Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

Trades

24,686

lifetime

Volume

$437.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-04 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

48% 50% $-15

Other

44% 0% $-8

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1254 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	239	$11.7K	17,843	4,040	+13,803	open	—	02-01 02:01
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	207	$8.5K	13,526	2,123	+11,403	open	—	01-23 19:39
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	472	$8.3K	10,390	7,163	+3,227	open	—	01-31 05:18
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	299	$7.9K	10,155	4,579	+5,576	open	—	01-30 12:02
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	133	$7.8K	9,710	9,710	+0	open	—	03-19 01:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	180	$7.7K	8,127	6,120	+2,006	open	—	02-28 15:51
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	227	$7.0K	9,552	4,297	+5,255	open	—	02-08 07:49
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 540 559	220	$6.7K	10,012	2,354	+7,658	open	—	01-19 22:56
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	253	$6.7K	10,530	2,466	+8,065	open	—	01-30 05:43
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	191	$6.6K	8,945	2,933	+6,012	open	—	01-31 17:19
another us government shutdown by february 14	185	$6.6K	5,698	5,698	+0	open	—	02-14 04:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	247	$6.4K	6,909	6,544	+365	open	—	02-06 14:08
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	134	$6.4K	9,771	2,042	+7,730	open	—	02-01 03:03
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	151	$5.8K	5,649	5,649	+0	open	—	03-20 06:13
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	170	$5.7K	5,923	5,921	+2	open	—	03-20 06:20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	185	$5.5K	7,710	3,553	+4,157	open	—	02-12 20:23
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	116	$5.3K	8,138	1,814	+6,324	open	—	01-19 06:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	163	$5.0K	6,854	3,872	+2,982	open	—	02-28 15:22
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	338	$5.0K	8,584	1,869	+6,715	open	—	01-20 16:42
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	313	$4.9K	7,287	2,983	+4,305	open	—	01-29 23:01
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	39	$4.5K	8,940	0	+8,940	open	—	01-16 01:11
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	250	$4.4K	7,612	1,361	+6,251	open	—	01-20 16:04
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	123	$4.4K	4,377	4,377	+0	open	—	03-19 13:31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	46	$4.3K	7,820	598	+7,222	open	—	01-21 15:09
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	89	$4.2K	5,496	1,550	+3,946	open	—	01-21 14:28
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	372	$4.2K	8,071	1,798	+6,274	open	—	01-21 20:02
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	56	$4.1K	6,929	1,371	+5,558	open	—	01-18 07:41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	76	$4.1K	4,722	2,958	+1,764	open	—	02-28 14:55
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	1,095	$4.1K	8,171	1,414	+6,758	open	—	01-20 16:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	274	$4.0K	5,346	3,493	+1,852	open	—	01-30 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xda5c94…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xcd5be6…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xba4a6b…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x9244ac…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x71251f…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x633993…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x515bf7…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x15e8fe…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0x07e32c…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xf03b3b…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xeb79a4…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x5924f5…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x49888c…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x233b7d…
05-04 19:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x701fe2…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe1bd61…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xd80f65…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xd6e913…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xcbc00d…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x95ce24…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x92bdbc…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x86c731…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x566dcf…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x433df0…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x350678…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x09b772…
05-04 19:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdcf1d0…
05-04 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7c5c0a…
05-04 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x59dd48…
05-04 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x19ff14…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xc655fb…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbfeace…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0xb9b7c5…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2dc0a0…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x13121f…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xd7f5b0…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0xd083d1…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc98d8b…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc729da…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xc3dc9b…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa7193e…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xa0d24c…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x62464f…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x411fb7…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x0844d2…
05-04 19:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0xb17690…
05-04 19:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xb89adc…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xfeff72…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xea1c42…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xea072a…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xb9197a…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xab37d4…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x89362c…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0x6f80a0…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x6538c6…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x3715cf…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x329dce…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x1cca0f…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x1c70ec…
05-04 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x965fff…
05-04 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	7¢	$4	0x311c4e…
05-04 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x0c2fc8…
05-04 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	7¢	$3	0x07bdd5…
05-04 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xcd5b0d…
05-04 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xb0a4f5…
05-04 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xac0c78…
05-04 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x8aa4fe…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xecedd8…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xb2c68b…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0xa2f2a3…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa295dd…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x6f022c…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x6978da…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x65ba12…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x57c99f…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x11ec25…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x07a740…
05-04 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0xc4602e…
05-04 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x7d2d91…
05-04 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x68077e…
05-04 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0x320cf8…
05-04 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0xfc5748…
05-04 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x67c77d…
05-04 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x465128…
05-04 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc461cc…
05-04 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xac8ec8…
05-04 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	125	7¢	$9	0xa3c497…
05-04 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x53e67a…
05-04 18:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x9e0075…
05-04 18:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x02c5dd…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xebfe4a…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xeb0d6e…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdbaf53…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xaacb01…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7bc569…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x764d49…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x2f32a1…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	106	7¢	$7	0x134300…
04-11 21:26:11	btc updown 15m 1775942100	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x59f111…
04-11 21:26:09	btc updown 15m 1775942100	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x35cc61…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	669	$974	2,103	05-04 19:14
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	519	$1.44M	132,232	05-04 11:13
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	509	$785.3K	70,491	03-29 20:39
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	477	$258.4K	2,958	05-13 14:56
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	466	$2.91M	64,757	05-13 18:03
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	460	$804.8K	129,600	04-08 17:04
milize 0x076c…4e7b	456	$4.25M	66,802	05-06 08:31
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	454	$82.9K	20,288	05-11 22:11