Careless-Theater — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$246

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

245

Trades

397

lifetime

Volume

$228.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$575

Open exposure

$1.04K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-01 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% +$246

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1?	No	—	+1,039	$1,037	100¢	$1.0K	+$0	11-01 10:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 100k on january 20	14	$4.7K	13,044	13,044	+0	No	+$0	01-19 22:44
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	11	$2.5K	15,076	14,289	+787	Yes	+$1	01-19 12:01
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 26-November 1?	2	$2.1K	1,039	1,039	+0	open	—	11-01 10:26
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 30	3	$1.8K	905	905	+0	No	+$0	03-29 21:43
ethereum above 1600 on march 30	2	$1.8K	905	905	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 22:23
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 29	2	$1.8K	904	904	+0	No	+$0	03-28 20:50
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 26	2	$1.8K	901	901	+0	No	+$0	03-25 23:10
ethereum above 2400 on march 23	2	$1.8K	898	898	+0	No	+$0	03-23 08:52
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	2	$1.7K	868	868	+0	No	+$2	03-08 10:03
ethereum above 1500 on march 6	2	$1.7K	863	863	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 10:51
bitcoin above 56k on march 3	2	$1.7K	859	859	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 08:52
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$1.7K	850	850	+0	No	+$2	02-27 23:59
bitcoin above 90k on february 4	7	$1.7K	27,699	27,699	+0	No	+$0	02-04 06:14
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on february 27	2	$1.7K	848	848	+0	No	+$0	02-27 00:01
bitcoin above 92k on january 31	9	$1.7K	26,971	26,971	+0	No	$0	01-31 00:44
will ethereum reach 2500 february 9 15	2	$1.7K	846	846	+0	No	+$5	02-15 21:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 9	2	$1.7K	833	833	+0	No	+$0	02-09 09:32
bitcoin above 84k on february 7	2	$1.7K	826	826	+0	No	+$1	02-06 23:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	2	$1.6K	826	826	+0	No	+$2	02-06 00:03
bitcoin above 74k on february 23	2	$1.6K	815	815	+0	No	+$0	02-23 08:45
bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	3	$1.6K	811	811	+0	No	$0	07-01 14:33
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 21	3	$1.6K	808	808	+0	No	+$0	01-20 22:46
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	2	$1.6K	809	809	+0	No	+$0	01-21 02:21
will ethereum dip to 3000 january 12 18	2	$1.6K	806	806	+0	No	+$1	01-18 22:56
will ethereum reach 3900 january 12 18	2	$1.6K	805	805	+0	No	+$0	01-18 22:17
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 12 18	2	$1.6K	805	805	+0	No	+$1	01-18 06:11
ethereum above 2600 on march 24	2	$1.1K	899	236	+663	No	+$1	03-24 12:24
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1?	3	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	11-01 10:27
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	1	$1.0K	1,038	0	+1,038	No	+$8	10-24 16:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	1	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	Yes	+$1	10-22 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:27:19	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xd62495…
11-01 10:27:04	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb6416f…
11-01 10:26:52	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0xcb53fa…
11-01 10:26:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	1,039	100¢	$1,038	0xdbe7dd…
11-01 06:44:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	1,039	100¢	$1,038	0x12a4b8…
10-24 16:24:08	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,038	99¢	$1,030	0x5d9348…
10-22 06:34:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0xe635be…
10-21 04:16:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0x4d3a58…
10-20 22:47:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	666	100¢	$665	0xc7d33a…
10-19 14:31:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	611	100¢	$610	0xa7597f…
10-19 14:21:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	417	100¢	$417	0x9f51d1…
10-17 00:42:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3e06b8…
10-17 00:39:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0x5f0f37…
10-17 00:37:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0xa64793…
10-16 23:07:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	590	100¢	$588	0x72fe96…
10-13 05:29:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	1,024	100¢	$1,023	0xf23cdb…
10-12 01:30:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	No	BUY	1,023	100¢	$1,022	0x52e777…
10-11 14:35:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1,022	100¢	$1,021	0xa40491…
10-10 06:47:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0xac3ec7…
10-09 05:50:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,019	0xcf7936…
10-08 12:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	438	100¢	$438	0x601b00…
10-08 12:38:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	581	100¢	$580	0x2b82d5…
10-07 10:55:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1,018	100¢	$1,017	0x5c51e4…
10-05 08:45:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1,017	100¢	$1,016	0xe47e35…
10-04 10:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	1,016	100¢	$1,015	0x4725b1…
10-03 14:24:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	573	100¢	$572	0x5d341e…
10-03 14:20:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	442	100¢	$442	0xdfc734…
09-30 22:41:02	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	1,013	100¢	$1,012	0xe39373…
09-30 11:24:21	bitcoin above 76k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	948	100¢	$947	0xf5789e…
09-30 10:53:26	bitcoin above 76k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x5363cb…
09-29 11:47:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	326	100¢	$325	0xd1e6ff…
09-29 11:36:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	685	100¢	$685	0xd5f55c…
