Helpless-Landscape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$730

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

2,471

Trades

5,368

lifetime

Volume

$48.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$281

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-23 11:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Other

99% 90% +$731

Politics

1% — —

Crypto

0% 80% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$103	84¢	$127	+$23	09-21 19:06
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+150	$50	34¢	$50	+$1	10-21 20:09
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+50	$34	84¢	$42	+$8	09-12 03:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+70	$49	51¢	$36	-$13	10-16 05:53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+100	$48	26¢	$26	-$22	10-16 05:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$103	150	0	+150	open	—	09-21 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?	2	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	+$36	05-08 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 14?	4	$59	35	35	+0	Yes	+$8	08-14 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 20?	2	$57	41	41	+0	Yes	+$19	08-20 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 9?	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$2	05-09 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	3	$56	41	41	+0	Yes	+$21	08-19 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 26?	2	$54	41	41	+0	Yes	+$23	07-26 21:06
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 13?	2	$54	33	33	+0	Yes	+$8	08-13 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 18?	2	$54	34	34	+0	Yes	+$11	08-18 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 28?	3	$53	41	41	+0	Yes	+$23	07-28 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4?	2	$53	41	41	+0	No	+$23	08-04 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 16?	2	$53	35	35	+0	Yes	+$13	08-16 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 22?	2	$53	34	34	+0	Yes	+$12	08-22 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	3	$53	41	41	+0	Yes	+$24	08-19 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28?	3	$53	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 15?	4	$52	32	32	+0	Yes	+$9	08-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?	6	$52	38	37	+0	Yes	+$19	07-29 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 11?	3	$51	38	38	+0	Yes	+$21	08-11 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 18?	3	$51	41	41	+0	Yes	+$26	08-18 21:42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?	5	$50	41	41	+0	Yes	+$26	07-22 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8?	5	$50	38	37	+0	Yes	+$20	08-08 18:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?	2	$50	41	41	+0	Yes	+$27	07-28 18:54
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$50	150	0	+150	open	—	10-21 20:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?	4	$49	31	31	+0	Yes	+$9	08-14 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?	6	$49	41	41	+0	Yes	+$27	07-11 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 16?	4	$49	41	41	+0	Yes	+$28	08-16 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?	3	$49	41	41	+0	Yes	+$28	07-10 14:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$49	70	0	+70	open	—	10-16 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	3	$49	30	30	+0	Yes	+$8	08-13 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 30?	2	$48	35	35	+0	No	+$18	07-30 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd04586…
10-23 11:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfb69a5…
10-23 11:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa59c4d…
10-23 11:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xd58531…
10-23 11:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa26316…
10-23 11:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xaa46de…
10-23 11:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1a169a…
10-23 11:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xef4e74…
10-23 11:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa7bbef…
10-23 11:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4167fd…
10-23 11:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4141b5…
10-22 07:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb26e66…
10-21 20:09:57	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x98d3f4…
10-16 05:53:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0xcfc0b8…
10-16 05:52:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	85	48¢	$41	0xdbde98…
10-16 05:52:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf4bb6e…
09-21 19:06:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x4012cf…
09-12 03:19:40	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x62d176…
08-28 11:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xc626b3…
08-28 11:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x530366…
08-28 11:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5700c5…
08-28 10:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf7b1f3…
08-28 10:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6ff2c2…
08-28 10:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8ec427…
08-28 09:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xaaf331…
08-28 09:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x561a41…
08-28 09:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8fa8bd…
08-27 17:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x7d9630…
08-27 17:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x27dcb2…
08-27 17:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc7dbd4…
08-27 16:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa13751…
08-27 16:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf0423d…
08-27 16:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbae699…
08-27 08:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x3ff15b…
08-27 07:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x481d35…
08-27 07:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcaa247…
08-27 06:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6e8188…
08-27 06:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2ef3b3…
08-27 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x72c109…
08-27 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x3d0988…
08-27 05:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x54edc9…
08-27 04:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb7951…
08-27 04:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x0e9a3a…
08-27 04:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xcbdda3…
08-27 04:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbbfacb…
08-27 03:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x999549…
08-27 03:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf44023…
08-26 23:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2e0d05…
08-26 22:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x19ea41…
08-26 21:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xb90ef2…
08-26 21:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xa62944…
08-26 21:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xb783a3…
08-26 21:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe26ac8…
08-26 21:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8bfd71…
08-26 21:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x03d333…
08-26 21:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x766bc9…
08-26 21:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa25664…
08-26 20:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xb9afdc…
08-26 20:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaa6480…
08-26 20:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3d5032…
08-26 20:49:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x601612…
08-26 20:49:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd6d0ef…
08-26 20:48:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4d966e…
08-26 20:46:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf7ee72…
08-26 20:43:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7bfffe…
08-26 19:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb2b4fa…
08-26 17:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 26?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0xe64c56…
08-26 16:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7c0fea…
08-26 16:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x044678…
08-26 15:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2ddedd…
08-26 15:31:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0301c4…
08-26 15:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4b47d4…
08-26 15:25:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc17fe9…
08-26 15:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x0d6ea4…
08-26 14:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8981f5…
08-26 14:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4f07f5…
08-26 14:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd001e8…
08-26 13:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd9bcea…
08-26 13:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x36beb2…
08-26 13:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xef0405…
08-26 12:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x6f25c0…
08-26 10:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x82d27d…
08-26 10:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0xab0b1d…
08-26 08:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfdd0d7…
08-26 08:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe34037…
08-26 00:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x90146e…
08-26 00:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa2f6fa…
08-25 23:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc0f3d1…
08-25 23:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9a39c…
08-25 23:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6e3ab…
08-25 23:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb257d4…
08-25 23:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa90ce3…
08-25 23:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8af741…
08-25 23:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x271745…
08-25 23:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe70f04…
08-25 22:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa49036…
08-25 20:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdf3b92…
08-25 20:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xebadf3…
08-25 20:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd7625b…
08-25 18:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xacbef8…