Gregarious-Waiting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

660

lifetime

Volume

$5.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 05-10 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 44% $-16

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$183	197	67	+129	Up	$-77	05-10 16:07
btc updown 5m 1772907600	4	$167	124	122	+1	open	—	03-07 18:24
btc updown 5m 1772998800	2	$142	86	85	+1	open	—	03-08 19:45
btc updown 5m 1772984100	2	$126	77	76	+1	open	—	03-08 15:40
btc updown 5m 1772961300	4	$123	96	94	+2	open	—	03-08 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$114	68	68	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 15:15
btc updown 5m 1772898600	2	$113	81	80	+1	open	—	03-07 15:53
btc updown 5m 1772907000	4	$94	83	82	+1	open	—	03-07 18:12
btc updown 5m 1772897400	2	$92	62	61	+1	open	—	03-07 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$90	61	61	+0	Up	+$30	05-10 15:00
btc updown 5m 1772908800	2	$87	73	72	+1	open	—	03-07 18:42
btc updown 5m 1772889900	2	$87	67	66	+1	open	—	03-07 13:28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$80	57	57	+0	open	—	03-03 22:28
btc updown 5m 1773421200	1	$73	160	0	+160	open	—	03-13 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$63	49	49	+0	Down	+$23	05-10 15:29
btc updown 5m 1772995200	2	$63	41	40	+0	open	—	03-08 18:42
btc updown 5m 1772881800	2	$62	43	43	+1	open	—	03-07 11:12
btc updown 5m 1773323700	6	$60	78	77	+1	open	—	03-12 13:59
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$58	86	86	+0	open	—	03-02 14:36
btc updown 5m 1772877900	2	$57	53	52	+0	open	—	03-07 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$52	38	38	+0	Up	+$22	05-10 15:45
btc updown 5m 1773239400	2	$51	72	71	+1	open	—	03-11 14:32
btc updown 5m 1773240000	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	03-11 14:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	4	$49	195	195	+0	open	—	03-09 17:16
btc updown 5m 1773246900	2	$47	45	44	+1	open	—	03-11 16:37
btc updown 5m 1772976000	2	$46	35	35	+1	open	—	03-08 13:22
btc updown 5m 1773234900	3	$46	47	46	+1	open	—	03-11 13:17
btc updown 5m 1772965200	2	$45	61	60	+1	open	—	03-08 10:21
btc updown 5m 1772964300	2	$45	29	29	+0	open	—	03-08 10:06
btc updown 5m 1772981700	4	$45	36	35	+1	open	—	03-08 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 16:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xf5937e…
05-10 16:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x84f417…
05-10 16:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	67	78¢	$53	0x7ba58e…
05-10 16:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x655d68…
05-10 16:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x022121…
05-10 16:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x19ff6c…
05-10 16:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6ddea9…
05-10 15:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x710d8b…
05-10 15:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf0d4da…
05-10 15:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7bb086…
05-10 15:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x46a8cb…
05-10 15:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x903ad1…
05-10 15:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x415e3f…
05-10 15:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x36c876…
05-10 15:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xeaf15c…
05-10 15:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xc9c549…
05-10 15:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0x73950e…
05-10 15:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xef926b…
05-10 15:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x48a301…
05-10 15:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5bde10…
05-10 15:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x2f6cd7…
05-10 15:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xe8ca3f…
05-10 15:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x3d456b…
05-10 15:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa67ea7…
05-10 15:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x06ebf1…
05-10 15:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x88f191…
05-10 15:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa1a3a9…
05-10 15:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x883ca0…
05-10 15:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xe52216…
05-10 15:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x311cd5…
05-10 15:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xa2e65a…
05-10 14:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x0c2af6…
05-10 14:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3047bd…
05-10 14:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaf1115…
05-10 14:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xeeec8c…
05-10 14:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb90875…
05-10 14:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x3e2d37…
05-10 14:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x46dcff…
05-10 14:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe3d1aa…
05-10 14:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2f49b8…
05-10 14:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc41704…
05-10 14:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5f1c78…
05-10 14:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2d0d49…
05-10 14:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2d5adb…
05-10 14:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa353f3…
05-10 14:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x8b6b61…
05-10 14:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7ecd41…
05-10 14:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x91f486…
05-10 14:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x015321…
05-10 14:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0xbfcba4…
05-10 13:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xcb9eb2…
05-10 13:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb802a9…
05-10 13:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x07ac5b…
05-10 13:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe9d6a1…
05-10 13:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1c239f…
05-10 13:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7e02c8…
05-10 12:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbd93c7…
05-10 12:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe47872…
05-10 12:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1172b5…
05-10 12:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x42658a…
05-10 12:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x82e212…
05-10 12:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8d09e7…
05-10 12:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x32be1e…
05-10 09:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xdac1c7…
05-10 09:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x835c32…
05-10 09:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xf34788…
05-10 09:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x28fc34…
05-10 09:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xe36de2…
05-10 09:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfbaf36…
05-10 06:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x919a16…
05-10 06:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x877efa…
05-10 06:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xed7998…
05-10 06:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8de6b2…
05-10 06:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x93a6b7…
05-10 06:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	87¢	$14	0x637455…
05-10 06:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1c0a73…
05-10 06:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xda7060…
05-10 06:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x554407…
05-10 06:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9d08ec…
05-09 17:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x213122…
05-09 17:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe0ca37…
05-09 17:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbd85b7…
05-09 17:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd001fb…
05-09 17:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x07835d…
05-09 17:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb55a2f…
05-09 17:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x787f00…
05-09 17:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa6859e…
05-09 17:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xe62e1b…
05-09 17:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3645bf…
03-13 17:00:47	btc updown 5m 1773421200	Down	BUY	160	46¢	$73	0xe2e9eb…
03-12 17:41:55	btc updown 5m 1773337200	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfd3e40…
03-12 17:41:25	btc updown 5m 1773337200	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x2dcdb9…
03-12 17:41:13	btc updown 5m 1773337200	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x76bc3c…
03-12 16:44:59	btc updown 5m 1773333600	Up	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0xa0c0e4…
03-12 16:43:45	btc updown 5m 1773333600	Up	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xd65b8f…
03-12 16:40:55	btc updown 5m 1773333600	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$4	0x179a11…
03-12 16:40:11	btc updown 5m 1773333600	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x971a11…
03-12 16:38:07	btc updown 5m 1773333300	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xa2d345…
03-12 16:37:19	btc updown 5m 1773333300	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf144ea…
03-12 16:37:05	btc updown 5m 1773333300	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xe448b2…