09-28 01:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,007	0xc3b78c…
09-27 04:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,008	0x6719ad…
09-26 01:15:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	1,008	100¢	$1,007	0x5dcbc0…
09-25 03:14:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x11a7c0…
09-25 03:10:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,004	0x9f5ff9…
09-24 05:20:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	1,006	100¢	$1,005	0xcbd2c6…
09-23 03:27:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	915	100¢	$914	0x0c5da7…
09-23 03:20:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xb1fe64…
09-22 02:56:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	878	100¢	$877	0xc95be5…
09-22 02:50:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x03f00c…
09-21 09:30:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0x9dee32…
09-21 08:31:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	709	100¢	$708	0x42a86f…
09-21 03:42:07	will bitcoin dip to 78k september 14 20 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x372a44…
09-21 03:41:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40f09d…
09-21 03:41:02	Will XRP reach $1.60 on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a0ea2…
09-21 03:40:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20?	No	BUY	657	100¢	$657	0x7975ae…
09-20 00:17:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xd3851a…
09-19 09:49:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0xda8cd0…
09-19 09:36:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	944	100¢	$943	0x05ba83…
09-18 08:43:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	681	100¢	$680	0x1e5e94…
09-18 07:32:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	316	100¢	$316	0x4f704c…
09-16 13:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	996	100¢	$995	0xdb7c0e…
09-15 04:14:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xd97d67…
09-15 04:14:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd2cc76…
09-15 04:14:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x4941cd…
09-01 13:58:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	877	100¢	$876	0xe0c34c…
08-31 00:06:00	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	992	100¢	$990	0x7c7569…
08-29 08:28:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x203bb9…
08-29 08:26:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x08b7aa…
08-29 08:24:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xd2de44…
08-29 08:24:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xcb9f39…
08-28 08:05:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$502	0xe663cd…
08-28 08:05:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	488	100¢	$487	0xdfade0…
08-27 16:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	823	100¢	$822	0xe81dfa…
08-27 16:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x08322b…
08-22 11:50:12	bitcoin above 54k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	988	100¢	$987	0xe7c2ee…
08-21 09:00:42	bitcoin above 62k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	987	100¢	$986	0x4bd5ec…
08-07 07:57:00	bitcoin above 52k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	986	100¢	$985	0x4cc74a…
08-06 09:16:27	bitcoin above 54k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	876	100¢	$875	0x14db82…
08-06 08:52:42	bitcoin above 54k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x8e1e06…
08-04 21:01:24	bitcoin above 54k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	984	100¢	$983	0xe108f7…
08-03 20:00:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4?	No	BUY	983	100¢	$982	0xb23cd6…
08-01 09:41:09	ethereum above 1600 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	982	100¢	$981	0x78c179…
07-31 16:25:06	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	981	100¢	$980	0xb5631e…
07-29 20:54:41	ethereum above 2200 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	956	100¢	$955	0xd59b4b…
07-29 20:46:27	ethereum above 2200 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x543132…
07-29 20:42:00	ethereum above 2200 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc671f8…
07-28 02:34:48	bitcoin above 56k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xe8b75d…
07-28 02:00:33	bitcoin above 56k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	760	100¢	$759	0x474e5d…
07-26 17:18:03	ethereum above 2200 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	953	100¢	$952	0xcd4d5d…
07-26 15:43:36	ethereum above 2200 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x97e9cc…
07-24 11:07:06	bitcoin above 54k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0x944a39…
07-24 10:52:07	bitcoin above 54k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	710	100¢	$709	0x5fca41…
07-19 04:30:10	bitcoin above 52k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	921	100¢	$920	0xd3daec…
07-16 20:12:34	xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x81e26c…
07-16 20:08:53	Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 20?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xeef5ac…
07-16 20:07:16	solana above 90 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	763	100¢	$762	0x6f1af7…
07-16 09:09:02	ethereum above 2100 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	974	100¢	$973	0x3ff250…
07-14 21:24:28	ethereum above 1500 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	973	100¢	$972	0x27db6a…
07-14 04:00:40	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	972	100¢	$971	0xe78876…
07-10 08:58:23	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	347	100¢	$346	0xdf8aea…
07-10 04:02:35	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x385d56…
07-10 02:55:46	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x335cdd…
07-10 02:55:41	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe68420…
07-10 02:55:40	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8b8a89…
07-10 02:55:38	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x760a39…
07-10 02:54:38	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4a9bc5…
07-10 02:54:38	ethereum above 2000 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x401e55…