Cautious-Quince — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$613

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$413.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$955

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-15 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

26% 100% +$958

Sports

23% 73% $-1,571

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$26.1K	14,129	14,129	+0	open	—	06-01 02:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$25.0K	25,912	0	+25,912	No	+$912	05-10 13:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	6	$13.0K	13,760	0	+13,760	open	—	05-22 17:36
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$10.0K	5,040	5,040	+0	open	—	06-17 21:57
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$10.0K	10,753	0	+10,753	open	—	07-04 19:36
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$10.0K	12,287	0	+12,287	open	—	07-07 16:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$10.0K	10,371	0	+10,371	open	—	05-26 19:35
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	2	$8.0K	8,408	0	+8,408	open	—	06-29 18:58
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	2	$7.0K	8,272	0	+8,272	open	—	07-15 20:58
Pistons vs. Magic	8	$6.9K	4,786	4,750	+36	open	—	04-25 20:08
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$5.0K	5,698	0	+5,698	open	—	07-12 01:14
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$5.0K	6,005	0	+6,005	open	—	06-29 21:58
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	1	$5.0K	5,172	0	+5,172	open	—	06-06 23:02
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	1	$5.0K	5,030	0	+5,030	open	—	06-20 02:10
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$5.0K	6,944	0	+6,944	open	—	07-04 16:24
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$5.0K	5,682	0	+5,682	open	—	07-01 14:23
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$4.0K	6,780	0	+6,780	open	—	06-29 23:54
wta sabalen kostovi 2026 06 29	2	$4.0K	4,076	0	+4,076	open	—	06-29 16:54
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-02 04:29
Pistons vs. Magic	3	$3.3K	1,919	1,519	+400	open	—	05-02 02:41
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	2	$3.1K	1,899	1,899	+0	open	—	07-01 20:59
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	5	$3.1K	1,576	1,575	+1	open	—	03-19 21:19
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	4	$3.0K	3,451	532	+2,919	open	—	06-01 22:59
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	1	$3.0K	3,261	0	+3,261	open	—	07-03 15:02
nhl las car 2026 06 11	2	$3.0K	3,125	0	+3,125	open	—	06-12 02:51
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 8pt5	2	$3.0K	3,144	0	+3,144	open	—	06-18 23:27
cbb wrght vir 2026 03 20	2	$2.9K	1,489	1,488	+1	open	—	03-20 20:04
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	1	$2.8K	3,045	0	+3,045	open	—	01-06 17:50
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	5	$2.7K	2,986	1,611	+1,375	open	—	05-02 02:18
nba nop nyk 2026 03 24	3	$2.7K	1,411	1,411	+0	open	—	03-25 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 20:58:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2,392	84¢	$2,000	0x9e2d78…
07-15 19:25:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	1,213	71¢	$867	0xc6b35b…
07-15 19:18:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5,880	85¢	$5,000	0x9135e1…
07-15 18:33:55	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	1,213	82¢	$1,000	0x528b24…
07-14 20:44:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	SELL	667	95¢	$633	0x275663…
07-14 19:55:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	1,762	36¢	$630	0x8d7767…
07-14 17:59:59	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	1,762	57¢	$1,000	0x93c154…
07-14 17:58:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	BUY	667	75¢	$500	0x73f8e7…
07-12 01:14:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5,698	88¢	$5,000	0xe57dcb…
07-11 23:30:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	2,241	89¢	$2,000	0x6f089e…
07-07 21:09:16	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2,299	87¢	$2,000	0xe4e2b8…
07-07 16:42:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2,985	67¢	$2,000	0xb1d11d…
07-07 15:04:32	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	9,302	86¢	$8,000	0xb17a0a…
07-05 19:49:29	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 shots harry kane gte2	Yes	BUY	2,500	80¢	$2,000	0xb21fc4…
