Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.39K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

22.0%

Resolved

1,372

Trades

24,693

lifetime

Volume

$437.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Politics

48% 23% -$1,935

Other

44% 22% -$3,517

Crypto

4% 61% -$673

Sports

3% 41% -$214

Tech

1% 10% -$38

Pop-Culture

0% 15% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-13	-$4	61¢	$-8	-$4	06-29 01:18
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	-64	-$3	2¢	$-1	+$2	06-29 01:19
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	-19	-$2	2¢	$-0	+$2	06-29 01:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	239	$11.7K	17,843	4,040	+13,803	No	-$92	02-01 02:01
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	207	$8.5K	13,526	2,123	+11,403	No	-$74	01-23 19:39
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	472	$8.3K	10,390	7,163	+3,227	Yes	-$269	01-31 05:18
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	299	$7.9K	10,155	4,579	+5,576	No	-$60	01-30 12:02
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	133	$7.8K	9,710	9,710	+0	Yes	-$74	03-19 01:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	180	$7.7K	8,127	6,120	+2,006	Yes	-$30	02-28 15:51
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	227	$7.0K	9,552	4,297	+5,255	Yes	-$45	02-08 07:49
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 540 559	220	$6.7K	10,012	2,354	+7,658	No	+$16	01-19 22:56
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	253	$6.7K	10,530	2,466	+8,065	Yes	+$84	01-30 05:43
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	191	$6.6K	8,945	2,933	+6,012	No	-$80	01-31 17:19
another us government shutdown by february 14	185	$6.6K	5,698	5,698	+0	No	-$30	02-14 04:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	247	$6.4K	6,909	6,544	+365	Yes	-$23	02-06 14:08
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	134	$6.4K	9,771	2,042	+7,730	No	-$39	02-01 03:03
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	151	$5.8K	5,649	5,649	+0	Yes	-$62	03-20 06:13
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	170	$5.7K	5,923	5,921	+2	No	-$26	03-20 06:20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	185	$5.5K	7,710	3,553	+4,157	Yes	+$91	02-12 20:23
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	116	$5.3K	8,138	1,814	+6,324	Yes	+$7	01-19 06:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	163	$5.0K	6,854	3,872	+2,982	No	-$30	02-28 15:22
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	338	$5.0K	8,584	1,869	+6,715	No	-$62	01-20 16:42
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	313	$4.9K	7,287	2,983	+4,305	No	-$41	01-29 23:01
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	39	$4.5K	8,940	0	+8,940	Yes	-$23	01-16 01:11
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	250	$4.4K	7,612	1,361	+6,251	Yes	-$187	01-20 16:04
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	123	$4.4K	4,377	4,377	+0	No	-$31	03-19 13:31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	46	$4.3K	7,820	598	+7,222	No	-$60	01-21 15:09
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	89	$4.2K	5,496	1,550	+3,946	No	+$9	01-21 14:28
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	372	$4.2K	8,071	1,798	+6,274	Yes	+$30	01-21 20:02
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	56	$4.1K	6,929	1,371	+5,558	No	-$218	01-18 07:41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	76	$4.1K	4,722	2,958	+1,764	Yes	-$236	02-28 14:55
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	1,095	$4.1K	8,171	1,414	+6,758	No	-$116	01-20 16:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	274	$4.0K	5,346	3,493	+1,852	Yes	-$66	01-30 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 01:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2ce97a…
06-29 01:27:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x443e77…
06-29 01:19:25	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xfbc056…
06-29 01:19:16	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	SELL	64	5¢	$3	0x9b5882…
06-29 01:19:07	Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x50d7f8…
06-29 01:18:55	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xe5fb03…
06-29 01:18:46	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe447c0…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xda5c94…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xcd5be6…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xba4a6b…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x9244ac…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x71251f…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x633993…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x515bf7…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x15e8fe…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0x07e32c…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xf03b3b…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xeb79a4…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x5924f5…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x49888c…
05-04 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x233b7d…
05-04 19:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x701fe2…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe1bd61…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xd80f65…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xd6e913…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xcbc00d…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x95ce24…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x92bdbc…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x86c731…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x566dcf…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x433df0…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x350678…
05-04 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x09b772…
05-04 19:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdcf1d0…
05-04 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7c5c0a…
05-04 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x59dd48…
05-04 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x19ff14…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xc655fb…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbfeace…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0xb9b7c5…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2dc0a0…
05-04 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x13121f…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xd7f5b0…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0xd083d1…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc98d8b…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc729da…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xc3dc9b…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa7193e…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xa0d24c…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x62464f…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x411fb7…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x0844d2…
05-04 19:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0xb17690…
05-04 19:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xb89adc…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xfeff72…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xea1c42…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xea072a…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xb9197a…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xab37d4…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x89362c…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0x6f80a0…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x6538c6…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x3715cf…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x329dce…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x1cca0f…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x1c70ec…
05-04 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x965fff…
05-04 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	7¢	$4	0x311c4e…
05-04 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x0c2fc8…
05-04 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	7¢	$3	0x07bdd5…
05-04 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xcd5b0d…
05-04 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xb0a4f5…
05-04 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xac0c78…
05-04 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x8aa4fe…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xecedd8…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xb2c68b…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0xa2f2a3…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa295dd…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x6f022c…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x6978da…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x65ba12…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x57c99f…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x11ec25…
05-04 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x07a740…
05-04 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0xc4602e…
05-04 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x7d2d91…
05-04 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x68077e…
05-04 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0x320cf8…
05-04 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0xfc5748…
05-04 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x67c77d…
05-04 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x465128…
05-04 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc461cc…
05-04 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xac8ec8…
05-04 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	125	7¢	$9	0xa3c497…
05-04 18:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x53e67a…
05-04 18:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x9e0075…
05-04 18:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x02c5dd…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xebfe4a…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xeb0d6e…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdbaf53…