Conscious-Salesman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$338

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved

985

Trades

1,126

lifetime

Volume

$5.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-16 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

75% 27% -$375

Crypto

21% 34% -$81

Sports

4% 76% +$110

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 22c	2	$75	74	71	+3	Yes	+$58	04-15 06:11
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 18c	2	$70	83	80	+4	Yes	+$54	04-15 06:15
highest temperature in istanbul on april 13 2026 12c	2	$68	84	80	+4	Yes	+$52	04-13 11:13
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	2	$56	128	126	+2	Yes	-$42	04-19 14:57
highest temperature in istanbul on april 14 2026 12c	2	$54	55	53	+2	No	+$34	04-14 11:57
highest temperature in ankara on april 17 2026 20c	2	$53	45	43	+2	Yes	+$35	04-17 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:10 UTC	3	$52	59	26	+33	Down	+$24	04-17 16:12
highest temperature in ankara on april 12 2026 8c	2	$51	78	74	+4	Yes	+$44	04-12 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:00 UTC	4	$40	39	38	+1	Up	+$1	04-17 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:30 UTC	4	$40	40	39	+1	Up	$0	04-17 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:20 UTC	4	$39	43	31	+11	Down	+$9	04-17 15:23
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 12c	2	$36	34	33	+1	Yes	+$18	04-15 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:40 UTC	4	$36	44	42	+2	Down	-$3	04-17 15:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:15 UTC	4	$36	46	44	+2	Up	-$4	04-17 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:25 UTC	4	$35	36	35	+1	Down	-$4	04-17 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:35 UTC	3	$35	41	15	+25	Down	-$5	04-17 15:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	2	$34	30	29	+1	Yes	+$25	04-05 09:14
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 9 2026 21c	2	$31	30	29	+1	Yes	+$12	04-09 17:26
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	1	$30	77	0	+77	Yes	+$47	04-19 16:51
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	1	$30	37	0	+37	Yes	+$7	04-21 19:33
highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 17c	2	$28	26	25	+1	Yes	+$9	04-14 12:09
highest temperature in madrid on april 9 2026 26c	2	$27	26	26	+1	Yes	+$8	04-09 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:00 UTC	4	$24	25	23	+1	Down	+$4	04-17 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:15 UTC	2	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$17	04-18 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:05 UTC	4	$21	26	25	+1	Up	+$1	04-17 15:09
epl cry wes 2026 04 20 btts	1	$20	35	0	+35	No	-$20	04-20 18:21
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	2	$20	92	0	+92	No	-$20	04-29 19:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 20	1	$20	42	0	+42	Yes	+$22	04-19 20:35
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 13 2026 25c	3	$20	66	0	+66	Yes	-$20	04-13 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:35 UTC	3	$18	20	11	+9	Up	-$1	04-17 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 18:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5684bc…
05-16 18:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xab7adc…
05-16 18:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4bc7bd…
05-16 18:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x09afba…
05-16 18:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeea01a…
05-16 18:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x228edf…
05-16 18:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x510c8a…
05-16 18:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x1a8369…
05-16 18:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa2c392…
05-16 18:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x412840…
05-16 18:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x549285…
05-16 18:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x838fd8…
05-16 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x79bfa1…
05-16 18:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x55e835…
05-16 18:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5b98e6…
05-16 18:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6d2e84…
05-16 18:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa1e2b4…
05-16 10:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x560818…
05-16 10:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7996e4…
05-16 10:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1cc36c…
05-16 10:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbcaded…
05-16 10:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x18eae3…
05-16 10:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf14df3…
05-16 10:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9ce199…
05-16 10:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1792a5…
05-16 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x92e6df…
05-03 12:54:26	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xeb133e…
05-01 08:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x53aed7…
05-01 08:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x884866…
04-30 05:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa76fd3…
04-29 19:47:36	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa6bbce…
04-29 19:36:28	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x6301f7…
04-29 17:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe7c7ff…
04-29 16:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x9e707b…
04-29 16:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7a9fb0…
04-29 16:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xe008be…
04-29 16:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd706bb…
04-28 22:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x4f6395…
04-28 22:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xba4b79…
04-28 21:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	362	1¢	$5	0x73665a…
04-28 21:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x4966d4…
04-28 21:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0xe7791f…
04-28 21:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa9c240…
04-28 21:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x9533d4…
04-28 21:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x1fb134…
04-28 21:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x48540f…
04-28 21:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x20117a…
04-28 21:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x7e0cd3…
04-28 21:39:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9394d7…
04-28 21:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xeaf517…
04-28 21:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xce18d4…
04-28 21:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xf729b7…
04-28 21:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x103d4d…
04-28 21:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc90000…
04-28 21:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x53926a…
04-28 21:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd880cd…
04-28 21:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x5fed42…
04-28 21:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	166	3¢	$5	0x2afc52…
04-28 21:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6a2467…
04-28 21:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x761432…
04-28 21:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe1917e…
04-28 21:09:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x25bdbd…
04-28 21:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb39963…
04-28 21:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x2d8691…
04-28 21:00:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc2eb3b…
04-28 20:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x49837b…
04-28 20:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x047b9b…
04-28 20:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x9013aa…
04-28 20:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x40dfb6…
04-28 20:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x7c7e19…
04-28 20:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x18d20a…
04-27 19:30:04	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xa26d75…
04-27 15:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd00e85…
04-27 15:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2fcc3b…
04-27 15:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x768d0d…
04-27 15:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x465b18…
04-27 15:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x570ee9…
04-27 15:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xaadc8d…
04-27 15:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xd53428…
04-27 15:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0bdf3f…
04-27 15:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xea55e8…
04-27 15:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x67a30a…
04-27 15:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe88661…
04-27 15:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9d8257…
04-27 15:03:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbf99b8…
04-27 15:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0xdd9354…
04-27 14:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3e9453…
04-27 14:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xfbf1f5…
04-27 14:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x9fcceb…
04-27 14:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xaeef74…
04-27 14:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb01c9b…
04-27 14:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3654d6…
04-27 14:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x68e6f8…
04-27 14:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x87c3b4…
04-27 14:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x05ef5d…
04-27 14:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb6b4f9…
04-27 14:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xbfaa1e…
04-27 14:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	223	2¢	$5	0x748532…
04-27 14:28:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	262	1¢	$3	0x4390db…
04-27 14:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x58de99…