07-05 15:27:58	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 shots erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	2,341	85¢	$2,000	0xbc0699…
07-05 10:14:43	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0x2e971c…
07-05 10:14:34	wta pegula jovic 2026 07 05	Jessica Pegula	BUY	1,429	70¢	$1,000	0x015785…
07-04 19:36:34	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	10,753	93¢	$10,000	0x81b69d…
07-04 16:24:20	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	6,944	72¢	$5,000	0x158d11…
07-04 10:57:44	atp fritz sonego 2026 07 03	Taylor Fritz	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x4c5960…
07-04 10:56:50	wta eala swiatek 2026 07 03	Iga Swiatek	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0xf4c6be…
07-04 10:55:47	atp minaur svajda 2026 07 03	Alex de Minaur	BUY	1,101	91¢	$1,000	0xac7296…
07-04 03:56:04	wta mertens rybakin 2026 07 04	Elena Rybakina	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0xd35dc7…
07-03 15:03:46	wta sabalen ostapen 2026 07 03	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0x416eb3…
07-03 15:02:46	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	3,261	92¢	$3,000	0x48c48b…
07-03 14:59:41	atp rinderk djokovi 2026 07 03	Novak Djokovic	BUY	632	79¢	$500	0xab5803…
07-02 22:35:58	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1,460	68¢	$1,000	0x2bd378…
07-02 21:20:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	1,667	9¢	$150	0x5f0847…
07-02 12:44:40	wta pliskov swiatek 2026 07 01	Iga Swiatek	BUY	1,121	89¢	$1,000	0xd25bf0…
07-02 11:49:50	wta swan keys 2026 07 01	Madison Keys	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x020720…
07-02 11:49:14	atp tiafoe choinsk 2026 07 02	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0xadf5c3…
07-02 11:48:49	wta mcnally rybakin 2026 07 02	Elena Rybakina	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0x918e5d…
07-02 11:47:50	wta anisimo kenin 2026 07 01	Amanda Anisimova	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0xc37653…
07-01 20:59:28	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	1,899	84¢	$1,595	0xa2c094…
07-01 19:35:05	atp jodar busta 2026 07 01	Rafael Jodar	SELL	641	38¢	$244	0xff9936…
07-01 19:34:47	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,899	79¢	$1,500	0x11bdb0…
07-01 16:15:20	wta sierra gauff 2026 07 01	Coco Gauff	SELL	500	52¢	$260	0xf26f90…
07-01 16:12:13	wta sierra gauff 2026 07 01 set handicap away 1pt5	Sierra	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x11b621…
07-01 14:58:26	atp jong fonseca 2026 07 01	Joao Fonseca	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0xa26492…
07-01 14:24:19	atp tiafoe atmane 2026 06 29	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	1,529	98¢	$1,500	0xf8faac…
07-01 14:23:34	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	5,682	88¢	$5,000	0x4c6449…
07-01 14:17:38	wta pegula tormo 2026 07 01	Jessica Pegula	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x588846…
07-01 14:17:19	wta sierra gauff 2026 07 01	Coco Gauff	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x6510a9…
07-01 14:16:55	atp jong fonseca 2026 07 01	Joao Fonseca	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xf4cf72…
07-01 02:48:25	atp jodar busta 2026 07 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0x9bbeca…
07-01 02:46:58	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Jannik Sinner	BUY	524	95¢	$500	0x5e5a18…
07-01 02:46:32	wta sabalen kessler 2026 07 01	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0x13c37e…
07-01 02:45:31	atp kwon paul 2026 07 01	Tommy Paul	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0x06cd62…
07-01 02:45:17	wta gasanov osaka 2026 07 01	Naomi Osaka	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x4a53ec…
07-01 02:43:47	mlb sd chc 2026 06 30	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2,106	95¢	$2,000	0x79dcb0…
07-01 00:21:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	794	91¢	$722	0x1390a7…
06-30 23:37:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x599a71…
06-30 20:52:14	wta willia joint 2026 06 29	Maya Joint	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0xbc0cbe…
06-30 15:52:49	wta boisson rybakin 2026 06 29	Elena Rybakina	BUY	540	93¢	$500	0x18afb2…
06-30 12:47:32	atp tiafoe atmane 2026 06 29	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0x3b0694…
