Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$403

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

188

Trades

476

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$351

1 position

First seen

2026-09-04

last 11-06 07:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

71% 70% +$465

Crypto

20% 34% -$29

Other

8% 37% -$35

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+365	$327	96¢	$351	+$24	11-06 07:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	41	$1.2K	1,683	20	+1,663	Yes	+$459	09-20 18:18
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	2	$327	365	0	+365	open	—	11-06 07:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	2	$201	110	110	+0	open	—	10-24 17:14
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	1	$100	109	0	+109	No	+$9	10-16 08:01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	1	$60	62	0	+62	No	+$2	10-09 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9PM ET	11	$43	75	75	+0	Down	+$9	09-05 01:49
cs2 eac fnc 2026 09 23	3	$36	42	17	+25	fnatic	-$17	09-23 15:14
cs2 nemi1 brute 2026 09 04	4	$36	34	34	+0	Nemiga	$0	09-04 22:03
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 2 Winner	3	$35	19	19	+0	Imperial	+$2	09-04 23:32
cs2 eac fnc 2026 09 23 game2	3	$33	70	25	+45	fnatic	-$13	09-23 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	3	$18	24	8	+16	Up	-$2	09-05 02:59
cs2 fnc pha 2026 09 23	2	$17	12	12	+0	Phantom	+$2	09-23 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	09-06 09:59
cs2 odk pcy 2026 09 23	2	$14	12	12	+0	Procyon Gaming	-$4	09-23 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$14	12	24	-12	Down	-$2	09-05 03:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	9	$13	123	5	+118	Down	-$11	09-07 12:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	09-06 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	4	$13	15	15	+0	Down	+$9	09-05 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$13	75	33	+42	Down	+$9	09-05 10:29
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	09-26 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$12	103	42	+61	Up	-$4	09-09 17:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	09-06 11:58
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	2	$11	13	13	+0	Yes	-$9	10-05 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	09-09 17:38
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	09-07 11:01
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	10-04 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	7	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	09-12 00:01
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	FURIA	+$0	09-04 17:33
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	10-03 18:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	09-09 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 07:22:01	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xaa3910…
10-28 17:44:59	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x313fef…
10-24 17:14:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0x99648f…
10-16 09:28:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x5cdd77…
10-16 08:05:16	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x9aba6a…
10-16 08:05:09	Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa67c3f…
10-16 08:05:03	Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x0d2a42…
10-16 08:04:55	Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x9b05ff…
10-16 08:04:37	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb95a5f…
10-16 08:04:28	Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x59c8cf…
10-16 08:04:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xa674e8…
10-16 08:04:07	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4662c0…
10-16 08:03:57	Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1443fa…
10-16 08:03:46	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x3a9b14…
10-16 08:03:37	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x84a32f…
10-16 08:01:16	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe1c06f…
10-09 22:47:02	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x350fd2…
10-05 00:13:23	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xeeb48a…
10-04 10:44:43	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x12389d…
10-03 18:21:24	Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa2bf5d…
10-03 14:41:54	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x00e3c2…
10-02 11:42:32	Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xf103cc…
09-26 01:32:36	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xcae5d5…
09-24 14:00:53	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xe1fc02…
09-24 14:00:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xef79c0…
09-23 21:45:40	cs2 odk pcy 2026 09 23	ODDIK	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x44eb28…
09-23 15:14:50	cs2 eac fnc 2026 09 23	fnatic	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0xed7ed7…
09-23 15:14:35	cs2 eac fnc 2026 09 23	fnatic	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x02140e…
09-23 15:14:34	cs2 eac fnc 2026 09 23 game2	Esport Academy Copenhagen	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5d056c…
09-23 14:54:09	cs2 eac fnc 2026 09 23 game2	fnatic	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0xdfd2b0…
09-23 14:52:28	cs2 eac fnc 2026 09 23 game2	fnatic	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x81dd05…
09-23 14:52:06	cs2 eac fnc 2026 09 23	Esport Academy Copenhagen	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x09df6a…
09-23 11:16:22	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner	fnatic	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf107d1…
09-23 10:21:08	cs2 fnc pha 2026 09 23	fnatic	SELL	12	80¢	$9	0x462d85…
09-23 08:21:56	cs2 odk pcy 2026 09 23	ODDIK	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x573bf3…
09-23 08:13:53	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C	fnatic	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xea0a5b…
09-23 08:07:53	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x074d76…
09-21 17:36:15	Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x887318…
09-21 17:36:03	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe232f2…
09-21 17:35:52	Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdd67b0…
09-21 17:35:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa13b6a…
09-21 17:34:31	Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x40bd58…
09-21 17:34:15	Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7a5214…
09-21 17:33:46	Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3a15bb…
09-21 17:33:36	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x11ee95…
09-21 15:00:46	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x6c885b…
09-21 14:59:09	Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x189f08…
09-21 14:58:31	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xe0f250…
09-21 14:57:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x0509ca…
09-20 18:18:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	233	94¢	$219	0xe336ff…
09-18 20:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5ccb8e…
09-18 20:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x280ef7…
09-18 20:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x336116…
09-18 20:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xe2f6f3…
09-18 20:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb2abee…
09-17 20:05:55	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xc56595…
09-15 22:59:58	Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x7b0176…
09-14 16:15:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x2680c0…
09-14 16:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x61ca7f…
09-14 16:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1b42fe…
09-14 16:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf2aa51…
09-14 16:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x49ae32…
09-14 12:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x95c91e…
09-14 12:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xce389c…
09-14 12:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x87d183…
09-14 12:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa58244…
09-14 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x9175d9…
09-14 12:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xffaa47…
09-14 12:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x438683…
09-14 12:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x67dd1b…
09-14 12:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x785f6c…
09-13 23:45:09	Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x881f3c…
09-12 22:34:19	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x70eabd…
09-12 22:31:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xd77d23…
09-12 10:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbc9728…
09-12 10:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x633067…
09-12 10:38:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf44ace…
09-12 10:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6daef8…
09-12 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb43a40…
09-12 10:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf4c4a0…
09-12 10:13:07	XRP Up or Down - September 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x31fd48…
09-12 10:13:06	XRP Up or Down - September 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9a5721…
09-12 10:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xd27f50…
09-12 10:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xac4a2a…
09-12 09:53:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-12 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xea3b6a…
09-12 00:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x196ec0…
09-12 00:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x50fb43…
09-11 23:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbbc332…
09-11 23:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe0ff03…
09-11 23:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x43ed5a…
09-11 23:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1fd31f…
09-11 23:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xad643c…
09-11 23:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x499c77…
09-11 23:47:49	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x4354ed…
09-09 17:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xeaad9d…
09-09 17:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xac1ab3…
09-09 17:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x4a71ef…
09-09 17:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x236f42…
09-09 17:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x401d13…
09-09 17:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xdc13c8…