Realized P&L
-$30
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
4.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
144
lifetime
Volume
$161
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 06-17 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
47%
Other
40% 17% $-30
Tech
12%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-9 88¢ $-8 +$0 06-04 03:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-12 14:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 06-02 18:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +17 $3 10¢ $2 $-1 06-04 00:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-13 06:44
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No -1 $-1 50¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 20:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-03 14:48
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -0 $-0 50¢ $-0 +$0 06-05 04:49