
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 9? No +20 $13 78¢ $16 +$3 11-07 18:27
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? Yes +65 $19 24¢ $15 -$3 11-08 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 8? No +15 $7 94¢ $14 +$7 11-07 23:45
Will CJ Carr win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +50 $16 28¢ $14 -$2 11-08 02:52
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $18 12¢ $14 -$4 11-06 20:38
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 25°C on November 9? No +20 $13 67¢ $13 +$0 11-07 21:29