06-30 12:47:14	wta svitoli snigur 2026 06 29	Elina Svitolina	BUY	1,370	73¢	$1,000	0xa4fc9a…
06-30 12:46:53	wta boisson rybakin 2026 06 29	Elena Rybakina	BUY	1,032	97¢	$1,000	0x85e625…
06-29 23:54:02	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	6,780	59¢	$4,000	0x99681b…
06-29 21:58:16	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	6,005	83¢	$5,000	0xcf32b6…
06-29 18:58:25	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	3,030	99¢	$3,000	0x6b66fd…
06-29 17:42:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	1,499	67¢	$1,000	0xb4ef01…
06-29 17:42:05	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	5,378	93¢	$5,000	0x960380…
06-29 16:54:53	wta sabalen kostovi 2026 06 29	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	3,012	100¢	$3,000	0xf0f48b…
06-29 15:07:35	atp blockx zverev 2026 06 29	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x324fb3…
06-29 15:07:22	wta townsen swiatek 2026 06 29	Iga Swiatek	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0xb78445…
06-29 15:03:50	wta linette andreev 2026 06 29	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0x2d7605…
06-29 14:48:08	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Naomi Osaka	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xca84c2…
06-28 16:24:43	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	667	75¢	$500	0x0b70c6…
06-28 15:44:10	wta korpats gauff 2026 06 29	Coco Gauff	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x2dfaba…
06-28 15:43:34	atp wu djokovi 2026 06 29	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0xe85bf6…
06-28 15:42:46	wta sabalen kostovi 2026 06 29	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0xf64ffc…
06-28 15:41:41	atp sinner kecmano 2026 06 29	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0xce8f83…
06-28 03:11:14	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	2,128	94¢	$2,000	0x7a8e5a…
06-25 21:45:02	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2,094	96¢	$2,000	0xbc54d8…
06-22 21:45:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0x26bc06…
06-22 01:43:07	mlb nym phi 2026 06 21	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x812434…
06-20 02:10:29	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	5,030	99¢	$5,000	0xbf63d0…
06-18 23:51:20	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0x04cd8e…
06-18 23:27:13	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	1,080	93¢	$1,000	0xc50e8e…
06-18 23:24:44	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	2,064	97¢	$2,000	0x1389a7…
06-18 00:40:14	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xf3ca9f…
06-17 21:57:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	5,040	100¢	$5,035	0xf96386…
06-17 00:08:26	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x89a3aa…
06-17 00:00:10	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Iraq	SELL	536	1¢	$5	0xfbe74c…
06-16 23:56:56	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	536	93¢	$500	0x60fcd3…
06-16 18:17:31	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	333	75¢	$250	0x89620a…
06-16 18:15:56	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 shots michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x06dc08…
06-16 14:22:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,040	99¢	$5,000	0x5d20d1…
06-13 20:51:34	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Qatar	BUY	588	68¢	$400	0x36f702…
06-13 20:51:01	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	610	41¢	$250	0x943795…
06-13 18:37:45	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x317bdd…
06-12 02:51:25	nhl las car 2026 06 11	Hurricanes	BUY	2,014	99¢	$2,000	0x0ca841…
06-12 01:51:28	nhl las car 2026 06 11	Hurricanes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x294429…
06-06 23:02:52	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	5,172	97¢	$5,000	0x78fca3…
06-05 15:15:46	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Alexander Zverev	BUY	2,036	98¢	$2,000	0xa91891…
06-02 21:16:48	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	370	88¢	$326	0xe38a02…
06-02 21:13:41	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0xbd2670…
06-01 22:59:18	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	532	8¢	$43	0xca6076…
06-01 22:58:45	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	460	87¢	$400	0x056fc2…
06-01 22:36:00	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	2,458	85¢	$2,100	0x3d4832…