Alarming-Setback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

989

lifetime

Volume

$983

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-24 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$1

Crypto

40% 100% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-14 02:19
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 54 and 56	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 21:08
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 8 2026 23corhigher	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 14:50
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by at least 35	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 21:08
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be at least 56	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 21:08
highest temperature in warsaw on april 8 2026 11corhigher	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 14:50
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 3?	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 03:59
eth updown 15m 1770169500	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-04 01:59
highest temperature in milan on april 8 2026 26c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 14:50
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1015	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-14 02:19
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 54 55f	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 14:50
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 27c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 14:50
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the first round by at least 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 21:08
highest temperature in munich on april 8 2026 18c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 14:50
highest temperature in miami on april 8 2026 82 83f	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 14:50
will doordash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in q4 2025	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-14 01:51
highest temperature in miami on april 8 2026 74 75f	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 14:50
will doordash report 900 million or more total orders in q4 2025	4	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-14 02:19
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	4	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	02-14 02:19
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 76 77f	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-20 11:59
highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 60 61f	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-20 11:59
eth updown 15m 1770188400	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	02-04 07:14
xrp updown 15m 1770705900	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-10 06:59
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 22c	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-08 11:59
bitcoin above 71400 on april 9 2026 12am et	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-09 03:59
ethereum up or down february 2 6pm et	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-02 23:59
eth updown 15m 1770629400	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-09 09:44
sol updown 15m 1769866200	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-31 13:44
ethereum up or down february 9 7pm et	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-10 00:59
eth updown 15m 1770102000	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-03 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 00:14:16	cs2 dfxpee alz 2026 06 23	Alzon	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4e1997…
06-02 15:59:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e4213…
06-01 22:59:37	Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f943c…
06-01 15:59:20	Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)	Bulgaria	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1213d1…
06-01 15:59:18	Spread: Bulgaria (-2.5)	Montenegro	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x96eecd…
05-30 23:59:37	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4df053…
05-30 16:59:28	Dota 2: unknow vs BALU - Game 1 Winner	BALU	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x36b81d…
05-28 18:44:33	Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x64a23a…
05-28 15:59:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd42ccd…
05-28 15:59:44	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x58d5f9…
05-28 03:59:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x623a31…
05-26 18:44:43	Spread: Nice (-2.5)	Saint-Etienne	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x00af4c…
05-26 15:59:53	Morocco vs. Burundi: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b8113…
05-24 23:59:25	Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08bec4…
05-23 19:24:53	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs ONIC - Game 2 Winner	ONIC	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34c51b…
05-23 18:59:37	Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x92b1da…
05-23 18:59:37	Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x921ebc…
05-23 18:59:37	Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x691d00…
05-23 18:59:36	Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb6abd9…
05-19 19:14:42	Joao Pedro: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdfefbf…
05-19 19:14:42	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1fa668…
05-19 18:29:27	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xba05d0…
05-19 18:29:27	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a0940…
05-19 15:59:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4a7b0…
05-18 18:59:24	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x16e735…
05-18 17:29:18	Spread: FCSB (-2.5)	FC Hermannstadt	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06ed95…
05-18 15:59:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b2f25…
05-17 22:29:16	Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)	CR Flamengo	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x471575…
05-17 18:59:17	Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)	Lille OSC	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd8e646…
05-17 18:59:17	Spread: FC Metz (-1.5)	OGC Nice	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x996e70…
05-17 16:59:34	Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeb254a…
05-17 16:59:23	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x89b3b2…
05-17 16:59:21	Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x410e2e…
05-17 14:59:24	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d6e80…
05-17 12:59:29	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbbcd45…
05-17 11:29:29	Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf9ea4…
05-17 11:29:27	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d62b7…
05-16 23:29:23	Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x432b2c…
05-16 16:29:16	Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc591b4…
05-16 14:29:20	Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe4b81b…
05-16 13:59:28	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x02f4be…
05-16 13:29:31	Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9653d…
05-16 13:29:31	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x994e7d…
05-13 18:59:41	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa7a30b…
05-13 16:59:56	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Athletic Club	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3c4a6b…
05-13 16:59:56	Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x311803…
05-13 16:59:56	Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0f92e5…
05-13 10:29:32	Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)	FC Anyang	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f47bd…
05-13 09:59:14	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)	FC Machida Zelvia	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa09350…
05-12 17:59:51	Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x054067…
05-12 16:59:46	Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x044cef…
05-12 16:49:35	Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)	Al Kholood Saudi Club	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf0d1bf…
05-12 10:29:35	Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)	FC Seoul	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9d8c8a…
05-11 17:59:50	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b8d15…
05-11 14:59:16	Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5)	FC Hermannstadt	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x47eb5f…
05-10 18:59:26	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x75de5d…
05-10 12:59:49	Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc2c355…
05-10 12:59:49	Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9353f1…
05-10 10:29:47	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x31e1eb…
05-09 13:59:47	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8975ab…
05-09 13:29:15	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb21c16…
05-09 12:59:37	Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	Cagliari Calcio	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x20142b…
05-09 11:29:17	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeadc7c…
05-08 18:44:21	Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	Racing Club de Lens	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b36b4…
05-08 03:59:48	Will Solana dip to $85 on May 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x505e84…
05-07 18:59:27	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbee27f…
05-07 18:59:26	Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd96f7b…
05-06 18:59:18	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x453f06…
05-06 15:59:17	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x412701…
05-06 11:34:44	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	Beijing Guoan FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x828878…
05-06 10:59:36	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	Wuhan San Zhen FC	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7db0ac…
05-06 09:59:46	Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)	Kashiwa Reysol	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa1e303…
05-06 00:59:34	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd07004…
05-05 18:59:22	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ca4f4…
05-05 09:59:38	Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)	FC Seoul	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x40279a…
05-04 18:59:32	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xacdae2…
05-04 18:59:32	Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3c59c4…
05-04 16:29:44	Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9f3d52…
05-04 16:00:02	Spread: HUS Agadir (-2.5)	OC Safi	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa97bb7…
05-04 13:59:48	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5fe3f…
05-04 13:59:48	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x217a9f…
05-04 03:59:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe849ff…
05-04 03:59:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1723ac…
05-03 17:29:18	Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc92a9a…
05-03 14:14:24	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	Getafe CF	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb76df…
05-03 13:29:20	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5)	1. FSV Mainz 05	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc57400…
05-03 11:59:34	Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x74edd7…
05-02 23:59:44	Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x764d53…
05-02 18:59:40	Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x217d3f…
05-02 13:59:44	Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)	Brentford FC	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c4403…
05-01 18:44:26	Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)	US Lecce	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b370a…
05-01 14:00:22	Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb9262…
05-01 10:59:50	Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b33cd…
05-01 03:59:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc8b1e…
04-29 23:59:56	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbffbe8…
04-29 23:59:56	Major solar storm by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5edf9f…
04-29 18:59:54	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xed14d1…
04-28 23:59:50	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa7f41b…
04-27 23:59:24	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbc03fb…
04-27 23:59:24	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x412612…