Essential-Emergence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$328

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

102

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-23 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 65% +$280

Other

2% 50% +$46

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 22:15 UTC	2	$510	271	269	+2	Down	+$29	04-21 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 22:35 UTC	1	$300	397	0	+397	Up	+$97	04-21 22:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 22:05 UTC	2	$292	816	764	+52	Down	+$92	04-21 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 22:20 UTC	1	$200	253	0	+253	Up	+$53	04-21 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 01:50 UTC	2	$141	120	116	+5	Down	+$33	04-22 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	13	$139	149	129	+20	Up	-$13	07-01 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 22:10 UTC	1	$100	133	0	+133	Up	+$33	04-21 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	12	$89	139	48	+91	Down	-$11	05-21 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:55 UTC	1	$85	117	0	+117	Up	+$31	04-21 21:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:00 UTC	1	$83	136	0	+136	Down	-$83	04-22 02:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:50 UTC	1	$80	86	0	+86	Up	+$5	04-21 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 01:25 UTC	3	$78	61	37	+23	Down	-$3	04-22 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:05 UTC	2	$73	43	42	+1	Down	+$11	04-21 21:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:45 UTC	1	$72	81	0	+81	Up	+$9	04-21 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:55 UTC	3	$71	38	38	+0	Down	+$5	07-01 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:40 UTC	1	$62	73	0	+73	Down	+$11	04-21 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:00 UTC	4	$55	39	38	+1	Down	+$9	04-21 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 22:00 UTC	1	$55	70	0	+70	Down	+$15	04-21 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:35 UTC	1	$52	63	0	+63	Up	+$11	04-21 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:25 UTC	1	$52	52	0	+52	Down	+$1	04-21 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:10 UTC	2	$52	78	0	+78	Up	-$49	07-01 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 22:25 UTC	1	$50	74	0	+74	Up	+$24	04-21 22:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:20 UTC	1	$47	52	0	+52	Up	+$5	04-21 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:45 UTC	1	$45	50	0	+50	Down	+$5	07-01 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	7	$42	111	105	+6	Down	-$2	05-21 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:10 UTC	1	$42	48	0	+48	Down	+$6	04-21 21:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 01:30 UTC	1	$37	49	0	+49	Up	+$12	04-22 01:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC	2	$35	47	0	+47	Down	+$12	07-01 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 00:20 UTC	4	$26	33	31	+2	Up	+$5	04-20 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Up	-$25	05-21 00:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 21:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xdd88df…
10-23 21:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xe42d09…
10-23 21:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf5bbc0…
10-23 21:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7bc59d…
10-23 21:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x408e25…
10-23 21:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x11aa9c…
10-23 21:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4bf8a7…
10-23 21:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb88821…
10-23 21:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x8fc5a9…
10-23 21:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4b37eb…
10-10 21:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x7de816…
10-10 21:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf1652c…
10-10 21:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x9f7493…
10-10 01:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7cba47…
10-10 01:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x241927…
10-10 01:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x800478…
10-10 01:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x15a79e…
10-10 01:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd297be…
10-09 07:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x1aab40…
10-09 06:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x663dfb…
10-09 06:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xaf82c8…
10-09 06:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xe1d6a4…
07-02 02:47:50	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5e0cd0…
07-01 20:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xaae6b4…
07-01 20:11:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x9a0419…
07-01 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xedb975…
07-01 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xd4ca26…
07-01 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xd43075…
07-01 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xb4c574…
07-01 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x7fb9dc…
07-01 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x438f87…
07-01 20:08:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xaba7ab…
07-01 20:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x232628…
07-01 20:07:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x66c21f…
07-01 20:07:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcc6e22…
07-01 20:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	73	12¢	$9	0xecf0c6…
07-01 20:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xedbe35…
07-01 20:06:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x7b8410…
07-01 20:01:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0x3035e9…
07-01 20:00:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xddcb48…
07-01 19:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xf27c0b…
07-01 19:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x89cccd…
07-01 19:55:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x608721…
07-01 19:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xa2d117…
07-01 19:52:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc10812…
07-01 19:52:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x1f2532…
07-01 19:51:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9720e3…
07-01 19:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x7ab3d4…
07-01 19:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x188bf5…
07-01 19:42:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$6	0x912cc6…
07-01 19:41:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x625212…
07-01 19:37:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x45dcfd…
07-01 19:32:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7bd827…
06-30 12:13:19	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	47	44¢	$21	0x450b73…
06-18 15:06:23	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x97838c…
06-18 15:05:47	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	141	4¢	$6	0xd95d5e…
06-16 00:31:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9fe779…
06-16 00:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa33a22…
06-16 00:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcbc35a…
06-16 00:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x60501d…
06-16 00:30:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x88e7b6…
06-16 00:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe8c14d…
06-16 00:30:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5aa237…
06-16 00:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe97df2…
06-16 00:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x45a06e…
06-16 00:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x10fa4b…
06-16 00:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbadc58…
06-16 00:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x83d204…
06-16 00:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x39d925…
06-16 00:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2c1292…
06-16 00:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xe19ab7…
06-16 00:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1d079a…
06-16 00:27:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x99d716…
06-16 00:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1e0571…
06-16 00:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc0dded…
06-16 00:27:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb5aed1…
06-16 00:27:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x144ac3…
06-16 00:27:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x105668…
06-16 00:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd16937…
06-16 00:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x93a1e6…
06-16 00:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x14a5b1…
06-16 00:22:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e3876…
06-16 00:22:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x8e5d60…
06-16 00:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x191ee1…
06-16 00:21:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6a718a…
06-16 00:19:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x636bd6…
06-16 00:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfc9110…
06-16 00:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x941b90…
06-15 23:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xea3cb6…
06-15 23:33:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xeaac1d…
06-15 23:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0xba2916…
06-15 23:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x93ba0b…
06-15 23:32:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc0228e…
06-15 23:26:34	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x05c2d4…
06-15 23:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x351cf5…
06-15 23:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0bdc8f…
06-15 19:09:10	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb21c7e…
05-26 17:59:35	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xae3be7…
05-26 17:58:50	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc28996…
05-26 17:58:15	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe1e421…