Careless-Theater — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$157.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$593

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-29 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$1

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 100k on january 20	14	$4.7K	13,044	13,044	+0	open	—	01-19 22:44
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	11	$2.5K	15,076	14,289	+787	open	—	01-19 12:01
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 30	3	$1.8K	905	905	+0	open	—	03-29 21:43
ethereum above 1600 on march 30	2	$1.8K	905	905	+0	open	—	03-29 22:23
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 29	2	$1.8K	904	904	+0	open	—	03-28 20:50
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 26	2	$1.8K	901	901	+0	open	—	03-25 23:10
ethereum above 2400 on march 23	2	$1.8K	898	898	+0	open	—	03-23 08:52
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	2	$1.7K	868	868	+0	open	—	03-08 10:03
ethereum above 1500 on march 6	2	$1.7K	863	863	+0	open	—	03-06 10:51
bitcoin above 56k on march 3	2	$1.7K	859	859	+0	open	—	03-03 08:52
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$1.7K	850	850	+0	open	—	02-27 23:59
bitcoin above 90k on february 4	7	$1.7K	27,699	27,699	+0	open	—	02-04 06:14
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 27	2	$1.7K	848	848	+0	open	—	02-27 00:01
bitcoin above 92k on january 31	9	$1.7K	26,971	26,971	+0	open	—	01-31 00:44
will ethereum reach 2500 february 9 15	2	$1.7K	846	846	+0	open	—	02-15 21:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 9	2	$1.7K	833	833	+0	open	—	02-09 09:32
bitcoin above 84k on february 7	2	$1.7K	826	826	+0	open	—	02-06 23:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	2	$1.6K	826	826	+0	open	—	02-06 00:03
bitcoin above 74k on february 23	2	$1.6K	815	815	+0	open	—	02-23 08:45
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 21	3	$1.6K	808	808	+0	open	—	01-20 22:46
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	2	$1.6K	809	809	+0	open	—	01-21 02:21
will ethereum dip to 3000 january 12 18	2	$1.6K	806	806	+0	open	—	01-18 22:56
will ethereum reach 3900 january 12 18	2	$1.6K	805	805	+0	open	—	01-18 22:17
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 12 18	2	$1.6K	805	805	+0	open	—	01-18 06:11
ethereum above 2600 on march 24	2	$1.1K	899	236	+663	open	—	03-24 12:24
ethereum above 1900 on june 30 2026	1	$962	963	0	+963	open	—	06-29 21:05
bitcoin above 70k on june 29 2026	2	$961	962	0	+962	open	—	06-28 21:18
ethereum above 2000 on june 28 2026	1	$960	961	0	+961	open	—	06-28 09:21
ethereum above 1900 on june 27 2026	1	$959	960	0	+960	open	—	06-26 20:30
ethereum above 2100 on june 26 2026	1	$958	959	0	+959	open	—	06-25 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 21:05:10	ethereum above 1900 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	963	100¢	$962	0x9b0ca5…
06-28 21:18:31	bitcoin above 70k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	401	100¢	$401	0x875774…
06-28 21:13:47	bitcoin above 70k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0x7e5b34…
06-28 09:21:50	ethereum above 2000 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	961	100¢	$960	0xdc4754…
06-26 20:30:10	ethereum above 1900 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	960	100¢	$959	0x82ac53…
06-25 21:29:59	ethereum above 2100 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	959	100¢	$958	0xac6644…
06-25 05:25:01	ethereum above 1900 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	622	100¢	$621	0x777f8c…
06-25 05:10:49	ethereum above 1900 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	336	100¢	$336	0x3d8337…
06-24 12:06:26	bitcoin above 70k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	957	100¢	$956	0x9cf084…
06-22 21:58:07	xrp above 0pt7 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	957	100¢	$956	0xe14cdb…
06-21 22:18:59	ethereum above 2000 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	955	100¢	$953	0xba8166…
06-21 03:11:07	ethereum above 2000 on june 21 2026	No	BUY	954	100¢	$953	0x4d8f5d…
06-18 00:33:55	bitcoin above 72k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0xb1a949…
06-17 23:02:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa89bc6…
06-17 22:00:10	bitcoin above 72k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	417	100¢	$417	0x70c8a6…
06-14 23:03:24	ethereum above 2100 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	951	100¢	$950	0x17e7cc…
06-12 07:56:09	ethereum above 2000 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x71f699…
06-12 07:36:57	ethereum above 2000 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	852	100¢	$851	0xa87872…
06-11 07:22:06	ethereum above 1900 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	948	100¢	$947	0x0bbb3b…
06-09 18:59:30	ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	947	100¢	$946	0xedafda…
06-09 01:11:49	bitcoin above 70k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	946	100¢	$945	0xcab7fb…
06-07 22:05:33	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	944	100¢	$942	0xe0ff15…
06-04 23:05:27	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	938	100¢	$937	0x519f8b…
06-03 22:09:10	ethereum above 2200 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	938	100¢	$937	0x1b5d95…
06-02 21:40:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 3?	No	BUY	937	100¢	$936	0x22ed7a…
06-01 12:45:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 2?	No	BUY	936	100¢	$935	0xfa1f5f…
05-30 20:44:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	767	100¢	$766	0xd55a7d…
05-30 20:43:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa323b2…
05-30 20:41:52	Will Solana reach $140 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa01d7c…
05-30 20:41:41	Will Solana dip to $40 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18160f…
05-30 20:37:36	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xa485f7…
05-26 06:52:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 27?	No	BUY	924	100¢	$923	0x806c12…
05-23 23:33:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	923	100¢	$922	0xa34100…
05-21 17:56:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 22?	No	BUY	922	100¢	$921	0x00bcef…
