Ill-Fated-Democracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

576

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-29 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 100% +$17

Other

9% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1781942400	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-20 11:58
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-03 06:55
ethereum up or down on july 6 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-06 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-28 07:52
eth updown 4h 1782244800	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-23 23:52
ethereum up or down june 20 2026 2am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-20 06:58
ethereum up or down june 21 2026 11am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-21 15:55
solana up or down july 10 2026 2pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-10 18:57
sol updown 4h 1784635200	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-21 15:50
ethereum up or down july 4 2026 5pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-04 21:55
bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-21 15:42
ethereum up or down on june 21 2026	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	06-21 15:42
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	05-25 20:55
ethereum up or down july 15 2026 5pm et	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	07-15 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	1	$50	53	+53	Down	+$3	05-07 19:57
wti closes above 74 on june 22 2026	1	$50	53	+53	open	—	06-22 20:43
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	1	$50	54	+54	open	—	05-29 20:30
bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	1	$50	54	+54	open	—	07-27 15:42
btc updown 4h 1783080000	1	$50	54	+54	open	—	07-03 15:53
xrp up or down july 16 2026 7am et	1	$50	54	+54	open	—	07-16 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-11 15:50
solana up or down on july 10 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-10 15:45
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-30 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-30 15:52
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 9am et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	07-15 13:59
btc updown 4h 1784908800	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	07-24 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-11 23:59
xrp up or down july 8 2026 2pm et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	07-08 18:57
xrp up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-06 03:55
ethereum up or down july 18 2026 7pm et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	07-18 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 13:14:24	btc updown 15m 1785416400	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb0110a…
07-29 20:43:14	sol updown 15m 1785357000	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xba987d…
07-28 20:43:59	btc updown 15m 1785270600	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x474ec4…
07-28 15:45:22	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x927bf3…
07-28 05:58:33	solana up or down july 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xacb2f1…
07-28 02:29:16	sol updown 15m 1785204900	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x4cd635…
07-28 02:28:15	sol updown 15m 1785204900	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0f22bd…
07-27 15:42:34	ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x8bafed…
07-27 15:42:31	bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xd98d9e…
07-27 14:14:06	xrp updown 15m 1785160800	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb0fcb0…
07-27 14:14:00	btc updown 15m 1785160800	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xb63dcd…
07-27 10:34:39	bnb updown 5m 1785148200	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee84e4…
07-26 19:28:57	eth updown 15m 1785093300	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2a21da…
07-26 15:44:52	xrp above 1pt1 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xfafb89…
07-26 07:13:30	btc updown 15m 1785049200	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x75d067…
07-25 23:59:09	btc updown 15m 1785023100	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x04820f…
07-25 19:56:51	solana up or down july 25 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x1a0ecc…
07-25 17:59:13	btc updown 5m 1785002100	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x418547…
07-25 17:59:10	btc updown 15m 1785001500	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x051cb9…
07-25 04:58:21	btc updown 15m 1784954700	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd5a258…
07-24 20:49:30	sol updown 5m 1784925900	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd2a0e8…
07-24 20:49:27	xrp updown 5m 1784925900	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1bed0b…
07-24 19:50:12	btc updown 4h 1784908800	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x67f67d…
07-24 15:33:57	xrp above 1pt1 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x74d81f…
07-24 10:59:36	btc updown 15m 1784889900	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc4bc87…
07-23 16:14:07	btc updown 15m 1784822400	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd643f3…
07-23 16:14:07	btc updown 15m 1784822400	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2ad69d…
07-23 16:13:24	xrp updown 15m 1784822400	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x39b7c9…
07-23 15:48:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x286a28…
07-23 14:14:36	eth updown 5m 1784815800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x536647…
07-23 11:28:36	xrp updown 15m 1784805300	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x506f4a…
07-23 11:28:33	eth updown 15m 1784805300	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x583dfb…
07-23 11:13:27	btc updown 15m 1784804400	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4519a9…
07-23 04:34:28	eth updown 5m 1784781000	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x19a747…
07-23 02:13:06	sol updown 15m 1784772000	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf435b5…
07-22 23:28:18	eth updown 15m 1784762100	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb2f133…
