Ill-Fated-Democracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$5.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-17 22:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 100% +$17

Other

17% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-28 07:52
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-03 06:55
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	05-25 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	1	$50	53	+53	Down	+$3	05-07 19:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	1	$50	54	+54	open	—	05-29 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-11 15:50
xrp up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-06 03:55
eth updown 4h 1781582400	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-16 07:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-30 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-02 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-11 23:59
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-30 17:57
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-07 22:57
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-28 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-30 15:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-02 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-28 23:55
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-25 20:55
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-02 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-31 01:59
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 29?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-29 20:50
bnb up or down june 11 2026 5pm et	1	$49	51	+51	open	—	06-11 21:56
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 5pm et	1	$49	51	+51	open	—	06-11 21:56
ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	06-06 15:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 11?	1	$49	50	+50	Yes	+$1	05-11 20:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	1	$49	52	+52	No	+$3	05-11 20:52
bnb up or down june 7 2026 10pm et	1	$45	45	+45	open	—	06-08 02:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?	1	$37	38	+38	open	—	05-29 20:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 11?	1	$34	37	+37	Yes	+$3	05-11 20:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	1	$30	32	+32	open	—	05-30 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 15:04:13	eth updown 5m 1781881200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45e486…
06-19 12:56:50	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd6457e…
06-17 22:14:38	doge updown 5m 1781734200	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab47d3…
06-17 15:28:59	btc updown 15m 1781709300	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xae1a3d…
06-17 15:28:53	eth updown 15m 1781709300	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3a25e6…
06-17 15:28:50	sol updown 15m 1781709300	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x79f72b…
06-17 08:58:10	eth updown 15m 1781685900	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8bdf88…
06-17 07:14:04	btc updown 15m 1781679600	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9f4dc6…
06-17 00:14:22	xrp updown 15m 1781654400	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8bc6d1…
06-17 00:14:17	eth updown 15m 1781654400	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98e61e…
06-16 07:53:52	eth updown 4h 1781582400	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3bd0e1…
06-16 03:04:31	bnb updown 5m 1781578800	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x31c028…
06-15 09:09:28	btc updown 5m 1781514300	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x2519e7…
06-15 09:09:24	bnb updown 5m 1781514300	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8433a…
06-15 08:28:39	bnb updown 15m 1781511300	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x35aa89…
06-14 04:43:07	bnb updown 15m 1781411400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x174954…
06-14 01:59:48	sol updown 15m 1781401500	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x174017…
06-13 11:58:57	xrp updown 15m 1781351100	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x54372a…
06-13 11:58:54	btc updown 15m 1781351100	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe531e3…
06-13 11:58:51	sol updown 15m 1781351100	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x639a60…
06-13 11:58:46	eth updown 15m 1781351100	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x649fc3…
06-13 10:59:42	bnb updown 15m 1781347500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7af73…
06-13 10:43:19	bnb updown 15m 1781346600	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x413e1e…
06-13 03:15:00	xrp updown 15m 1781319600	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x68e322…
06-13 03:14:57	btc updown 15m 1781319600	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x473910…
06-13 01:09:52	hype updown 5m 1781312700	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x48d57a…
06-12 15:13:33	doge updown 15m 1781276400	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3f7db3…
06-12 13:58:51	doge updown 15m 1781271900	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x771d46…
06-12 08:24:42	doge updown 5m 1781252400	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdf3bba…
06-12 08:24:37	btc updown 5m 1781252400	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb04e0e…
06-11 21:56:04	bnb up or down june 11 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x619e17…
06-11 21:56:00	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x6fd62c…
06-11 14:39:42	doge updown 5m 1781188500	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x01590c…
06-11 14:39:39	eth updown 5m 1781188500	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbfa11f…
06-10 20:58:27	eth updown 15m 1781124300	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4824f0…
06-10 15:13:55	xrp updown 15m 1781103600	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x5e0a6e…
06-10 07:43:57	btc updown 15m 1781076600	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0527c2…
06-10 06:29:22	sol updown 15m 1781072100	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x12914d…
06-10 05:14:12	eth updown 15m 1781067600	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x1be694…
06-08 20:44:57	wti closes above 91 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x7a4a40…
06-08 02:55:10	bnb up or down june 7 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x405d11…
06-08 00:44:25	sol updown 5m 1780879200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x308603…
06-08 00:44:10	xrp updown 5m 1780879200	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x329dbf…
06-08 00:44:07	eth updown 5m 1780879200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d8384…
06-07 16:58:43	btc updown 15m 1780850700	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x707736…
06-07 14:54:33	xrp updown 5m 1780843800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf37ae4…
06-07 14:54:28	doge updown 5m 1780843800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6de4a6…
06-07 08:54:06	doge updown 5m 1780822200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x00b702…
06-07 00:54:40	btc updown 5m 1780793400	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaa89e9…
06-07 00:54:36	bnb updown 5m 1780793400	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2b2c37…
06-07 00:54:33	doge updown 5m 1780793400	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2665a3…
06-06 19:24:33	xrp updown 5m 1780773600	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdac21b…
06-06 15:52:18	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x3bc7c2…
06-06 15:13:07	btc updown 15m 1780758000	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa4ca70…
06-06 03:55:33	xrp up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2b2a6a…
06-05 16:29:25	eth updown 15m 1780676100	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb035a4…
06-05 15:58:28	btc updown 15m 1780674300	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x6cf74f…
06-05 15:58:22	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x65d109…
06-05 03:04:18	bnb updown 5m 1780628400	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64ec5e…
06-04 23:14:31	xrp updown 5m 1780614600	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde07a0…
06-04 23:14:27	sol updown 15m 1780614000	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xc3095c…
06-04 23:14:24	eth updown 15m 1780614000	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x36936d…
06-04 22:43:52	btc updown 15m 1780612200	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf8f233…
06-04 19:58:09	btc updown 15m 1780602300	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0c5b35…
06-03 11:54:06	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8f09a3…
06-03 11:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x24bc71…
06-03 06:55:54	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x40e0e3…
06-03 03:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3cb0a…
06-02 22:39:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9d444f…
06-02 22:39:15	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xfa9640…
06-02 22:39:12	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe29bb4…
06-02 22:34:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa52fa3…
06-02 22:34:09	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb2a4ea…
06-02 22:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x255cfa…
06-02 21:56:07	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x941b54…
06-02 20:38:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8814f1…
06-02 15:38:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xe7dbda…
06-02 11:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf20500…
06-02 00:49:24	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa3a2a8…
06-01 23:04:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f7347…
06-01 21:34:08	hype updown 5m 1780349400	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeaea80…
06-01 20:14:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe99841…
06-01 18:59:14	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2496e1…
06-01 15:59:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabd9e6…
06-01 15:30:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x85390b…
06-01 12:14:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe9d15f…
06-01 05:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5b29f…
05-31 18:54:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x51e683…
05-31 17:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xafe010…
05-31 17:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb5031e…
05-31 16:44:07	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x394ea7…
05-31 09:14:24	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x47f8a7…
05-31 03:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x620498…
05-31 03:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x224256…
05-31 01:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x219b03…
05-31 01:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3bdbc8…
05-31 01:13:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x15f535…
05-30 21:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0f5f91…
05-30 17:57:53	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0271a9…
05-30 15:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7146ea…