Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$44

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-05

last 11-05 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

93% 54% +$4

Politics

5% 50% -$1

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-18 20:24
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-19 04:24
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	+$4	10-07 01:53
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 06:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-05 02:53
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-03 09:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	10-09 04:44
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-01 21:58
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-14 13:02
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	1	$1	5	+5	Down	+$4	11-02 05:58
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-22 20:27
will xauusd reach 4200 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-14 04:37
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 20:01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-23 04:43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-12 04:02
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$2	10-06 17:46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-08 10:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-07 09:54
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-06 01:05
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-08 20:25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	10-12 12:02
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	11-05 12:14
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-12 20:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	11-04 03:20
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-18 01:58
will xagusd dip to 60 by october 5 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-05 16:09
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-11 11:42
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-13 12:24
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-07 18:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	11-02 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 12:14:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x044528…
11-05 02:53:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x698517…
11-04 03:20:04	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x79a9df…
11-03 18:15:57	Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $830?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd965b1…
11-03 09:59:19	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5fa339…
11-02 13:58:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6bf810…
11-02 05:58:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7b3b0b…
11-01 21:58:03	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x510068…
10-23 04:43:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0070e1…
10-22 20:27:05	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9f3ed4…
10-22 12:20:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xebdfbb…
10-22 01:52:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xba1802…
10-21 03:08:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xeec445…
10-19 04:24:57	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf616bd…
10-18 20:24:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x65c6c0…
10-18 11:51:51	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd473f3…
10-18 01:58:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe57d95…
10-17 16:04:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x612845…
10-17 06:41:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x499e17…
10-14 13:02:20	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ccccc…
10-14 04:37:01	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6440b2…
10-13 20:31:22	will meta dip to 740 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe5f6cd…
10-13 12:24:38	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x70c89a…
10-13 04:23:47	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x537fa2…
10-12 20:23:12	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x18730c…
10-12 12:02:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x035551…
10-12 12:02:50	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x59d6bc…
10-12 04:02:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6266d1…
10-11 20:01:28	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x95129e…
10-11 11:42:35	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x792de7…
10-11 03:05:12	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9c71e3…
10-10 18:48:55	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2155ad…
10-10 04:47:01	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1a0a34…
10-09 04:44:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x950bb7…
10-08 20:25:26	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb3d565…
10-08 10:58:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2ce561…
10-08 02:57:22	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x77eef1…
10-07 18:01:21	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x836f19…
10-07 09:54:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb50ac5…
10-07 01:53:23	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1c1c8a…
10-06 17:46:24	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x72ca6f…
10-06 09:06:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbd6c22…
10-06 01:05:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc787e4…
10-05 16:09:29	will xagusd dip to 60 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9ba76b…