07-22 23:28:13	btc updown 15m 1784762100	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x76208b…
07-22 16:58:36	btc updown 15m 1784738700	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x38f825…
07-22 15:48:03	solana up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x185fc9…
07-22 15:48:00	ethereum up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x12beb8…
07-22 00:24:51	btc updown 5m 1784679600	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcbc378…
07-21 15:50:30	sol updown 4h 1784635200	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x9c4eb0…
07-21 15:50:27	eth updown 4h 1784635200	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x01a777…
07-21 15:33:16	ethereum up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xacfd96…
07-21 03:14:33	xrp updown 5m 1784603400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16b0ff…
07-20 22:49:13	sol updown 5m 1784587500	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4f9447…
07-20 20:44:46	xrp updown 5m 1784580000	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ef14f…
07-20 17:43:30	sol updown 15m 1784568600	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4fc881…
07-20 17:43:27	btc updown 15m 1784568600	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x51d3b6…
07-20 13:59:24	sol updown 5m 1784555700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x61c729…
07-19 11:52:16	eth updown 4h 1784448000	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x598e07…
07-19 06:58:52	eth updown 15m 1784443500	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x8c80b1…
07-19 06:58:48	btc updown 15m 1784443500	Down	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x565fe3…
07-19 00:14:22	xrp updown 15m 1784419200	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57fde9…
07-18 23:59:16	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3c04c3…
07-18 21:57:30	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5e8df3…
07-18 19:44:55	btc updown 15m 1784403000	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbe53fc…
07-18 19:29:48	eth updown 5m 1784402700	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8b4da3…
07-18 16:29:30	xrp updown 15m 1784391300	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4b65b4…
07-18 16:29:27	eth updown 15m 1784391300	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xfca777…
07-18 15:34:22	xrp up or down on july 18 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4a2276…
07-18 12:24:21	sol updown 5m 1784377200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c47b3…
07-18 08:04:07	eth updown 5m 1784361600	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8c342c…
07-18 07:24:28	sol updown 5m 1784359200	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x825531…
07-18 07:24:25	btc updown 5m 1784359200	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeae7c4…
07-18 07:24:22	eth updown 5m 1784359200	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d9be4…
07-18 06:59:34	sol updown 5m 1784357700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe97f50…
07-18 01:44:27	btc updown 15m 1784338200	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbf43b1…
07-18 01:44:24	sol updown 15m 1784338200	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd1d65c…
07-18 01:44:19	eth updown 15m 1784338200	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x820a84…
07-17 18:58:37	btc updown 15m 1784313900	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9b8bb6…
07-17 15:31:27	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc951cb…
07-16 23:59:32	sol updown 5m 1784246100	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x62c50a…
07-16 23:59:29	btc updown 5m 1784246100	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x78daf3…
07-16 23:59:23	eth updown 15m 1784245500	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xee3b3d…
07-16 15:57:29	solana up or down july 16 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x207a7c…
07-16 14:13:23	sol updown 15m 1784210400	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd493d2…
07-16 11:58:22	xrp up or down july 16 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xa72f10…
07-16 01:29:35	eth updown 5m 1784165100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f70a7…
07-16 01:29:32	btc updown 5m 1784165100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95aac6…
07-16 01:29:25	xrp updown 5m 1784165100	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc15956…
07-15 23:54:37	xrp updown 5m 1784159400	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeba849…
07-15 23:28:25	btc updown 15m 1784157300	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb7d6ec…
07-15 21:57:02	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x621134…
07-15 18:44:02	eth updown 15m 1784140200	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x2b0a95…
07-15 16:28:59	xrp updown 15m 1784132100	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe7c315…
07-15 13:59:53	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4891bb…
07-15 13:43:13	xrp updown 15m 1784122200	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x28bd16…
07-14 15:42:38	xrp above 1pt1 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x0c728e…
07-14 15:42:34	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5a981b…
07-14 12:29:22	btc updown 15m 1784031300	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x54ee77…
07-14 12:29:17	xrp updown 15m 1784031300	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xddbbfc…
07-14 04:34:49	sol updown 5m 1784003400	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x066a40…
07-13 17:44:28	btc updown 15m 1783963800	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x497871…
07-13 10:58:20	sol updown 15m 1783939500	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x68ed28…
07-13 07:51:37	btc updown 4h 1783915200	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xa2a8e8…
07-13 07:28:11	sol updown 15m 1783926900	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54ec0b…
07-13 07:28:08	xrp updown 15m 1783926900	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7d8ad6…
07-12 17:55:19	solana up or down july 12 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6ee234…
07-12 17:55:16	bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1167e9…