Delayed-Talk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,356

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 05-18 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 79% $-47

Other

18% 100% +$4

Sports

5% 75% +$2

Politics

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	30	$925	828	233	+595	Down	+$71	05-07 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	16	$650	366	366	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$406	575	575	+0	open	—	05-02 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	12	$406	332	158	+174	Up	+$30	05-07 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	16	$393	466	0	+466	open	—	05-01 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	10	$379	216	216	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$350	440	0	+440	Down	+$90	05-08 20:37
highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 50forhigher	3	$310	368	0	+368	open	—	02-28 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	16	$309	465	0	+465	Up	$-309	05-08 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	27	$307	840	0	+840	Up	$-219	05-08 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	12	$300	333	0	+333	Up	+$33	05-08 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	6	$269	158	158	+0	Down	+$19	05-07 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	9	$268	326	0	+326	open	—	05-02 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	10	$250	266	0	+266	Down	+$16	05-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$229	248	68	+180	open	—	05-01 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	9	$225	258	0	+258	Up	+$33	05-08 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$221	137	137	+0	open	—	04-30 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$213	141	141	+0	open	—	05-02 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	9	$208	218	0	+218	Down	+$10	05-07 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$200	227	0	+227	open	—	04-30 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	8	$200	260	0	+260	Down	+$60	05-08 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	8	$200	211	0	+211	Up	+$11	05-08 18:24
highest temperature in dallas on march 11 2026 74forhigher	5	$180	141	141	+0	open	—	03-09 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	7	$175	190	0	+190	Down	+$15	05-08 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$161	105	105	+0	Up	+$11	05-08 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	7	$157	178	0	+178	open	—	05-01 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$150	199	0	+199	Down	+$49	05-08 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	6	$150	227	0	+227	Down	+$77	05-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$126	211	0	+211	open	—	05-01 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$125	214	0	+214	open	—	05-02 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 22:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x53a464…
05-18 22:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0e9829…
05-18 22:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfd0311…
05-18 22:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8d372e…
05-18 22:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xce5c7a…
05-18 21:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x017596…
05-18 21:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd8db9a…
05-18 21:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x536a0d…
05-18 21:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7c765f…
05-18 21:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x096f30…
05-18 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9012f1…
05-18 21:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb97dc3…
05-18 21:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb88121…
05-18 21:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x323876…
05-18 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc7eff…
05-18 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x923b0b…
05-18 21:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x00f665…
05-18 21:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdf2cab…
05-18 21:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7f4e9b…
05-18 21:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7ade68…
05-18 21:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xec57f5…
05-18 21:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb23b2c…
05-18 21:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa8fd43…
05-18 21:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x65d374…
05-18 20:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x746f95…
05-18 20:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x68cc90…
05-18 20:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0f524b…
05-18 20:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd1d999…
05-18 20:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x81ea4b…
05-18 20:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9c926a…
05-18 20:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf93ee9…
05-18 20:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe6812b…
05-18 20:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9ec424…
05-18 20:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdea04d…
05-18 20:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x924f9a…
05-18 19:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8a987b…
05-18 19:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x340d68…
05-18 19:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x46852f…
05-18 19:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe109eb…
05-18 19:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x77b8f9…
05-18 19:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3f5941…
05-18 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd18446…
05-18 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x69c8b4…
05-18 19:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x856e50…
05-18 19:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3aec29…
05-18 19:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9628c4…
05-18 19:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3ef8c2…
05-18 19:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x289801…
05-18 18:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7916bc…
05-18 18:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xac00cc…
05-18 18:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x28f19d…
05-13 21:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0xa3a2ee…
05-13 21:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa91d40…
05-13 21:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4be17a…
05-13 20:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa91383…
05-13 20:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdc16e9…
05-13 20:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7edd61…
05-13 20:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc660da…
05-13 20:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfcdd63…
05-13 19:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf7125e…
05-13 19:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1945b2…
05-13 19:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x38f86e…
05-13 19:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd2dfbc…
05-13 19:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd395e2…
05-13 19:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9026ec…
05-13 19:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xadbc32…
05-13 19:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x52240b…
05-13 18:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf8de4c…
05-13 18:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x83a461…
05-12 20:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x040658…
05-12 20:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xaa0c57…
05-12 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0x35f848…
05-12 20:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x028280…
05-12 20:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x954bc5…
05-12 20:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xfa2488…
05-12 20:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x04f130…
05-12 20:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x0f2419…
05-12 20:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5efbe1…
05-12 20:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x9f9c76…
05-12 19:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0x14f37b…
05-12 19:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x97ff7d…
05-12 19:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x814088…
05-12 19:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xf498cb…
05-12 19:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe0fc5a…
05-12 19:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x2d6ee1…
05-12 19:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa9d40a…
05-12 19:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x0db4a3…
05-12 19:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x85fc8c…
05-12 19:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf9b367…
05-12 19:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x257cca…
05-12 18:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa0a8fb…
05-12 18:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x7af474…
05-12 18:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xddf438…
05-12 18:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcffae2…
05-12 18:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd23d35…
05-12 18:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x621e12…
05-11 21:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc77eb5…
05-11 21:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4cff20…
05-11 20:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x820b28…
05-11 20:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x613631…