(anonymous) 0x720a61…d540f1
hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.65K
Unrealized P&L
+$164
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
25
Trades
363
lifetime
Volume
$66.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$184
Open exposure
$6.89K
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-26 22:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
64% 61% +$956
Other
36% 86% +$2,694
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,000 $1,833 91¢ $1.8K -$9 10-26 22:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,800 $1,285 72¢ $1.3K +$19 10-26 22:41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +1,000 $690 67¢ $670 -$20 10-13 14:57
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +750 $515 68¢ $514 -$1 10-26 22:40
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +600 $428 83¢ $498 +$70 10-19 14:18
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +550 $424 81¢ $446 +$22 10-26 22:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +500 $320 66¢ $328 +$8 10-20 22:09
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +401 $300 74¢ $296 -$4 10-06 17:24
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $155 22¢ $225 +$70 10-09 14:36
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +520 $198 42¢ $216 +$17 10-20 07:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +170 $150 98¢ $167 +$17 06-28 21:28
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +520 $166 29¢ $149 -$17 10-20 06:56
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +63 $55 97¢ $62 +$7 06-29 14:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +56 $50 94¢ $53 +$3 06-28 21:29
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 10-22 10:48
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $37 38¢ $38 +$0 10-12 10:55
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $32 65¢ $32 +$0 10-24 13:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +23 $20 88¢ $20 +$0 10-14 11:57
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +400 $26 2¢ $6 -$19 10-14 07:11