05-18 00:08:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?	No	BUY	755	100¢	$755	0x0f8d13…
05-15 06:50:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 15?	No	BUY	920	100¢	$919	0x33b58e…
05-13 17:07:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4b4c68…
05-13 16:05:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x736ad4…
05-13 15:27:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 14?	No	BUY	874	100¢	$873	0xa822d4…
05-12 00:47:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x964586…
05-06 09:11:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 6?	No	BUY	791	100¢	$790	0x406283…
05-06 09:02:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 6?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x34a826…
05-05 22:51:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 7?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4d789d…
05-01 22:27:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	927	100¢	$926	0x7814dc…
04-29 22:20:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	No	BUY	927	100¢	$926	0xe1490f…
04-28 14:02:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on April 29?	No	BUY	926	100¢	$925	0xa1b099…
04-26 09:23:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?	No	BUY	926	100¢	$925	0x621e26…
04-25 03:48:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	925	100¢	$924	0x4f5e31…
04-23 23:43:40	ethereum above 2700 on april 24	No	BUY	924	100¢	$923	0x721ada…
04-22 23:40:46	ethereum above 2700 on april 23	No	BUY	923	100¢	$922	0xadb726…
04-21 22:32:12	ethereum above 1900 on april 22	Yes	BUY	922	100¢	$921	0x8060a0…
04-20 10:37:32	ethereum above 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xe28572…
04-20 05:17:08	ethereum above 1800 on april 20	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81a1b0…
04-19 21:18:18	ethereum above 1800 on april 20	Yes	BUY	865	100¢	$864	0x148087…
04-19 16:00:40	ethereum above 2000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xa7f18a…
04-19 16:00:38	ethereum above 2000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0x1c4952…
04-19 16:00:36	ethereum above 2000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xad3d7a…
04-19 16:00:36	ethereum above 2000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x488339…
04-19 11:13:46	ethereum above 2000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xef4838…
04-17 04:42:14	ethereum above 2700 on april 17	No	BUY	919	100¢	$918	0x4c605b…
04-16 07:59:46	ethereum above 2700 on april 16	No	BUY	918	100¢	$918	0x7076fc…
04-14 21:29:06	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2700 on april 15	No	BUY	445	100¢	$445	0x48fe33…
04-14 21:28:32	ethereum above 2700 on april 15	No	BUY	472	100¢	$472	0xccc3b3…
04-14 01:21:27	ethereum above 2000 on april 14	Yes	BUY	917	100¢	$916	0x99f269…
04-12 21:49:27	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 13	No	BUY	916	100¢	$915	0x940766…
04-11 21:59:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 12	No	BUY	915	100¢	$914	0x45b65b…
04-10 21:45:25	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	914	100¢	$913	0xf6324f…
04-10 08:52:29	ethereum above 1800 on april 10	Yes	BUY	913	100¢	$912	0x8a6396…
04-07 22:53:21	ethereum above 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0x805e6d…
04-07 22:41:47	ethereum above 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	457	100¢	$456	0x53ce65…
04-06 21:45:13	ethereum above 2500 on april 7	No	BUY	912	100¢	$911	0x869f4d…
04-05 21:16:13	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	911	100¢	$910	0xd52d65…
04-04 20:04:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 5	No	BUY	910	100¢	$909	0x308566…
04-02 21:12:07	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on april 3	No	BUY	909	100¢	$908	0x23dd6b…
04-01 20:58:05	ethereum above 2500 on april 2	No	BUY	908	100¢	$907	0x060a0b…
04-01 11:40:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 1	No	BUY	907	100¢	$906	0x39c4da…
03-31 00:37:27	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x31f9e0…
03-31 00:36:55	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	855	100¢	$854	0x407abe…
03-30 07:55:08	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	Yes	SELL	605	0¢	$1	0x221c5e…
03-30 07:53:54	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	Yes	SELL	4,100	0¢	$4	0xb47dfe…
03-30 07:52:26	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	Yes	BUY	4,705	0¢	$5	0xdc74ba…
03-30 07:51:32	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xad4d05…
03-30 07:47:40	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	905	100¢	$905	0x026daf…
03-29 22:23:20	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 23 29	No	BUY	905	100¢	$904	0xe62959…
03-29 22:23:02	ethereum above 1600 on march 30	Yes	SELL	905	100¢	$904	0x4a09da…
03-29 21:47:24	ethereum above 1600 on march 30	Yes	BUY	905	100¢	$904	0xd64e06…
03-29 21:43:42	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 30	No	SELL	452	100¢	$452	0x1d998d…
03-29 21:43:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 30	No	SELL	452	100¢	$452	0xc242f1…
03-29 21:34:48	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 30	No	BUY	905	100¢	$904	0xffce4b…
03-28 21:06:42	ethereum above 2400 on march 29	No	BUY	343	100¢	$343	0xfd5457…
03-28 20:51:18	ethereum above 2400 on march 29	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x86baa8…
03-28 20:51:04	ethereum above 2400 on march 29	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0xf94859…
03-28 20:50:50	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 29	No	SELL	904	100¢	$903	0x58dfe9…
03-28 20:39:20	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 29	No	BUY	904	100¢	$903	0xc20473…
03-27 20:28:47	bitcoin above 74k on march 28	No	BUY	903	100¢	$902	0x29d87c…
03-26 21:17:37	ethereum above 2400 on march 27	No	BUY	902	100¢	$901	0xfeab29…
03-25 23:13:13	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on march 26	No	BUY	901	100¢	$900	0x17d191…
03-25 23:10:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 26	No	SELL	901	100¢	$900	0x940810…
03-25 22:47:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 26	No	BUY	901	100¢	$900	0x5fdfdb…
03-24 21:30:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 25	No	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0xc9384a…