Legal-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$508

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-07 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776115800	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-13 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	4	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 20:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 18:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	4	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 01:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 02:11
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-29 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 20:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 02:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 14:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 02:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 21:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 17:40
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 18:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 15:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 19:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 18:26
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 17:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 19:11
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 06:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 00:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 23:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 18:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4faec7…
05-07 16:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x749bac…
05-07 16:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x6999c0…
05-07 04:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xdfe2bc…
05-07 04:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6a1cc9…
05-07 03:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xc5ff02…
05-07 03:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf894d3…
05-07 02:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x24fa8b…
05-07 02:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x53b5c6…
05-07 02:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x202ac3…
05-07 02:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe05f6f…
05-07 01:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xd1a121…
05-07 01:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb3ef23…
05-07 01:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xe2724b…
05-06 15:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x3b1824…
05-06 15:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xb11809…
05-06 15:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x08eea6…
05-06 15:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x656302…
05-06 06:58:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xe90831…
05-06 06:54:38	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x2e9ecb…
05-06 06:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x533306…
05-06 06:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xde4453…
05-06 06:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xb390cd…
05-06 06:25:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xc3cfce…
05-05 18:28:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0x94dfda…
05-05 18:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x5e2a85…
05-05 17:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x27da0d…
05-05 17:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x183ac3…
05-05 07:11:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x46d05e…
05-05 07:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x6d952b…
05-05 06:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xdc554d…
05-05 06:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x06411d…
05-05 03:10:18	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd91d6e…
05-04 19:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x52e391…
05-04 19:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9e5ade…
05-04 18:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$6	0x1cf969…
05-04 18:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xe2d6d2…
05-04 18:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xdc7edc…
05-04 18:43:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x84e1f7…
05-04 18:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x016c27…
05-04 17:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xca9152…
05-04 17:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xcb53cd…
05-04 17:28:18	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x46eeb7…
05-04 17:28:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3713b2…
05-04 17:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x9b6cdd…
05-04 17:24:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xdb170c…
05-04 14:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x21f8f7…
05-04 14:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x305559…
05-04 13:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x6e22d0…
05-04 13:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xc2e786…
05-04 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x12365b…
05-04 13:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x388264…
05-04 04:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x97b20e…
05-04 04:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc8d179…
05-04 03:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd0881c…
05-04 03:25:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe7128b…
05-04 02:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5c94bb…
05-04 02:56:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0xf54a9e…
05-04 02:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x370de2…
05-04 02:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb8fc44…
05-04 02:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$3	0x1d4558…
05-04 02:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x41a30a…
05-04 02:11:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x8cbeb2…
05-04 02:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x428b75…
05-04 02:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x1aa8ba…
05-04 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x168b63…
05-04 02:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xcf6ea5…
05-04 02:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x472b64…
05-04 01:27:44	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x85331c…
05-04 01:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x39501d…
05-04 01:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x5a167c…
05-04 01:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x532103…
05-04 01:24:20	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x064726…
05-04 01:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe75a70…
05-04 01:12:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe14315…
05-04 01:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5092f4…
05-04 01:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2521a3…
05-04 01:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf4c8c9…
05-04 01:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x5fd030…
05-04 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x1fdc8b…
05-04 00:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x70a1c7…
05-04 00:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xae4962…
05-04 00:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x2091ac…
05-04 00:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x1178e9…
05-04 00:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x185800…
05-04 00:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1a682d…
05-03 23:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x072f0f…
05-03 23:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xbdd967…
05-03 23:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5add76…
05-03 23:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x176c97…
05-03 22:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x1aa65c…
05-03 22:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x94b296…
05-03 22:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xbf5438…
05-03 21:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x6f5ea6…
05-03 21:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x241df9…
05-03 18:26:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5e6676…
05-03 18:24:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x849f41…
05-03 18:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5f98b3…
05-03 18:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe2a3ae…
05-03 14:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x2276ea…