Uneven-Outrun-Poignance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

122

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$330

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-10 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 52% $-4

Other

11% 20% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-10 01:18
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	$-2	05-09 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-09 19:13
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	+$3	05-09 02:28
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-09 14:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-09 19:08
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	+$3	05-10 03:33
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-09 22:23
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	+$3	05-09 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	$-2	05-10 09:28
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-09 22:38
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-09 19:33
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-10 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	$-2	05-10 10:38
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	open	—	05-08 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-09 19:03
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-09 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-10 06:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-09 20:03
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-09 03:28
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-09 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$3	0	5	-5	Down	$-2	05-09 13:28
BNB Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-09 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-10 10:43
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	open	—	05-09 02:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-10 00:08
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-09 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 10:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x06fe89…
05-10 10:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xc458bb…
05-10 09:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x81afd5…
05-10 09:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xc255de…
05-10 08:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xeb29ae…
05-10 08:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x91b616…
05-10 07:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x6d5362…
05-10 06:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x4e8090…
05-10 06:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xddf855…
05-10 06:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x5212ff…
05-10 06:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x455297…
05-10 06:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x2464d3…
05-10 03:53:10	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x2482f9…
05-10 03:53:07	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc87ea9…
05-10 03:34:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xdcddf0…
05-10 03:34:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xcfca38…
05-10 03:33:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x2211ed…
05-10 03:33:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa2af41…
05-10 03:33:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x059bea…
05-10 03:33:06	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x882529…
05-10 03:13:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xd9a0d7…
05-10 02:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xea55a6…
05-10 02:48:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xe37d33…
05-10 02:48:08	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x58e8b9…
05-10 02:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x407d37…
05-10 01:38:09	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x8b49e4…
05-10 01:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf645d0…
05-10 01:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xac81b0…
05-10 01:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x62feb9…
05-10 01:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x69c04e…
05-10 01:18:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8aa23d…
05-10 01:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x2d3bc9…
05-10 00:13:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x611dae…
05-10 00:08:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xfb8e1d…
05-10 00:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xc79253…
05-10 00:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xde14ab…
05-09 23:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xce9c50…
05-09 23:43:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xbde1ab…
05-09 23:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x95de4c…
05-09 23:33:05	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa5e01e…
05-09 23:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x604067…
05-09 23:28:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc9a5c9…
05-09 23:28:08	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa4985a…
05-09 23:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x33ab72…
05-09 23:13:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xad2121…
05-09 23:13:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x6f4980…
05-09 22:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x09121e…
05-09 22:43:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xcdf364…
05-09 22:38:05	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x6bc68c…
05-09 22:38:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x481b11…
05-09 22:33:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf46258…
05-09 22:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x0c0ec3…
05-09 22:23:07	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x0bc73c…
05-09 22:23:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xa48412…
05-09 22:13:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe0c952…
05-09 22:13:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x2c95e2…
05-09 22:08:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x45378d…
05-09 22:08:06	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x147bec…
05-09 21:58:07	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x8dcd77…
05-09 21:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2448d7…
05-09 21:48:07	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0f9d82…
05-09 21:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x110532…
05-09 21:38:09	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x1f70cf…
05-09 21:38:07	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x27a871…
05-09 21:33:08	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x40b4bd…
05-09 21:28:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x10711a…
05-09 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x5aaaf4…
05-09 21:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$1	0xd371f7…
05-09 21:03:09	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x28f4f5…
05-09 20:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x3c9f8c…
05-09 20:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xa61db1…
05-09 20:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x9fa844…
05-09 19:58:10	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x7c90a4…
05-09 19:58:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x048832…
05-09 19:58:06	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xa95b02…
05-09 19:48:09	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x0817f3…
05-09 19:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x426dc0…
05-09 19:38:09	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x2e3fec…
05-09 19:33:41	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x44a03e…
05-09 19:33:06	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe71a2c…
05-09 19:23:10	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x66e390…
05-09 19:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb4faf2…
05-09 19:13:08	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x26d32b…
05-09 19:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xc23b4a…
05-09 19:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x77ef7f…
05-09 19:03:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xc0162d…
05-09 19:03:11	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x86eae6…
05-09 19:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6e9b6d…
05-09 19:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x34953b…
05-09 18:48:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa5c918…
05-09 18:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x72b0eb…
05-09 18:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5c2e63…
05-09 18:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x88ff3d…
05-09 18:08:10	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x672a12…
05-09 18:08:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xeec23a…
05-09 18:08:07	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xac527e…
05-09 18:03:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xa9ceab…
05-09 17:58:07	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x5ae399…
05-09 17:53:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x0a8bef…
05-09 17:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x3e2d39…