Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$515

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-05 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 34% -$52

Politics

21% 50% +$8

Other

13% 60% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+29	$15	18¢	$5	-$10	11-05 06:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$60	88	0	+88	Yes	+$28	10-22 11:06
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$30	27	27	+0	Up	+$20	10-23 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Up	-$25	11-05 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Down	-$25	11-05 06:23
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$25	81	0	+81	No	-$25	01-08 04:21
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	2	$23	103	0	+103	No	-$23	07-04 17:11
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$20	104	0	+104	Down	-$1	10-23 08:43
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	+$6	01-08 04:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:05 UTC	1	$15	22	0	+22	Down	+$7	10-23 09:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	11-05 06:20
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	10-23 08:45
Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	10-22 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	10-23 08:56
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	-$10	10-23 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	10-23 08:35
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	10-23 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$10	42	0	+42	Down	-$10	10-23 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	-$10	10-23 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	+$8	11-05 06:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:10 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	10-23 09:12
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	07-04 20:02
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$9	26	0	+26	Yes	+$17	07-06 05:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:10 UTC	1	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$2	10-23 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	Down	+$3	10-23 09:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:05 UTC	1	$6	75	0	+75	Down	-$6	10-23 09:08
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	10-22 11:11
Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Up	+$12	10-22 11:17
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	+$12	10-23 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	Down	-$5	10-23 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	-$5	11-05 06:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 07:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb52acc…
11-05 07:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x661b71…
11-05 06:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8b29da…
11-05 06:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3973f8…
11-05 06:36:40	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3caf0f…
11-05 06:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9d6206…
11-05 06:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x72562a…
11-05 06:20:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xaef301…
10-23 09:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x963699…
10-23 09:40:21	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x0693f7…
10-23 09:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdca953…
10-23 09:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf496a7…
10-23 09:37:54	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x622921…
10-23 09:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	394	1¢	$4	0x6a415f…
10-23 09:33:48	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe349df…
10-23 09:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x083389…
10-23 09:30:06	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x0a9668…
10-23 09:27:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x693b23…
10-23 09:26:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc6992d…
10-23 09:24:44	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x33e650…
10-23 09:23:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	342	1¢	$5	0x907a93…
10-23 09:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x8f1c1c…
10-23 09:18:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x0ecb45…
10-23 09:17:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc73dde…
10-23 09:17:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x034065…
10-23 09:13:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdc9b33…
10-23 09:12:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x006582…
10-23 09:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x1808ac…
10-23 09:11:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x0397cb…
10-23 09:08:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x29a499…
10-23 09:07:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x60c1b7…
10-23 09:02:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7c35e9…
10-23 09:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3cb427…
10-23 08:57:27	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7edccc…
10-23 08:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc6bca7…
10-23 08:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x2778be…
10-23 08:51:11	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5d04b8…
10-23 08:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x947000…
10-23 08:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x33891b…
10-23 08:46:32	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x396bf8…
10-23 08:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x95caf3…
10-23 08:43:27	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0x9394ca…
10-23 08:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8cc5c9…
10-23 08:41:14	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xae6563…
10-23 08:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb0655c…
10-23 08:38:06	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x593558…
10-23 08:36:12	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x5a205c…
10-23 08:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xef49bf…
10-22 11:26:00	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf19513…
10-22 11:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xbaa77e…
10-22 11:17:35	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9ea0c1…
10-22 11:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x104d1d…
10-22 11:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xd786e2…
10-22 11:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xfdf92a…
10-22 11:06:33	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	88	68¢	$60	0x5c5902…
07-08 02:38:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x76ad7b…
07-06 05:39:44	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xb17abd…
07-05 02:16:13	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4ec08e…
07-05 02:15:40	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x175cfa…
07-04 20:02:13	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf254f5…
07-04 17:11:20	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x6bb8e4…
07-04 17:09:23	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x587d88…
01-08 04:25:55	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x4223b8…
01-08 04:21:39	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x139998…